Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 2, 2015

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $55.3100 (1.71%) ($54.0900 - $55.4100) on Mon. Feb. 2, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.41% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $55.3100(1.71%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWM(73%)    PEJ(73%)    VYM(70%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.705% (StdDev 1.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.66(-17.45%)
Resistance Level   $59.38
5 Day Moving Average   $55.06(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.64(-2.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.38(-6.85%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $16.948b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 5.71% (three month std-dev: 1.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20150302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2015	63.28	59.38	56.64	55.06	54.89	54.67	55.31(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-66	-40	-11	-229	5.05	39%	-0.11	-77.2	1.41%	0	-1.2	16	0
2	Jan_30_2015	63.35	59.88	57.11	55.34	55.19	54.6	54.38(-0.84%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-94	-80	-41	-252	6.97	39%	-0.14	-75.1	1.41%	0	-1.6	8	0
3	Jan_29_2015	63.44	60.44	57.69	55.78	55.73	55.11	54.84(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-106	-80	-51	-269	7.32	39%	-0.13	-77.5	1.4%	0	-1.7	8	0
4	Jan_28_2015	63.52	61.02	58.32	56.28	56.36	55.79	55.04(-1.26%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-111	-70	-58	-270	6.46	41%	-0.13	-75.6	1.4%	0	-1.9	17	0
5	Jan_27_2015	63.6	61.59	59.06	57.44	56.8	56.34	55.74(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-112	-90	-71	-233	5.26	41%	-0.13	-67.9	1.41%	0	-1.9	25	0

6	Jan_26_2015	63.68	62.12	59.79	58.46	57.98	56.94	56.7(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-86	-150	-49	-195	7.05	43%	-0.11	-61.2	1.4%	0	-1.8	23	0
7	Jan_23_2015	63.75	62.6	60.46	59.16	58.98	57.25	56.58(-1.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-121	-210	-94	-201	8.16	45%	-0.11	-53.4	1.4%	0	-2.2	20	0
8	Jan_22_2015	63.82	63.1	61.25	59.86	59.64	59.03	57.32(-5.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-118	-80	-96	-184	19.6	40%	-0.11	-43.3	1.41%	0	-2.3	21	0
9	Jan_21_2015	63.89	63.54	61.88	60.62	60.52	60.72	60.84(-0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	20	8	-137	5.61	49%	-0.05	-31.6	1.37%	0	-1.3	25	0
10	Jan_20_2015	63.92	63.76	62.04	60.94	60.6	60.25	60.87(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-60	-25	-158	4.15	49%	-0.02	-21	1.42%	0	-1.4	26	0

11	Jan_16_2015	63.93	63.98	62.34	61.37	61.2	60.32	60.17(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-85	-110	-55	-173	6.4	49%	-0.05	-12.7	1.4%	0	-1.9	21	0
12	Jan_15_2015	63.96	64.12	62.86	62	62.04	60.96	60.1(-1.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-97	-120	-75	-164	4.49	49%	-0.03	-6.4	1.4%	0	-2.2	24	0
13	Jan_14_2015	63.98	64.18	63.41	62.85	62.81	62.07	61.12(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-83	-80	-65	-136	3.78	52%	-0.03	-4.1	1.39%	0	-1.9	25	0
14	Jan_13_2015	64	64.22	63.93	63.29	63.59	63.12	62.44(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-37	-40	-16	-99	3.65	53%	0	-6.6	1.38%	0	-1.1	33	0
15	Jan_12_2015	64	64.21	64.3	63.28	63.59	63.55	63.02(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-42	10	-23	-97	1.74	53%	0.02	-13.9	1.38%	0	-0.7	40	0

16	Jan_9_2015	63.99	64.21	64.62	63.46	63.62	64.06	63.32(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-18	60	1	-74	2.59	50%	0.02	-15.2	1.39%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Jan_8_2015	63.98	64.23	64.89	63.87	63.76	63.7	64.35(1.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10	6	-38	2.05	54%	0.03	-14	1.4%	0	0.1	63	0
18	Jan_7_2015	63.96	64.24	65.07	64.1	64.08	63.19	63.33(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-100	-50	-19	2.38	49%	0.03	-12.6	1.41%	0	-0.5	68	0
19	Jan_6_2015	63.94	64.33	65.32	64.69	64.79	63.82	62.4(-2.35%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-50	-100	-73	20	2.94	48%	0.03	-4.6	1.42%	0	-1.1	60	0
20	Jan_5_2015	63.92	64.46	65.62	65.45	65.55	64.97	63.9(-2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-16	-60	-48	82	2.18	50%	0.05	5.4	1.39%	0	-0.3	63	0

21	Jan_2_2015	63.89	64.51	65.76	65.93	66	65.75	65.36(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-20	-20	125	1.65	55%	0.13	13	1.38%	0	0.5	61	0
22	Dec_31_2014	63.81	64.49	65.51	66.04	66.2	66.12	65.49(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	27	-0	-9	134	1.51	54%	0.08	14.8	1.38%	0	0.6	61	0
23	Dec_30_2014	63.76	64.48	65.05	66.18	66.24	66.25	66.32(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	0	1	120	1.16	54%	0.09	17.8	1.38%	0	1.1	56	0
24	Dec_29_2014	63.7	64.41	64.56	66.05	66.25	66.29	66.19(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	10	12	100	1.16	54%	0.09	18.7	1.38%	0	1.1	54	0
25	Dec_26_2014	63.64	64.36	64.13	65.83	66.01	66.24	66.27(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	12	73	1.12	56%		19.3	1.39%	0	1.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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