Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $53.7400 (-1.29%) ($53.5500 - $54.3900) on Tue. May. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.48% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $53.7400(-1.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWN(78%)    IWD(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.74% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.74% (StdDev 1.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

Resistance Level   $55.71
5 Day Moving Average   $54.65(-1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.94(-2.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.71(-3.54%)
To recent high   -6%
To recent low   16.4%
Market Cap   $16.467b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.7%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0.69%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -1.32%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 2.02%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.43%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2016	50.37	55.71	54.94	54.65	54.69	54.2	53.74(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-46	-60	-36	-77	3.76	92%	-0.02	42.3	1.48%	0	-1.7	22	INF
2	May_16_2016	50.38	55.68	55.13	55.1	55.1	54.7	54.44(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-36	-50	-26	-66	3.51	93%	0.08	50	1.48%	0	-0.9	26	INF
3	May_13_2016	50.34	55.58	55.32	55.24	55.44	55.18	54.42(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-26	-20	-15	-60	2.48	93%	0	50.9	1.5%	0	-0.8	29	INF
4	May_12_2016	50.34	55.48	55.51	55.4	55.49	55.49	55.3(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	0	-2	-51	2.04	100%	0	54.2	1.49%	0	-0.1	39	INF
5	May_11_2016	50.34	55.35	55.64	55.31	55.37	55.69	55.37(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	40	10	-48	2.14	82%	0.04	55.7	1.53%	0	0	41	INF

6	May_10_2016	50.32	55.23	55.81	55.27	55.25	55.49	55.96(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	30	18	-40	2	82%	0.04	54.2	1.69%	0	0.4	41	INF
7	May_9_2016	50.3	55.02	55.9	55.18	55.07	55.05	55.16(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10	-6	-28	2.3	82%	0.06	49.1	1.69%	0	0.1	69	INF
8	May_6_2016	50.27	54.81	56.07	55.43	55.17	55	55.23(0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-9	-40	-14	5	2.56	76%	0.04	48.7	1.72%	0	0.2	72	INF
9	May_5_2016	50.25	54.6	56.21	55.64	55.54	55.1	54.83(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-60	-19	37	2.35	76%	0	46.9	1.73%	0	0.1	71	INF
10	May_4_2016	50.25	54.39	56.38	56.01	55.84	55.33	55.15(-0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-70	-34	68	3.09	77%	0.02	49	1.73%	0	0.3	69	INF

11	May_3_2016	50.24	54.2	56.56	56.41	56.24	55.98	55.55(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-40	-24	113	4.81	77%	0.06	54.6	1.74%	0	0.5	69	INF
12	May_2_2016	50.21	53.99	56.31	56.72	56.63	56.35	56.4(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	30	-40	-8	142	4.73	73%	0.08	59	1.72%	0	0.9	78	INF
13	Apr_29_2016	50.17	53.71	55.91	56.81	56.76	56.49	56.27(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	27	-40	-15	154	2.47	74%	0.04	64	1.74%	0	1	81	INF
14	Apr_28_2016	50.15	53.46	55.5	56.86	56.83	56.92	56.68(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	43	10	-1	174	2.26	62%	0.06	69.3	1.75%	0	1.2	83	INF
15	Apr_27_2016	50.12	53.17	55.08	56.8	56.76	57.03	57.17(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	30	9	167	2.96	62%	0.04	72.8	2.03%	0	1.6	87	INF

16	Apr_26_2016	50.1	52.81	54.62	56.73	56.73	56.74	57.07(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	65	0	25	184	2.24	63%	0.02	76.7	2.03%	0	1.8	78	INF
17	Apr_25_2016	50.09	52.46	54.06	55.83	56.54	56.5	56.88(0.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	61	30	27	161	3.2	60%	0	69.8	2.04%	0	1.9	77	INF
18	Apr_22_2016	50.09	52.07	53.43	54.84	55.53	56.71	56.51(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	190	37	135	3.75	60%	0.04	60.5	2.06%	0	2.1	78	INF
19	Apr_21_2016	50.07	51.71	52.82	53.91	54.38	56.58	56.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	95	310	86	123	4.34	60%	0	54.4	2.06%	0	2.5	72	INF
20	Apr_20_2016	50.07	51.37	52.19	53.11	53.2	54.34	56.84(8.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	85	160	82	94	9.64	60%	0	54.2	2.06%	0	3.5	76	INF

21	Apr_19_2016	50.07	51.01	51.58	52.26	52.25	52.19	52.55(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	10	51	6.48	53%	-0.1	72.8	1.8%	0	1.6	66	INF
22	Apr_18_2016	50.12	50.9	51.44	52.05	52.18	52.05	51.95(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10	2	46	7.03	53%	-0.1	81.9	1.8%	0	1.2	64	INF
23	Apr_15_2016	50.17	50.82	51.32	51.77	51.98	52.3	51.87(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	60	12	50	3.41	51%	0.04	85.3	1.81%	0	1.3	69	INF
24	Apr_14_2016	50.15	50.71	51.26	51.51	51.6	52.31	52.32(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	41	100	34	60	2.51	52%	-0.1	82.5	1.82%	0	1.9	68	INF
25	Apr_13_2016	50.2	50.53	51.11	51.1	51.16	51.65	52.61(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	39	70	34	52	2.41	49%		74.1	1.83%	0	2.5	68	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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