Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 11, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $71.4500 (0.59%) ($70.9800 - $71.8800) on Wed. Mar. 11, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $71.4500(0.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.45(0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71.85(-0.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $71.12(0.46%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   8.5%
Market Cap   $17.986b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.1% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150411

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_11_2015	69.35	71.12	71.85	71.45	71.37	71.29	71.45(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10	-7	-11	4.33	54%	0.04	52.4	1.46%	0	0.2	57	0
2	Mar_10_2015	69.32	70.95	71.95	71.55	71.52	71.35	71.03(-1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-6	-20	-9	2	3.38	54%	0.04	47.6	1.46%	0	0	58	0
3	Mar_9_2015	69.29	70.8	72.05	71.68	71.66	71.45	71.75(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-8	-20	-16	16	2.26	55%	0.04	48.2	1.45%	0	0.5	68	0
4	Mar_6_2015	69.26	70.62	72.03	71.94	71.81	71.68	71.32(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-20	-19	38	2.21	55%	0.04	53.8	1.44%	0	0.4	70	0
5	Mar_5_2015	69.23	70.49	72.08	72.2	72.2	71.86	71.71(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	13	-30	-7	74	2.65	55%	0.06	58.5	1.45%	0	0.6	78	0

6	Mar_4_2015	69.19	70.34	72	72.3	72.31	71.94	71.95(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-40	-25	87	3.29	57%	0.07	64.8	1.46%	0	0.8	78	0
7	Mar_3_2015	69.14	70.17	71.85	72.41	72.44	72.53	71.65(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	10	-8	113	3.78	57%	0.06	69.5	1.47%	0	0.8	76	0
8	Mar_2_2015	69.1	69.95	71.67	72.46	72.55	72.68	73.09(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	20	25	144	2.62	62%	0.09	63.8	1.45%	0	1.6	90	0
9	Feb_27_2015	69.04	69.64	71.25	72.14	72.19	72.34	72.62(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	36	20	4	131	2.36	62%	0.09	56	1.46%	0	1.6	81	0
10	Feb_26_2015	68.98	69.39	70.77	71.95	72.07	72.41	72.19(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	51	40	24	130	2.56	62%	0.09	52.1	1.47%	0	1.6	75	0

11	Feb_25_2015	68.92	69.14	70.33	71.65	71.77	72.05	72.48(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	51	30	28	118	3.24	62%	0.09	49.6	1.48%	0	1.9	74	0
12	Feb_24_2015	68.86	68.88	69.86	71.22	71.32	71.73	71.93(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	40	25	101	2.36	62%	0.07	48.7	1.49%	0	2	73	0
13	Feb_23_2015	68.81	68.71	69.43	70.75	70.92	71.5	71.47(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	55	60	41	97	3.11	62%	0.07	49.8	1.5%	0	2	78	0
14	Feb_20_2015	68.76	68.59	69.08	70.22	70.34	70.91	71.69(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	59	60	49	90	3.51	62%	0.07	56.9	1.51%	0	2.5	79	0
15	Feb_19_2015	68.71	68.47	68.73	69.4	69.63	70.34	70.7(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	80	45	65	4.35	62%	0.06	55.6	1.52%	0	2.1	67	0

16	Feb_18_2015	68.67	68.29	68.52	68.8	68.88	69.77	70.32(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	90	48	57	3.34	62%	0.04	41	1.53%	0	2.1	69	0
17	Feb_17_2015	68.64	68.13	68.32	68.3	68.34	68.93	69.56(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	46	60	46	45	4.54	62%	0.03	31.2	1.54%	0	1.7	61	0
18	Feb_13_2015	68.62	68.03	68.06	67.91	67.89	68	68.82(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	10	13	10	5.14	62%	0	17.4	1.55%	0	1	48	0
19	Feb_12_2015	68.62	68.03	67.88	67.78	67.76	67.76	67.59(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-0	-8	-14	9.89	60%	-0.03	-6.9	1.54%	0	-0.3	37	0
20	Feb_11_2015	68.64	67.89	67.92	67.96	67.95	67.78	67.71(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-20	-8	-19	3.54	60%	-0.03	-14.5	1.56%	0	-0.2	36	0

21	Feb_10_2015	68.66	67.9	67.87	68.18	68.19	67.76	67.82(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-40	-18	-16	7.47	60%	-0.01	-16	1.57%	0	-0.1	54	0
22	Feb_9_2015	68.67	67.87	67.85	68.32	68.44	68.11	67.63(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-30	-15	-9	2.53	60%	-0.04	-27.6	1.59%	0	-0.3	53	0
23	Feb_6_2015	68.7	67.89	67.97	68.2	68.49	68.63	68.17(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	30	7	1	2.79	60%	-0.01	-44.8	1.6%	0	0.3	54	0
24	Feb_5_2015	68.71	67.95	68.08	67.98	68.08	68.77	68.49(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	80	22	18	4.46	60%	0	-53.8	1.62%	0	0.6	63	0
25	Feb_4_2015	68.71	68.02	68.19	67.86	67.72	68.35	68.81(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	60	40	32	3.91	60%		-55	1.64%	0	0.7	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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