Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $54.2700 (0.35%) ($54.0900 - $54.9500) on Thu. Dec. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.27% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $54.2700(0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWD(77%)    IWN(77%)    XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    PEJ(74%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.635% (StdDev 1.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $52.27(-3.69%)
Resistance Level   $56.2
5 Day Moving Average   $55.2(-1.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.75(-2.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.2(-3.43%)
To recent high   -5.9%
To recent low   7.3%
Market Cap   $16.629b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 1.65% (three month std-dev: 1.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 26 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(35%) Average negative next day return: -1.35%(65%) Sample size 26 Average positive next three day return: 0.88%(23%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(77%) Sample size 26 Average positive next weekly return: 2.77%(35%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.3%(65%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_10_2015	54.84	56.2	55.75	55.2	55.14	54.43	54.27(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-51	-90	-37	-94	3.49	51%	-0.09	-53.3	1.27%	0	-2.1	25	INF
2	Dec_9_2015	54.89	56.34	56.02	55.41	55.54	54.98	54.08(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-63	-60	-53	-93	4.33	51%	-0.09	-50.3	1.27%	0	-2.7	31	INF
3	Dec_8_2015	54.94	56.5	56.31	55.8	55.84	55.86	54.99(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-36	0	-28	-61	3.23	58%	-0.09	-44.3	1.26%	0	-2.3	46	INF
4	Dec_7_2015	54.99	56.61	56.51	56.23	56.12	56.1	56.28(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	-10	3	-26	2.22	63%	-0.05	-23.2	1.27%	0	-0.6	49	INF
5	Dec_4_2015	55.02	56.67	56.59	56.33	56.31	55.83	56.4(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-60	-20	-22	3.1	60%	-0.05	-7.5	1.28%	0	-0.5	56	INF

6	Dec_3_2015	55.05	56.7	56.7	56.42	56.53	56.14	55.31(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-34	-40	-41	-14	3.11	57%	-0.07	-3.8	1.27%	0	-2.3	47	INF
7	Dec_2_2015	55.09	56.76	56.89	56.73	56.81	56.8	56.01(-1.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-5	0	-11	14	3.07	57%	-0.04	3.3	1.26%	0	-1.5	44	INF
8	Dec_1_2015	55.11	56.78	56.9	56.89	56.88	56.93	57.15(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	10	9	22	2.75	52%	-0.04	14	1.24%	0	0.8	50	INF
9	Nov_30_2015	55.13	56.74	56.84	56.84	56.77	56.93	56.76(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-2	10	2.63	52%	0	7	1.35%	0	0	47	INF
10	Nov_27_2015	55.13	56.74	56.75	56.89	56.82	56.82	56.85(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-0	-4	-2	0.8	56%	-0.04	2.2	1.36%	0	0.3	43	INF

11	Nov_25_2015	55.15	56.72	56.75	57.05	56.98	56.71	56.87(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-40	-8	-2	1.31	57%	-0.02	19.6	1.45%	0	0.3	50	INF
12	Nov_24_2015	55.16	56.74	56.67	57.08	57.12	56.83	56.81(-0.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-7	-30	-10	1	1.76	52%	-0.02	41.9	1.47%	0	0.1	54	INF
13	Nov_23_2015	55.17	56.72	56.69	56.91	57.11	57.25	56.91(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1	30	0	3	1.94	52%	0.02	46.2	1.54%	0	0.4	55	INF
14	Nov_20_2015	55.16	56.72	56.7	56.84	56.92	57.41	57.02(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	24	60	27	16	3.45	50%	-0.02	56.8	1.56%	0	0.6	56	INF
15	Nov_19_2015	55.17	56.71	56.75	56.57	56.56	56.97	57.65(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	28	50	32	17	3.38	50%	-0.02	53.5	1.56%	0	1.7	61	INF

16	Nov_18_2015	55.18	56.62	56.66	56.25	56.17	56.43	57.03(1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	30	11	-4	3.19	50%	0	37.3	1.56%	0	0.7	50	INF
17	Nov_17_2015	55.18	56.52	56.6	56.22	56.12	56.15	55.95(-1.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-0	-1	-17	2.75	47%	-0.04	34.6	1.54%	0	-0.8	37	INF
18	Nov_16_2015	55.2	56.47	56.65	56.44	56.32	55.92	56.53(1.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-60	-13	-13	2.72	47%	-0.04	37.7	1.54%	0	0.1	54	INF
19	Nov_13_2015	55.22	56.4	56.63	56.56	56.55	56.09	55.71(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-60	-36	-20	2.95	49%	-0.07	38.6	1.54%	0	-0.9	44	INF
20	Nov_12_2015	55.26	56.41	56.69	56.94	56.92	56.72	56.01(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-30	-20	-5	3.55	49%	-0.05	50.7	1.54%	0	-0.5	42	INF

21	Nov_11_2015	55.29	56.38	56.79	57.12	57.22	57.02	56.92(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	5	-20	1	17	2.5	51%	-0.05	51.3	1.52%	0	0.6	59	INF
22	Nov_10_2015	55.32	56.27	56.84	57.01	57.11	57.12	57.05(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	10	-4	27	2.55	53%	-0.04	44.4	1.53%	0	0.9	65	INF
23	Nov_9_2015	55.34	56.18	56.76	56.87	56.98	57.42	57.12(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	60	20	41	3.24	53%	-0.02	43.7	1.55%	0	1.1	67	INF
24	Nov_6_2015	55.35	56.1	56.71	56.7	56.7	57.1	57.61(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	50	30	49	3.71	54%	-0.04	45.8	1.56%	0	1.8	68	INF
25	Nov_5_2015	55.37	56	56.65	56.43	56.39	56.55	56.91(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	20	8	39	2.83	54%		61	1.57%	0	1.2	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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