Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 18, 2014

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $57.5600 (1.12%) ($56.7400 - $57.6300) on Tue. Feb. 18, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $57.5600(1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLF(77%)    IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(67%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.42(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.29(4.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.49(5.63%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   11.8%
Market Cap   $17.638b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.81% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.9%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.55%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.6%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -0.74%(29%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(86%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.34%(14%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140318

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_18_2014	53.11	54.49	55.29	56.42	56.41	57.09	57.56(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	66	80	46	126	2.73	57%	0.17	41.3	1.36%	0	2	58	NAN
2	Feb_14_2014	53.02	54.27	54.76	56.04	56.01	56.34	56.92(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	55	40	40	100	3.19	59%	0.11	32.3	1.36%	0	1.9	65	NAN
3	Feb_13_2014	52.96	54.12	54.41	55.7	55.62	55.73	56.17(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	10	19	76	2.28	59%	0.09	25.4	1.36%	0	1.7	59	NAN
4	Feb_12_2014	52.91	54.04	54.25	55.26	55.37	55.69	55.78(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	50	36	82	2.61	56%	0.09	16.7	1.36%	0	1.5	64	NAN
5	Feb_11_2014	52.86	53.97	54.05	54.65	54.8	55.51	55.68(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	56	100	53	63	3.45	56%	0.09	2	1.4%	0	1.6	57	NAN

6	Feb_10_2014	52.81	53.86	53.98	53.96	53.97	55.05	55.63(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	66	140	70	54	2.41	56%	0.08	-20.1	1.4%	0	1.8	58	NAN
7	Feb_7_2014	52.77	53.83	53.73	53.28	53.18	54.09	55.25(2.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	51	110	61	20	4.02	56%	0.04	-38.9	1.4%	0	1.5	56	NAN
8	Feb_6_2014	52.75	53.81	53.58	52.96	52.73	52.88	53.97(2.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	7	10	15	-16	3.25	53%	0.04	-50	1.37%	0	0.2	49	NAN
9	Feb_5_2014	52.73	53.85	53.43	53.12	52.84	52.27	52.73(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-34	-90	-30	-45	3	50%	0	-50	1.35%	0	-1.1	42	NAN
10	Feb_4_2014	52.73	53.95	53.53	53.37	53.38	52.58	52.24(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-100	-59	-55	3.47	50%	0	-46.1	1.35%	0	-1.8	40	NAN

11	Feb_3_2014	52.73	54.06	53.65	53.98	53.92	53.4	52.21(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-39	-70	-44	-24	4.66	50%	0.02	-32.5	1.36%	0	-2.1	46	NAN
12	Jan_31_2014	52.72	54.21	53.79	54.2	54.35	54.17	53.65(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-10	-11	-16	3.23	54%	0.06	-26	1.31%	0	-0.7	43	NAN
13	Jan_30_2014	52.69	54.29	53.85	54.25	54.35	54.44	54.78(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	20	10	-12	3.25	57%	0.09	-18.8	1.29%	0	0.6	48	NAN
14	Jan_29_2014	52.64	54.34	53.83	53.77	54.33	54.54	53.98(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	60	24	-30	3.84	57%	0.08	-24.2	1.28%	0	-0.4	47	NAN
15	Jan_28_2014	52.6	54.39	53.9	53.71	53.91	54.23	55.29(3.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.8	9	50	23	-34	5.23	62%	0.11	-19.4	1.26%	0	1	52	NAN

16	Jan_27_2014	52.54	54.35	53.73	53.31	53.63	54.13	53.31(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	80	23	-65	5.28	57%	0.1	-29.3	1.18%	0	-1.2	45	NAN
17	Jan_24_2014	52.49	54.42	53.92	53.33	53.59	53.59	53.88(2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	0	10	21	-63	9.03	57%	0.1	-29.1	1.18%	0	-0.6	44	NAN
18	Jan_23_2014	52.44	54.45	54.04	53.41	53.42	53.14	52.4(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-40	-48	-93	5.05	52%	0.08	-21.8	1.13%	0	-2.4	33	NAN
19	Jan_22_2014	52.4	54.54	54.29	53.9	53.88	53.59	53.66(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-40	-22	-70	3.01	49%	0.11	-5.4	1.09%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
20	Jan_21_2014	52.34	54.57	54.4	54.12	54.21	53.71	53.29(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-60	-26	-60	4.04	49%	0.13	10.6	1.18%	0	-1.9	40	NAN

21	Jan_17_2014	52.27	54.61	54.52	54.19	54.37	54.17	53.41(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-46	-20	-40	-64	4.69	52%	0.11	25	1.17%	0	-2	46	NAN
22	Jan_16_2014	52.21	54.67	54.69	54.59	54.55	54.71	54.27(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-10	20	-5	-26	1.81	59%	0.13	60.6	1.18%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
23	Jan_15_2014	52.14	54.63	54.8	54.76	54.75	54.58	54.85(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	5	-20	8	-4	2.55	55%	0.15	71.8	1.19%	0	0.4	54	NAN
24	Jan_14_2014	52.06	54.58	54.9	54.75	54.77	54.38	54.78(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-20	-50	-26	-3	2.6	58%	0.1	66.1	1.21%	0	0.3	57	NAN
25	Jan_13_2014	52.01	54.5	54.93	54.74	54.94	54.92	53.66(-3.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-9	10	-15	10	3.34	55%		65.3	1.21%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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