Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 3, 2023

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $119.0000 (0.89%) ($115.7100 - $119.9100) on Fri. Feb. 3, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $119.0000(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(58%)    IWM(57%)    IWN(57%)    IWC(55%)    IWO(54%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-40%)    SHY(-24%)    VXX(-15%)    GLD(-14%)    EDOC(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0.9 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $116.79(1.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $115.43(3.09%)
20 Day Moving Average   $110.4(7.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   25%
Market Cap   $36.464b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 5.14% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.31%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.2%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.55%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.64%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.53%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_3_2023	101.93	110.4	115.43	116.79	116.41	117.64	119(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	78	60	46	172	2.39	62%	0.19	83.5	2.13%	0.9	1.5	68	-0.9
2	Feb_2_2023	101.74	109.43	114.19	116.5	115.88	116.11	117.95(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	63	-0	29	163	3.37	59%	0.19	85.5	2.17%	1	1.5	69	-1.4
3	Feb_1_2023	101.55	108.58	112.66	115.85	115.7	115.18	115.83(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	25	-40	-10	129	3.9	59%	0.18	89.1	2.2%	1	1.3	64	-1.5
4	Jan_31_2023	101.37	107.66	111.37	115.67	115.75	115.66	116.73(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-0	6	130	2.21	59%	0.14	85.1	2.19%	-0.3	1.6	68	-1.8
5	Jan_30_2023	101.23	106.71	110.22	114.62	114.99	116.22	114.44(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	57	80	32	133	2.36	59%	0.12	85.4	2.19%	-0.4	1.4	68	-1.8

6	Jan_27_2023	101.11	105.86	109.47	113.79	113.76	115.84	117.57(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	111	130	95	159	2.44	64%	0.17	81.1	2.18%	1.6	2.1	75	-1.7
7	Jan_26_2023	100.94	104.73	108.25	111.5	111.7	113.76	114.69(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	118	130	107	150	3.15	64%	0.16	73.8	2.16%	1.2	1.9	77	-1.6
8	Jan_25_2023	100.78	103.81	107.42	108.94	108.98	111.69	114.9(3.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	121	180	117	131	3.58	66%	0.18	62.9	2.18%	2	2.2	72	-1.6
9	Jan_24_2023	100.6	102.91	106.41	106.43	105.49	109.64	111.49(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	110	250	109	112	2.31	65%	0.11	54.9	2.21%	1	1.9	74	-1.5
10	Jan_23_2023	100.49	102.16	105.61	105.22	103.83	106.27	110.29(3.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	124	120	126	117	3.63	65%	0.11	49.4	2.21%	1.2	1.9	71	-1.6

11	Jan_20_2023	100.38	101.51	104.86	104.6	103.17	101.34	106.14(4.16%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	13	-170	-7	72	4.96	63%	0.06	42.7	2.17%	1.2	1.2	68	-1.3
12	Jan_19_2023	100.32	101.03	104.86	104.58	103.6	101.39	101.9(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-83	-180	-124	40	8.72	57%	0.02	31.8	2.12%	-0.5	0.2	67	-1.2
13	Jan_18_2023	100.3	100.72	104.23	105.61	105.7	105.01	102.34(-2.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	3	-40	-32	106	4.69	60%	0.01	27	2.15%	-2	0.4	63	-1.1
14	Jan_17_2023	100.29	100.46	103.78	106.26	106.26	105.82	105.41(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	28	-30	-6	128	2.44	63%	0.02	24.3	2.17%	-1.5	1.2	67	-1.6
15	Jan_13_2023	100.27	100.11	103.06	105.96	105.93	106.39	107.2(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	30	5	133	1.74	62%	0.01	18	2.18%	1	1.7	73	-1.9

16	Jan_12_2023	100.26	99.86	102.09	105.13	105.53	106.71	106.06(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	80	90	59	143	2.01	62%	0.02	13.3	2.2%	0.2	1.7	68	-1.6
17	Jan_11_2023	100.24	99.81	101.02	103.82	104.1	105.46	107.04(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	73	100	57	122	2.63	62%	0.03	7.2	2.2%	1.7	2.1	72	-1.9
18	Jan_10_2023	100.21	99.65	99.96	102.67	102.5	104.36	105.61(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	80	120	68	114	2.2	62%	0.02	0.3	2.2%	1.3	1.7	73	-2.1
19	Jan_9_2023	100.19	99.47	99.11	100.95	101.35	102.73	103.88(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	83	110	79	95	2.55	62%	-0.03	-17	2.21%	1	1.3	65	-2
20	Jan_6_2023	100.22	99.38	98.37	99.74	99.83	100.65	103.04(3.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	43	60	39	56	2.21	62%	-0.06	-32.4	2.22%	2	1.1	57	-1.8

21	Jan_5_2023	100.28	99.37	97.79	98.62	98.79	99.98	99.55(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	90	42	26	2.48	59%	-0.09	-48.1	2.19%	0.1	0.1	40	-1
22	Jan_4_2023	100.37	99.56	97.5	97.76	97.93	99.02	101.27(4.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	39	80	54	-7	3.21	62%	-0.1	-58.9	2.18%	1.6	0.5	37	-0.9
23	Jan_3_2023	100.47	99.64	96.86	96.86	96.96	97.61	96.99(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	50	20	-61	2.16	61%	-0.21	-68.3	2.16%	-0.1	-0.7	31	-0.1
24	Dec_30_2022	100.68	100.05	96.85	96.98	96.74	96.84	97.83(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-0	14	-77	1.38	61%	-0.11	-69.3	2.19%	1.1	-0.6	39	1
25	Dec_29_2022	100.79	100.47	96.92	96.79	96.7	96.31	97.45(2.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-31	-30	-8	-100	1.54	59%		-70.3	2.19%	0	-0.8	39	-57.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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