Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 1, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $75.2000 (-0.24%) ($74.1000 - $75.3500) on Wed. Apr. 1, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $75.2000(-0.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.05(0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $75.1(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $74.2(1.35%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   14.2%
Market Cap   $18.929b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.2% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.15%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.15%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.2%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.16%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 3.46%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.38%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150501

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_1_2015	70.36	74.2	75.1	75.05	75.13	75.11	75.2(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	0	3	8	3.41	61%	0.09	42.3	1.24%	0	0.6	57	0
2	Mar_31_2015	70.3	74.04	75.12	74.85	74.96	75.25	75.38(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	30	6	24	3.29	61%	0.09	36.6	1.25%	0	0.8	72	0
3	Mar_30_2015	70.24	73.86	75.05	74.87	74.86	75.14	74.92(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	30	14	51	4.26	61%	0.09	37.7	1.25%	0	0.6	73	0
4	Mar_27_2015	70.18	73.77	75.1	74.98	74.94	74.68	74.99(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	15	-30	-3	70	4.19	64%	0.09	44.2	1.27%	0	0.7	67	0
5	Mar_26_2015	70.12	73.64	75.04	75.14	75.1	74.57	74.78(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-50	-33	82	3.95	64%	0.07	50	1.28%	0	0.7	68	0

6	Mar_25_2015	70.07	73.52	75	75.16	75.43	75.21	74.17(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10	-23	104	3.03	64%	0.09	55.9	1.28%	0	0.4	64	0
7	Mar_24_2015	70.01	73.43	74.78	75.41	75.52	75.62	75.51(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	4	125	2.06	68%	0.1	65.8	1.27%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Mar_23_2015	69.94	73.25	74.35	75.25	75.43	75.66	75.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	14	123	3.22	68%	0.1	71.9	1.27%	0	1.4	70	0
9	Mar_20_2015	69.87	73.04	74	75.24	75.23	75.42	75.78(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	20	19	120	4.65	68%	0.11	83.5	1.26%	0	1.8	61	0
10	Mar_19_2015	69.79	72.83	73.55	74.94	75.08	75.2	74.91(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	13	102	2.67	60%	0.1	95.6	1.27%	0	1.4	60	0

11	Mar_18_2015	69.72	72.62	73.23	74.82	74.88	75.05	75.39(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	20	27	96	2.66	60%	0.11	104.5	1.36%	0	1.9	65	0
12	Mar_17_2015	69.64	72.36	72.87	74.03	74.54	74.96	74.72(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	60	44	74	3.68	65%	0.1	100	1.36%	0	1.6	60	0
13	Mar_16_2015	69.57	72.1	72.55	73.29	73.64	74.71	75.4(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	120	53	50	5.08	59%	0.12	98.9	1.48%	0	2.4	66	0
14	Mar_13_2015	69.49	71.77	72.28	72.56	72.7	74.12	74.3(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	68	140	76	44	4.95	58%	0.1	89.5	1.53%	0	1.9	65	0
15	Mar_12_2015	69.42	71.44	72.08	71.97	71.96	72.57	74.28(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	60	63	25	8.98	59%	0.1	66.8	1.54%	0	2	63	0

16	Mar_11_2015	69.35	71.12	71.85	71.45	71.37	71.29	71.45(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-7	-11	4.33	54%	0.04	52.4	1.46%	0	0.2	57	0
17	Mar_10_2015	69.32	70.95	71.95	71.55	71.52	71.35	71.03(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-6	-20	-9	2	3.38	54%	0.04	47.6	1.46%	0	0	58	0
18	Mar_9_2015	69.29	70.8	72.05	71.68	71.66	71.45	71.75(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-20	-16	16	2.26	55%	0.04	48.2	1.45%	0	0.5	68	0
19	Mar_6_2015	69.26	70.62	72.03	71.94	71.81	71.68	71.32(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-19	38	2.21	55%	0.04	53.8	1.44%	0	0.4	70	0
20	Mar_5_2015	69.23	70.49	72.08	72.2	72.2	71.86	71.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-7	74	2.65	55%	0.06	58.5	1.45%	0	0.6	78	0

21	Mar_4_2015	69.19	70.34	72	72.3	72.31	71.94	71.95(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-25	87	3.29	57%	0.07	64.8	1.46%	0	0.8	78	0
22	Mar_3_2015	69.14	70.17	71.85	72.41	72.44	72.53	71.65(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	10	-8	113	3.78	57%	0.06	69.5	1.47%	0	0.8	76	0
23	Mar_2_2015	69.1	69.95	71.67	72.46	72.55	72.68	73.09(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	20	25	144	2.62	62%	0.09	63.8	1.45%	0	1.6	90	0
24	Feb_27_2015	69.04	69.64	71.25	72.14	72.19	72.34	72.62(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	20	4	131	2.36	62%	0.09	56	1.46%	0	1.6	81	0
25	Feb_26_2015	68.98	69.39	70.77	71.95	72.07	72.41	72.19(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	24	130	2.56	62%		52.1	1.47%	0	1.6	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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