Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 16, 2014

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $60.4200 (-1.32%) ($60.1500 - $61.4000) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   15
Latest Price   $60.4200(-1.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IVE(75%)    IWM(73%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $58.33(-3.46%)
Resistance Level   $64.14
5 Day Moving Average   $61.96(-2.49%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.34(-4.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $64.14(-5.8%)
To recent high   -9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $18.514b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.25% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.49%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.65%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.51%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.6%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 4.48%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.81%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2014	63.28	64.14	63.34	61.96	62.03	61.15	60.42(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-92	-100	-72	-153	4.33	49%	-0.05	-64.9	1.3%	0	-2.6	15	INF
2	Dec_15_2014	63.31	64.39	63.86	62.81	62.83	62.01	61.23(-0.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-82	-90	-69	-120	3.78	50%	-0.02	-66.1	1.29%	0	-2.7	20	INF
3	Dec_12_2014	63.32	64.6	64.28	63.55	63.54	62.91	61.81(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-64	-70	-58	-82	2.91	50%	-0.02	-68.1	1.29%	0	-3.1	34	INF
4	Dec_11_2014	63.33	64.78	64.67	64.16	64.18	63.65	63.22(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-40	-60	-39	-43	3.65	53%	0	-74.7	1.26%	0	-2.4	44	INF
5	Dec_10_2014	63.33	64.92	64.86	64.51	64.6	64.17	63.14(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-35	-40	-38	-25	4.14	53%	-0.02	-56	1.26%	0	-3	42	INF

6	Dec_9_2014	63.34	65.09	65.1	64.92	64.88	64.71	64.66(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-16	-20	-21	1	2.63	55%	0.02	-25.6	1.23%	0	-0.8	47	INF
7	Dec_8_2014	63.33	65.17	65.15	65.07	65.09	65.02	64.94(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-4	14	3.64	55%	0.02	4.6	1.23%	0	-0.4	46	INF
8	Dec_5_2014	63.32	65.22	65.1	65.13	65.16	65.05	64.85(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-10	-9	10	3.3	55%	0.02	25.6	1.23%	0	-0.6	49	INF
9	Dec_4_2014	63.31	65.22	65.05	65.13	65.23	65.15	64.96(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10	-6	10	1.79	55%	0.02	54.4	1.23%	0	-0.5	47	INF
10	Dec_3_2014	63.3	65.26	65	65.27	65.29	65.27	65.18(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-0	-2	2	1.84	55%	0.03	67.4	1.23%	0	-0.1	41	INF

11	Dec_2_2014	63.28	65.22	64.98	65.3	65.26	65.27	65.41(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-1	0	1	-5	1.94	57%	0.05	73.5	1.23%	0	0.3	39	INF
12	Dec_1_2014	63.25	65.14	64.95	65.25	65.29	65.31	65.25(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	0	12	-11	1.76	57%	0.05	74.3	1.25%	0	0.2	38	INF
13	Nov_28_2014	63.22	65.07	64.92	65.07	65.16	65.21	65.55(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	8	-28	1.64	57%	0.05	71.2	1.25%	0	0.6	44	INF
14	Nov_26_2014	63.19	64.95	64.88	64.79	65	65.27	64.97(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	40	15	-40	2.1	57%	0.03	53	1.24%	0	0	43	INF
15	Nov_25_2014	63.17	64.86	64.97	64.68	64.75	65.11	65.34(0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	40	21	-36	2	58%	0.05	56.3	1.23%	0	0.5	55	INF

16	Nov_24_2014	63.14	64.75	65.05	64.61	64.56	64.74	65.16(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	3	20	13	-28	2.27	58%	0.03	44.1	1.24%	0	0.4	60	INF
17	Nov_21_2014	63.12	64.62	65.16	64.62	64.63	64.74	64.31(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-30	-6	-18	2.63	57%	0.02	40.4	1.23%	0	-0.2	59	INF
18	Nov_20_2014	63.11	64.53	65.33	64.76	64.71	64.38	64.18(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-40	-31	-8	3.12	58%	0.02	39.8	1.23%	0	-0.3	58	INF
19	Nov_19_2014	63.1	64.43	65.5	64.97	64.93	64.88	64.4(-0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-10	-19	25	2.4	58%	0.03	39.7	1.24%	0	-0	67	INF
20	Nov_18_2014	63.08	64.28	65.56	65.29	65.12	65.03	64.98(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-20	-10	56	2.1	59%	0.05	42.9	1.24%	0	0.5	71	INF

21	Nov_17_2014	63.05	64.24	65.5	65.57	65.34	64.98	65.24(0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-50	-24	71	2.22	59%	0.05	53.1	1.24%	0	0.6	71	INF
22	Nov_14_2014	63.02	64.12	65.37	65.79	65.71	65.21	64.98(-0.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-60	-31	89	1.89	59%	0.05	59.3	1.25%	0	0.5	75	INF
23	Nov_13_2014	62.99	63.99	65.27	66	65.99	65.69	65.24(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-30	-26	113	3.3	59%	0.06	60.9	1.25%	0	0.8	76	INF
24	Nov_12_2014	62.95	63.83	65.06	66.09	66.1	66.22	66.01(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	10	7	141	1.62	59%	0.06	58	1.24%	0	1.3	87	INF
25	Nov_11_2014	62.91	63.63	64.76	65.85	65.92	66.29	66.38(0.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	65	40	34	159	1.77	59%		49.2	1.24%	0	1.8	93	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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