Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 20, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $71.6900 (1.4%) ($70.3000 - $71.7300) on Fri. Feb. 20, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.51% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $71.6900(1.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    TLT(-4%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.755% (StdDev 1.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.22(2.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $69.08(3.78%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.59(4.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   8.8%
Market Cap   $18.046b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 19 Average positive next day return: 1.02%(26%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(74%) Sample size 19 Average positive next three day return: 1.59%(53%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(47%) Sample size 19 Average positive next weekly return: 1.19%(53%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.23%(47%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2015	68.76	68.59	69.08	70.22	70.34	70.91	71.69(1.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	59	60	49	90	3.51	62%	0.07	56.9	1.51%	0	2.5	79	INF
2	Feb_19_2015	68.71	68.47	68.73	69.4	69.63	70.34	70.7(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	50	80	45	65	4.35	62%	0.06	55.6	1.52%	0	2.1	67	INF
3	Feb_18_2015	68.67	68.29	68.52	68.8	68.88	69.77	70.32(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	50	90	48	57	3.34	62%	0.04	41	1.53%	0	2.1	69	INF
4	Feb_17_2015	68.64	68.13	68.32	68.3	68.34	68.93	69.56(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	46	60	46	45	4.54	62%	0.03	31.2	1.54%	0	1.7	61	INF
5	Feb_13_2015	68.62	68.03	68.06	67.91	67.89	68	68.82(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	12	10	13	10	5.14	62%	0	17.4	1.55%	0	1	48	INF

6	Feb_12_2015	68.62	68.03	67.88	67.78	67.76	67.76	67.59(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-0	-8	-14	9.89	60%	-0.03	-6.9	1.54%	0	-0.3	37	INF
7	Feb_11_2015	68.64	67.89	67.92	67.96	67.95	67.78	67.71(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-20	-8	-19	3.54	60%	-0.03	-14.5	1.56%	0	-0.2	36	INF
8	Feb_10_2015	68.66	67.9	67.87	68.18	68.19	67.76	67.82(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-40	-18	-16	7.47	60%	-0.01	-16	1.57%	0	-0.1	54	INF
9	Feb_9_2015	68.67	67.87	67.85	68.32	68.44	68.11	67.63(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-30	-15	-9	2.53	60%	-0.04	-27.6	1.59%	0	-0.3	53	INF
10	Feb_6_2015	68.7	67.89	67.97	68.2	68.49	68.63	68.17(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	6	30	7	1	2.79	60%	-0.01	-44.8	1.6%	0	0.3	54	INF

11	Feb_5_2015	68.71	67.95	68.08	67.98	68.08	68.77	68.49(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	80	22	18	4.46	60%	0	-53.8	1.62%	0	0.6	63	INF
12	Feb_4_2015	68.71	68.02	68.19	67.86	67.72	68.35	68.81(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	38	60	40	32	3.91	60%	0	-55	1.64%	0	0.7	54	INF
13	Feb_3_2015	68.71	68.04	68.03	67.52	67.44	67.39	68.51(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	12	-10	13	9	3.37	60%	-0.01	-67.9	1.65%	0	0.4	53	INF
14	Feb_2_2015	68.72	68.12	67.92	67.35	67.37	67.09	67.01(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-30	-24	-10	3.38	57%	-0.06	-63.7	1.64%	0	-0.9	51	INF
15	Jan_30_2015	68.76	68.3	67.99	67.71	67.65	67.49	67.06(-1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-20	-20	1	6.43	57%	-0.06	-48.7	1.66%	0	-0.9	47	INF

16	Jan_29_2015	68.8	68.48	67.91	68.2	67.98	67.66	67.9(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-40	-22	-3	4.15	57%	-0.03	-35.2	1.67%	0	-0.4	44	INF
17	Jan_28_2015	68.82	68.63	67.88	68.58	68.57	67.81	67.12(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-80	-18	-3	5.05	57%	-0.06	-18.5	1.68%	0	-1.1	38	INF
18	Jan_27_2015	68.86	68.81	67.96	68.59	68.75	68.3	67.65(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-40	-26	-13	4.55	57%	-0.06	-10.7	1.7%	0	-0.8	44	INF
19	Jan_26_2015	68.9	68.9	67.92	68.53	68.59	69.33	68.84(-0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	80	13	-14	5.42	61%	0	-17.2	1.69%	0	-0	43	INF
20	Jan_23_2015	68.9	68.9	67.83	68.29	68.3	69.2	69.5(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	47	90	67	-12	7.59	61%	0.03	-25	1.71%	0	0.4	43	INF

21	Jan_22_2015	68.88	68.95	67.83	67.56	67.46	67.85	69.77(3.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	40	29	-54	11.94	61%	0.03	-32.7	1.73%	0	0.5	45	INF
22	Jan_21_2015	68.86	68.89	67.8	67.14	66.95	67.41	67.21(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	40	9	-83	3.85	55%	-0.06	-45.1	1.63%	0	-1.1	31	INF
23	Jan_20_2015	68.9	68.97	68.01	67.26	66.93	67.07	67.34(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-0	18	-83	5.09	55%	-0.07	-48.4	1.66%	0	-1.1	34	INF
24	Jan_16_2015	68.95	69.16	68.3	67.21	66.95	66.49	67.63(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-60	-13	-93	8.61	55%	-0.06	-46.3	1.68%	0	-1.1	44	INF
25	Jan_15_2015	68.99	69.33	68.6	67.31	67.08	66.79	65.87(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-40	-43	-101	9.81	50%		-37.3	1.64%	0	-2.4	33	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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