Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $56.3600 (-0.84%) ($56.2600 - $58.1000) on Thu. Apr. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.06% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $56.3600(-0.84%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(77%)    IWN(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -1.03% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-18%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.03% (StdDev 2.06%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.91(4.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.82(6.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.71(8.99%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   30.3%
Market Cap   $17.27b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 2.06%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 2.78%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.38%(50%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 4.12%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -3.12%(20%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 5.49%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -5%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2016	50.07	51.71	52.82	53.91	54.38	56.58	56.36(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	95	310	86	123	4.34	60%	0	54.4	2.06%	0	2.5	72	0
2	Apr_20_2016	50.07	51.37	52.19	53.11	53.2	54.34	56.84(8.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.4	85	160	82	94	9.64	60%	0	54.2	2.06%	0	3.5	76	0
3	Apr_19_2016	50.07	51.01	51.58	52.26	52.25	52.19	52.55(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	10	51	6.48	53%	-0.1	72.8	1.8%	0	1.6	66	0
4	Apr_18_2016	50.12	50.9	51.44	52.05	52.18	52.05	51.95(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	13	-10	2	46	7.03	53%	-0.1	81.9	1.8%	0	1.2	64	0
5	Apr_15_2016	50.17	50.82	51.32	51.77	51.98	52.3	51.87(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	60	12	50	3.41	51%	0.04	85.3	1.81%	0	1.3	69	0

6	Apr_14_2016	50.15	50.71	51.26	51.51	51.6	52.31	52.32(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	41	100	34	60	2.51	52%	-0.1	82.5	1.82%	0	1.9	68	0
7	Apr_13_2016	50.2	50.53	51.11	51.1	51.16	51.65	52.61(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	39	70	34	52	2.41	49%	-0.08	74.1	1.83%	0	2.5	68	0
8	Apr_12_2016	50.24	50.33	50.87	50.81	50.71	50.89	51.49(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	20	7	32	2.42	47%	-0.12	73.9	1.86%	0	1.5	60	0
9	Apr_11_2016	50.3	50.19	50.74	50.76	50.7	50.66	50.57(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	9	-10	2	28	2.53	47%	-0.14	70.4	1.85%	0	0.5	52	0
10	Apr_8_2016	50.37	50.13	50.63	50.8	50.71	50.53	50.55(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-4	-30	-11	17	1.88	47%	-0.14	73.8	1.85%	0	0.5	49	0

11	Apr_7_2016	50.44	50.02	50.55	50.97	50.82	50.75	50.26(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-20	-8	26	3.18	45%	-0.14	71.1	1.86%	0	0.3	57	0
12	Apr_6_2016	50.51	49.92	50.52	51.1	50.94	50.75	51.2(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-20	6	43	4.01	43%	-0.1	68.5	1.86%	0	1.3	69	0
13	Apr_5_2016	50.56	49.77	50.41	50.91	50.83	50.89	51.22(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	0	2	43	5.13	43%	-0.12	66	1.87%	0	1.4	70	0
14	Apr_4_2016	50.62	49.64	50.32	50.72	50.76	51	50.76(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	40	18	54	2.11	42%	-0.1	74.9	1.87%	0	1.2	69	0
15	Apr_1_2016	50.67	49.53	50.3	50.43	50.4	50.78	51.39(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	50	20	54	3.25	42%	-0.1	75	1.88%	0	2	67	0

16	Mar_31_2016	50.72	49.39	50.1	50.08	50.04	50.52	50.92(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	60	22	50	4	42%	-0.12	81	1.89%	0	1.8	71	0
17	Mar_30_2016	50.78	49.24	49.9	49.87	49.76	50.03	50.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	30	14	45	2.78	42%	-0.16	85.6	1.88%	0	1.2	70	0
18	Mar_29_2016	50.86	49.11	49.75	49.85	49.65	49.57	50.28(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	10	-20	-1	42	3.22	42%	-0.14	89.6	1.89%	0	1.4	67	0
19	Mar_28_2016	50.93	48.93	49.75	49.88	49.76	49.5	49.28(-0.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-40	-15	39	2.24	39%	-0.29	75	1.87%	0	0.4	56	0
20	Mar_24_2016	51.08	48.83	49.59	50.14	49.98	49.73	49.68(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-40	-10	56	1.89	39%	-0.14	80.1	1.87%	0	0.8	61	0

21	Mar_23_2016	51.15	48.7	49.46	50.11	50.15	50.03	49.86(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10	2	58	1.84	41%	-0.12	79.7	1.87%	0	1	60	0
22	Mar_22_2016	51.21	48.55	49.29	49.91	49.93	50.23	50.17(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	40	10	54	2.95	41%	-0.14	73.3	1.88%	0	1.4	68	0
23	Mar_21_2016	51.28	48.36	49.09	49.61	49.61	50.27	50.41(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	90	32	57	1.9	43%	-0.12	73.7	1.89%	0	1.8	73	0
24	Mar_18_2016	51.34	48.2	48.91	49.26	49.1	49.64	50.59(2.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	36	70	29	57	5.32	41%	-0.12	78.5	1.9%	0	2.2	80	0
25	Mar_17_2016	51.4	47.98	48.68	48.98	48.77	48.95	49.52(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	10	16	51	2.99	37%		92.8	1.91%	0	1.5	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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