Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Dec. 4, 2017

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $73.4400 (3.26%) ($72.0000 - $73.7600) on Mon. Dec. 4, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $73.4400(3.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 2.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(78%)    IWN(78%)    XLF(78%)    IVE(77%)    PAVE(76%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-16%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $70.36(4.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.11(7.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $66.78(9.97%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27.4%
Market Cap   $22.503b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.61% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.92%(73%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 7.26%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -2.55%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 5.99%(73%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.56%(27%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2017	63.11	66.78	68.11	70.36	70.53	71.64	73.44(3.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	165	120	131	268	4	76%	0.19	42.7	1.23%	0	2.8	83	0
2	Dec_1_2017	62.99	66.44	67.23	68.74	68.95	70.3	71.12(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	123	150	97	199	2.56	75%	0.16	32.5	1.19%	0	2.5	80	0
3	Nov_30_2017	62.89	66.2	66.58	67.6	67.69	69.43	70.6(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	141	180	133	163	3.97	75%	0.14	19.6	1.18%	0	2.9	72	0
4	Nov_29_2017	62.8	65.98	66.01	66.58	66.52	67.6	69.01(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	109	110	110	107	2.78	71%	0.14	8	1.16%	0	2.6	63	0
5	Nov_28_2017	62.71	65.84	65.51	65.9	65.71	65.95	67.63(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	36	20	37	33	2.29	69%	0.1	-14	1.15%	0	1.9	54	0

6	Nov_27_2017	62.65	65.77	65.22	65.54	65.51	65.45	65.34(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10	-1	-13	1.76	65%	0.06	-29	1.08%	0	-0.5	35	0
7	Nov_24_2017	62.61	65.84	65.22	65.48	65.55	65.48	65.4(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-7	-0	2	-35	0.9	65%	0.1	-29.1	1.08%	0	-0.5	33	0
8	Nov_22_2017	62.55	65.9	65.17	65.37	65.41	65.58	65.5(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	20	2	-54	2.03	65%	0.05	-28.4	1.07%	0	-0.5	39	0
9	Nov_21_2017	62.52	65.89	65.21	65.32	65.33	65.62	65.64(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	30	34	-50	1.23	65%	0.05	-29.8	1.07%	0	-0.3	40	0
10	Nov_20_2017	62.49	65.97	65.28	65.04	65.04	65.24	65.82(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	20	22	-70	1.24	65%	0.06	-25	1.07%	0	-0.2	44	0

11	Nov_17_2017	62.45	66.02	65.37	64.87	64.74	65.05	65.06(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	30	13	-79	1.49	58%	0.05	-22.9	1.07%	0	-1	39	0
12	Nov_16_2017	62.42	66.1	65.6	64.81	64.68	64.84	64.82(-0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	10	15	-74	2.27	58%	0.05	-12.1	1.13%	0	-1.4	35	0
13	Nov_15_2017	62.39	66.15	65.8	64.94	64.66	64.43	65.27(1.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-31	-40	-15	-80	3.25	61%	0.08	0	1.13%	0	-1	38	0
14	Nov_14_2017	62.34	66.17	65.96	65.11	64.91	64.51	64.21(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-47	-50	-39	-70	2.05	61%	0.05	7.8	1.14%	0	-2.1	47	0
15	Nov_13_2017	62.31	66.21	66.21	65.55	65.32	64.89	65(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-60	-43	-59	2.19	63%	0.08	20.3	1.14%	0	-1.4	36	0

16	Nov_10_2017	62.26	66.24	66.38	65.96	65.84	65.32	64.76(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-45	-60	-45	-45	1.63	60%	0.08	30.1	1.15%	0	-1.6	40	0
17	Nov_9_2017	62.21	66.22	66.6	66.49	66.33	65.75	65.47(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-70	-45	-21	2.2	58%	0.08	34.6	1.17%	0	-0.7	45	0
18	Nov_8_2017	62.16	66.15	66.73	66.78	66.78	66.36	66.09(-0.53%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-24	-40	-33	4	1.63	58%	0.08	32.5	1.17%	0	-0.1	55	0
19	Nov_7_2017	62.11	66.09	66.66	66.95	66.97	66.92	66.44(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-0	-13	17	1.8	58%	0.1	34	1.17%	0	0.3	58	0
20	Nov_6_2017	62.05	66.04	66.75	66.96	66.98	67.21	67.02(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	20	15	49	1.33	58%	0.1	33.3	1.17%	0	0.9	66	0

21	Nov_3_2017	61.99	65.96	66.73	66.86	66.82	67.02	67.44(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	20	19	58	3.15	58%	0.1	32.1	1.17%	0	1.4	62	0
22	Nov_2_2017	61.93	65.86	66.63	66.73	66.66	66.75	66.93(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	10	8	68	2.36	58%	0.11	36.7	1.17%	0	1.1	67	0
23	Nov_1_2017	61.86	65.81	66.51	66.68	66.63	66.62	66.9(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	-0	15	83	1.92	58%	0.08	44.5	1.17%	0	1.1	68	0
24	Oct_31_2017	61.81	65.73	66.37	66.33	66.5	66.56	66.53(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	14	10	-4	66	1.92	59%	0.1	42.6	1.17%	0	0.9	59	0
25	Oct_30_2017	61.75	65.69	66.19	66.5	66.33	66.65	66.51(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	30	4	74	1.42	59%		64.7	1.17%	0	0.9	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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