Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 17, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $74.7200 (-0.9%) ($74.6600 - $75.4400) on Tue. Mar. 17, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $74.7200(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $74.03(0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.87(2.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $72.36(3.26%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   13.4%
Market Cap   $18.809b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.99% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.44%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 2.11%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.48%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.03%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2015	69.64	72.36	72.87	74.03	74.54	74.96	74.72(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	60	44	74	3.68	65%	0.1	100	1.36%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Mar_16_2015	69.57	72.1	72.55	73.29	73.64	74.71	75.4(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	52	120	53	50	5.08	59%	0.12	98.9	1.48%	0	2.4	66	0
3	Mar_13_2015	69.49	71.77	72.28	72.56	72.7	74.12	74.3(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	68	140	76	44	4.95	58%	0.1	89.5	1.53%	0	1.9	65	0
4	Mar_12_2015	69.42	71.44	72.08	71.97	71.96	72.57	74.28(3.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	54	60	63	25	8.98	59%	0.1	66.8	1.54%	0	2	63	0
5	Mar_11_2015	69.35	71.12	71.85	71.45	71.37	71.29	71.45(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-7	-11	4.33	54%	0.04	52.4	1.46%	0	0.2	57	0

6	Mar_10_2015	69.32	70.95	71.95	71.55	71.52	71.35	71.03(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-6	-20	-9	2	3.38	54%	0.04	47.6	1.46%	0	0	58	0
7	Mar_9_2015	69.29	70.8	72.05	71.68	71.66	71.45	71.75(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-20	-16	16	2.26	55%	0.04	48.2	1.45%	0	0.5	68	0
8	Mar_6_2015	69.26	70.62	72.03	71.94	71.81	71.68	71.32(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-19	38	2.21	55%	0.04	53.8	1.44%	0	0.4	70	0
9	Mar_5_2015	69.23	70.49	72.08	72.2	72.2	71.86	71.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-7	74	2.65	55%	0.06	58.5	1.45%	0	0.6	78	0
10	Mar_4_2015	69.19	70.34	72	72.3	72.31	71.94	71.95(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-25	87	3.29	57%	0.07	64.8	1.46%	0	0.8	78	0

11	Mar_3_2015	69.14	70.17	71.85	72.41	72.44	72.53	71.65(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	10	-8	113	3.78	57%	0.06	69.5	1.47%	0	0.8	76	0
12	Mar_2_2015	69.1	69.95	71.67	72.46	72.55	72.68	73.09(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	20	25	144	2.62	62%	0.09	63.8	1.45%	0	1.6	90	0
13	Feb_27_2015	69.04	69.64	71.25	72.14	72.19	72.34	72.62(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	20	4	131	2.36	62%	0.09	56	1.46%	0	1.6	81	0
14	Feb_26_2015	68.98	69.39	70.77	71.95	72.07	72.41	72.19(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	24	130	2.56	62%	0.09	52.1	1.47%	0	1.6	75	0
15	Feb_25_2015	68.92	69.14	70.33	71.65	71.77	72.05	72.48(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	30	28	118	3.24	62%	0.09	49.6	1.48%	0	1.9	74	0

16	Feb_24_2015	68.86	68.88	69.86	71.22	71.32	71.73	71.93(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	40	25	101	2.36	62%	0.07	48.7	1.49%	0	2	73	0
17	Feb_23_2015	68.81	68.71	69.43	70.75	70.92	71.5	71.47(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	60	41	97	3.11	62%	0.07	49.8	1.5%	0	2	78	0
18	Feb_20_2015	68.76	68.59	69.08	70.22	70.34	70.91	71.69(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	59	60	49	90	3.51	62%	0.07	56.9	1.51%	0	2.5	79	0
19	Feb_19_2015	68.71	68.47	68.73	69.4	69.63	70.34	70.7(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	80	45	65	4.35	62%	0.06	55.6	1.52%	0	2.1	67	0
20	Feb_18_2015	68.67	68.29	68.52	68.8	68.88	69.77	70.32(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	90	48	57	3.34	62%	0.04	41	1.53%	0	2.1	69	0

21	Feb_17_2015	68.64	68.13	68.32	68.3	68.34	68.93	69.56(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	46	60	46	45	4.54	62%	0.03	31.2	1.54%	0	1.7	61	0
22	Feb_13_2015	68.62	68.03	68.06	67.91	67.89	68	68.82(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	10	13	10	5.14	62%	0	17.4	1.55%	0	1	48	0
23	Feb_12_2015	68.62	68.03	67.88	67.78	67.76	67.76	67.59(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-0	-8	-14	9.89	60%	-0.03	-6.9	1.54%	0	-0.3	37	0
24	Feb_11_2015	68.64	67.89	67.92	67.96	67.95	67.78	67.71(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-20	-8	-19	3.54	60%	-0.03	-14.5	1.56%	0	-0.2	36	0
25	Feb_10_2015	68.66	67.9	67.87	68.18	68.19	67.76	67.82(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-40	-18	-16	7.47	60%		-16	1.57%	0	-0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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