Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DG: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 24, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $75.5100 (0.08%) ($75.2000 - $76.1500) on Tue. Mar. 24, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $75.5100(0.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $75.41(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74.78(0.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $73.43(2.83%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   14.6%
Market Cap   $19.008b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.51%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 0.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.2%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 1.25%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2015	70.01	73.43	74.78	75.41	75.52	75.62	75.51(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	4	125	2.06	68%	0.1	65.8	1.27%	0	1.3	69	0
2	Mar_23_2015	69.94	73.25	74.35	75.25	75.43	75.66	75.45(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	30	14	123	3.22	68%	0.1	71.9	1.27%	0	1.4	70	0
3	Mar_20_2015	69.87	73.04	74	75.24	75.23	75.42	75.78(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	20	19	120	4.65	68%	0.11	83.5	1.26%	0	1.8	61	0
4	Mar_19_2015	69.79	72.83	73.55	74.94	75.08	75.2	74.91(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	35	20	13	102	2.67	60%	0.1	95.6	1.27%	0	1.4	60	0
5	Mar_18_2015	69.72	72.62	73.23	74.82	74.88	75.05	75.39(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	20	27	96	2.66	60%	0.11	104.5	1.36%	0	1.9	65	0

6	Mar_17_2015	69.64	72.36	72.87	74.03	74.54	74.96	74.72(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	60	44	74	3.68	65%	0.1	100	1.36%	0	1.6	60	0
7	Mar_16_2015	69.57	72.1	72.55	73.29	73.64	74.71	75.4(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	120	53	50	5.08	59%	0.12	98.9	1.48%	0	2.4	66	0
8	Mar_13_2015	69.49	71.77	72.28	72.56	72.7	74.12	74.3(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	68	140	76	44	4.95	58%	0.1	89.5	1.53%	0	1.9	65	0
9	Mar_12_2015	69.42	71.44	72.08	71.97	71.96	72.57	74.28(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	60	63	25	8.98	59%	0.1	66.8	1.54%	0	2	63	0
10	Mar_11_2015	69.35	71.12	71.85	71.45	71.37	71.29	71.45(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-7	-11	4.33	54%	0.04	52.4	1.46%	0	0.2	57	0

11	Mar_10_2015	69.32	70.95	71.95	71.55	71.52	71.35	71.03(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-6	-20	-9	2	3.38	54%	0.04	47.6	1.46%	0	0	58	0
12	Mar_9_2015	69.29	70.8	72.05	71.68	71.66	71.45	71.75(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-20	-16	16	2.26	55%	0.04	48.2	1.45%	0	0.5	68	0
13	Mar_6_2015	69.26	70.62	72.03	71.94	71.81	71.68	71.32(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-19	38	2.21	55%	0.04	53.8	1.44%	0	0.4	70	0
14	Mar_5_2015	69.23	70.49	72.08	72.2	72.2	71.86	71.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-7	74	2.65	55%	0.06	58.5	1.45%	0	0.6	78	0
15	Mar_4_2015	69.19	70.34	72	72.3	72.31	71.94	71.95(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-25	87	3.29	57%	0.07	64.8	1.46%	0	0.8	78	0

16	Mar_3_2015	69.14	70.17	71.85	72.41	72.44	72.53	71.65(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	10	-8	113	3.78	57%	0.06	69.5	1.47%	0	0.8	76	0
17	Mar_2_2015	69.1	69.95	71.67	72.46	72.55	72.68	73.09(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	20	25	144	2.62	62%	0.09	63.8	1.45%	0	1.6	90	0
18	Feb_27_2015	69.04	69.64	71.25	72.14	72.19	72.34	72.62(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	20	4	131	2.36	62%	0.09	56	1.46%	0	1.6	81	0
19	Feb_26_2015	68.98	69.39	70.77	71.95	72.07	72.41	72.19(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	24	130	2.56	62%	0.09	52.1	1.47%	0	1.6	75	0
20	Feb_25_2015	68.92	69.14	70.33	71.65	71.77	72.05	72.48(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	30	28	118	3.24	62%	0.09	49.6	1.48%	0	1.9	74	0

21	Feb_24_2015	68.86	68.88	69.86	71.22	71.32	71.73	71.93(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	40	25	101	2.36	62%	0.07	48.7	1.49%	0	2	73	0
22	Feb_23_2015	68.81	68.71	69.43	70.75	70.92	71.5	71.47(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	60	41	97	3.11	62%	0.07	49.8	1.5%	0	2	78	0
23	Feb_20_2015	68.76	68.59	69.08	70.22	70.34	70.91	71.69(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	59	60	49	90	3.51	62%	0.07	56.9	1.51%	0	2.5	79	0
24	Feb_19_2015	68.71	68.47	68.73	69.4	69.63	70.34	70.7(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	80	45	65	4.35	62%	0.06	55.6	1.52%	0	2.1	67	0
25	Feb_18_2015	68.67	68.29	68.52	68.8	68.88	69.77	70.32(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	90	48	57	3.34	62%		41	1.53%	0	2.1	69	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.