Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: DG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Dollar General Corporation)
DG latest price $69.7700 (3.81%) ($66.9100 - $69.9000) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.73% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $69.7700(3.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DG advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DG declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLP(43%)    SPY(40%)    XLY(40%)    XRT(38%)    IVE(37%)
Factors Impacting DG price   DG will decline at least -0.865% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    SHY(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.865% (StdDev 1.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $63.53(-8.94%)
5 Day Moving Average   $67.56(3.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $67.8(2.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68.95(1.19%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $17.563b

Dollar General Corp. engages in retailing of merchandise, including consumable items, seasonal items, home products and apparel. Its brands include Clorox, Energizer, Procter & Gamble, Hanes, Coca-Cola, Mars, Unilever, Nestle, Kimberly-Clark, Kellogg's, General Mills, and PepsiCo. The company was founded by J. L. Turner and Hurley Calister Turner Sr. in 1939 and is headquartered in Goodlettsville, TN.

$. DG price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0.87%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.53%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.97%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -1.26%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0.86%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.98%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	68.88	68.95		67.56	67.46	67.85	69.77(3.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	40	29	-54	11.94	61%	0.03	-32.7	1.73%	0	0.5	45	INF
2	Jan_21_2015	68.86	68.89	67.8	67.14	66.95	67.41	67.21(-0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-14	40	9	-83	3.85	55%	-0.06	-45.1	1.63%	0	-1.1	31	INF
3	Jan_20_2015	68.9	68.97	68.01	67.26	66.93	67.07	67.34(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-0	18	-83	5.09	55%	-0.07	-48.4	1.66%	0	-1.1	34	INF
4	Jan_16_2015	68.95	69.16	68.3	67.21	66.95	66.49	67.63(2.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-60	-13	-93	8.61	55%	-0.06	-46.3	1.68%	0	-1.1	44	INF
5	Jan_15_2015	68.99	69.33	68.6	67.31	67.08	66.79	65.87(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-58	-40	-43	-101	9.81	50%	-0.14	-37.3	1.64%	0	-2.4	33	INF

6	Jan_14_2015	69.09	69.46	69.09	68.04	67.71	67.41	67.65(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-50	-20	-69	4.99	56%	-0.07	-32.8	1.6%	0	-1.4	41	INF
7	Jan_13_2015	69.14	69.6	69.44	68.56	68.33	67.36	67.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-40	-110	-37	-49	5.96	56%	-0.07	-15.2	1.62%	0	-1.5	48	INF
8	Jan_12_2015	69.19	69.71	69.75	68.89	68.95	68.01	67.11(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-58	-90	-64	-40	11.34	56%	-0.1	-2.4	1.64%	0	-2.2	46	INF
9	Jan_9_2015	69.26	69.83	70.01	69.53	69.68	69.3	68.12(-2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-31	-30	-35	-19	6.67	56%	-0.06	21	1.64%	0	-1.7	37	INF
10	Jan_8_2015	69.3	69.88	70.21	70.06	70.07	69.9	69.51(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-20	-15	-0	8.74	62%	0	49.6	1.62%	0	-0.4	43	INF

11	Jan_7_2015	69.3	69.87	70.23	70.3	70.39	70.06	70.27(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-5	-30	-12	16	4.24	62%	0.06	65.4	1.63%	0	0.4	62	INF
12	Jan_6_2015	69.26	69.79	70.09	70.47	70.62	70.23	69.43(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-16	-30	-24	9	3.64	62%	0.01	81.2	1.65%	0	-0.4	48	INF
13	Jan_5_2015	69.25	69.73	70.02	70.75	70.87	70.72	70.32(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-10	-4	20	2.51	62%	0.07	0	1.66%	0	0.6	53	INF
14	Jan_2_2015	69.2	69.61	70.1	70.56	70.8	70.72	70.78(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	30	9	30	2.72	62%	0.1	0	1.68%	0	1.1	56	INF
15	Dec_31_2014	69.13	69.42	70.11	70.38	70.48	71.01	70.7(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	60	22	39	1.69	62%	0.1	0	1.72%	0	1	57	INF

16	Dec_30_2014	69.06	69.25	69.84	70.15	70.15	70.59	71.1(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	40	33	31	1.71	62%	0.16	0	1.75%	0	1.5	57	INF
17	Dec_29_2014	68.95	69.02	69.73	69.66	69.76	69.95	70.84(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	20	21	21	2.23	62%	0.13	0	1.8%	0	1.4	59	INF
18	Dec_26_2014	68.86	69.02	69.61	69.21	69.32	69.71	69.4(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-3	40	-3	-1	1.02	57%	0.04	0	1.8%	0	53.4	56	INF
19	Dec_24_2014	68.83	69.02	69.6	69.58	69.38	69.57	69.86(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	10	7	3	1.16	57%	0.1	0	1.84%	0	52.5	60	INF
20	Dec_23_2014	68.76	69.02	69.5	69.82	69.77	68.93	69.55(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3	-90	-3	-1	3.33	57%	0.06	0	1.9%	0	51.9	63	INF

21	Dec_22_2014	68.72	69.02	69.5	69.47	69.85	69.19	68.66(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-50	-43	-17	5.25	57%	0	0	1.94%	0	50.1	57	INF
22	Dec_19_2014	68.72	69.02	69.47	69.79	69.96	70.62	68.56(-3.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2	70	-2	-1	8.64	57%	-0.01	0	2.01%	0	48.6	61	INF
23	Dec_18_2014	68.73	69.02	69.46	70.04	70.01	70.52	71.29(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	50	51	20	3.27	74%	0.29	0	1.72%	0	48.8	50	INF
24	Dec_17_2014	68.53	69.02	69.11	69.61	69.53	69.3	71.02(4.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	3	-30	3	1	6.67	74%	0.29	0	1.79%	0	53.8	50	INF
25	Dec_16_2014	68.33	69.02	68.67	69.18	69.46	69.5	67.83(-3.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-15	20	-18	-7	5.96	59%		0	1.35%	0	58.5	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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