Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 12, 2018

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $80.5100 (0.19%) ($80.2200 - $81.0000) on Fri. Jan. 12, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   79
Latest Price   $80.5100(0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    XLF(78%)    IVE(77%)    PAVE(76%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-16%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.23(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $78.46(2.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $77.33(4.11%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   26.2%
Market Cap   $24.67b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.93% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 0.85%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(50%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 1.31%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.69%(48%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 1.71%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.94%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2018	67.45	77.33	78.46	79.23	79.41	80.32	80.51(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	74	90	64	104	2.08	77%	0.31	88.1	1.15%	0	2.1	79	INF
2	Jan_11_2018	67.24	77	78.14	78.76	78.71	79.51	80.36(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	73	70	64	98	1.95	77%	0.33	80.4	1.17%	0	2.2	79	INF
3	Jan_10_2018	67.02	76.72	77.79	78.34	78.25	78.51	79.47(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	49	20	39	80	2.49	77%	0.31	81.9	1.18%	0	1.9	74	INF
4	Jan_9_2018	66.81	76.46	77.55	77.94	78.04	77.91	78.24(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10	6	61	2.31	76%	0.29	84.4	1.17%	0	1.3	70	INF
5	Jan_8_2018	66.62	76.24	77.43	77.67	77.89	77.99	77.57(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	20	0	66	1.76	76%	0.29	87.8	1.17%	0	1	75	INF

6	Jan_5_2018	66.43	76.04	77.29	77.54	77.68	78.18	78.16(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	50	25	88	1.64	76%	0.29	91.1	1.16%	0	1.5	84	INF
7	Jan_4_2018	66.24	75.79	77.05	77.41	77.48	77.78	78.25(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	54	30	38	102	1.99	76%	0.26	100	1.16%	0	1.7	83	INF
8	Jan_3_2018	66.07	75.53	76.82	77.15	77.24	77.17	77.48(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-0	3	86	1.92	76%	0.24	112.1	1.16%	0	1.3	65	INF
9	Jan_2_2018	65.91	75.33	76.67	77.11	77.14	77.18	76.91(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	0	-8	91	3.12	76%	0.35	136.1	1.16%	0	1	67	INF
10	Dec_29_2017	65.68	75.05	76.45	77.15	77.19	77.31	76.92(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	10	17	110	1.48	76%	0.26	138.4	1.17%	0	1.1	70	INF

11	Dec_28_2017	65.51	74.74	76.15	76.98	77.02	77.1	77.5(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	40	10	17	108	1.91	76%	0.26	137	1.16%	0	1.5	75	INF
12	Dec_27_2017	65.34	74.33	75.78	76.63	76.73	77.07	76.96(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	30	16	102	2.11	77%	0.23	124.9	1.16%	0	1.2	76	INF
13	Dec_26_2017	65.19	73.88	75.59	76.42	76.52	76.93	77.26(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	55	40	35	114	1.07	78%	0.31	110.7	1.18%	0	1.4	75	INF
14	Dec_22_2017	64.99	73.31	75.29	76.16	76.28	76.39	77.13(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	49	10	28	110	2.22	79%	0.26	81.7	1.18%	0	1.2	72	INF
15	Dec_21_2017	64.82	72.74	74.95	75.66	76.08	76.11	76.04(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	20	19	106	2.07	78%	0.25	80.5	1.18%	0	1	78	INF

16	Dec_20_2017	64.66	72.23	74.69	75.18	75.66	76.16	75.74(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	70	27	110	1.92	78%	0.23	72.3	1.18%	0	1	79	INF
17	Dec_19_2017	64.51	71.74	74.41	74.8	75.1	76.06	75.95(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	74	100	54	134	2.4	78%	0.23	68.8	1.18%	0	1.2	84	INF
18	Dec_18_2017	64.36	71.24	74.13	74.63	74.64	75.15	75.96(1.84%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	50	56	167	3.16	79%	0.25	68.2	1.18%	0	1.3	86	INF
19	Dec_15_2017	64.2	70.7	73.86	74.3	74.4	74.14	74.59(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	53	-20	6	193	5.18	79%	0.22	66.1	1.17%	0	1	88	INF
20	Dec_14_2017	64.06	70.21	73.53	74.15	74.35	74.12	73.67(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	-10	-20	220	1.32	78%	0.17	63.8	1.17%	0	0.9	87	INF

21	Dec_13_2017	63.95	69.8	73.25	74.1	74.29	74.66	73.82(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	80	40	16	272	2.21	79%	0.16	62.5	1.18%	0	1	87	INF
22	Dec_12_2017	63.85	69.32	72.8	73.93	73.95	74.59	75.09(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	116	60	51	311	2.2	83%	0.2	58.6	1.18%	0	1.5	93	INF
23	Dec_11_2017	63.72	68.8	72.08	73.54	73.44	73.91	74.35(0.75%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	103	40	34	310	2.37	83%	0.19	56	1.18%	0	1.5	90	INF
24	Dec_8_2017	63.6	68.31	71.21	73.36	73.28	73.31	73.8(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	102	-0	31	313	1.85	83%	0.19	54	1.18%	0	1.5	91	INF
25	Dec_7_2017	63.48	67.87	70.39	72.83	73.09	72.98	73.45(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	88	0	18	296	1.61	80%		51.4	1.19%	0	1.7	91	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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