Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 19, 2013

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $52.6700 (-0.28%) ($52.6100 - $53.3600) on Thu. Sep. 19, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.3% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $52.6700(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(67%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-10%)    SHY(-7%)    GLD(-4%)    TIP(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.65% (StdDev 1.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.19(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.11(3.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.7(5.98%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $16.139b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 1.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 15 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(60%) Sample size 15 Average positive next three day return: 1.3%(47%) Average negative next three day return: -1.68%(53%) Sample size 15 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.99%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2013	48.77	49.7	51.11	52.19	52.41	52.83	52.67(-0.28%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.3	83	70	38	218	2.94	53%	0.18	45.7	1.3%	0	1.6	91	NAN
2	Sep_18_2013	48.68	49.49	50.71	51.82	51.89	52.44	52.82(0.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	86	80	42	217	5.04	53%	0.19	39.6	1.3%	0	2	93	NAN
3	Sep_17_2013	48.59	49.3	50.26	51.38	51.41	51.99	52.59(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	91	80	51	210	3.55	53%	0.19	32.6	1.31%	0	2.2	93	NAN
4	Sep_16_2013	48.5	49.09	49.77	50.89	50.91	51.33	51.88(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	80	60	47	177	3.6	51%	0.17	21.7	1.3%	0	2.2	64	NAN
5	Sep_13_2013	48.42	48.96	49.31	50.35	50.44	50.82	50.98(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	61	60	39	128	2.14	46%	0.14	10	1.3%	0	1.8	57	NAN

6	Sep_12_2013	48.35	48.88	48.96	49.87	49.96	50.49	50.85(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	56	80	43	93	2.91	44%	0.14	-7.5	1.31%	0	1.9	60	NAN
7	Sep_11_2013	48.28	48.83	48.61	49.42	49.39	50.06	50.59(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	51	90	47	61	3.27	41%	0.12	-20.5	1.32%	0	1.8	61	NAN
8	Sep_10_2013	48.22	48.82	48.26	48.97	48.97	49.43	50.14(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	70	51	20	2.66	41%	0.15	-33.8	1.34%	0	1.3	52	NAN
9	Sep_9_2013	48.15	48.81	48.13	48.49	48.52	48.72	49.17(1.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	17	30	26	-11	1.82	38%	0.12	-49.3	1.32%	0	0.4	52	NAN
10	Sep_6_2013	48.09	48.85	48.14	48.11	48.24	48.51	48.59(-0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	5	50	19	-37	2.52	42%	0.12	-62.3	1.31%	0	-0.2	42	NAN

11	Sep_5_2013	48.03	48.96	48.17	47.91	47.98	48.33	48.62(0.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	8	60	26	-48	1.95	40%	0.13	-63.5	1.35%	0	-0.3	43	NAN
12	Sep_4_2013	47.97	49.04	48.16	47.66	47.72	47.98	48.33(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	40	24	-76	3.09	40%	0.1	-64.9	1.36%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
13	Sep_3_2013	47.92	49.16	48.26	47.43	47.5	47.64	47.76(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	30	-3	-109	1.97	43%	0.23	-66.3	1.35%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
14	Aug_30_2013	47.81	49.32	48.35	47.72	47.53	47.47	47.25(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-20	-20	-115	2.03	43%	0.08	-54.6	1.37%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
15	Aug_29_2013	47.77	49.52	48.61	48.18	48.01	47.36	47.59(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-45	-110	-26	-100	2.47	43%	0.1	-41.2	1.38%	0	-1.6	34	NAN

16	Aug_28_2013	47.72	49.69	48.81	48.46	48.45	47.58	47.36(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-71	-130	-57	-111	2.43	43%	0.08	-35.2	1.37%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
17	Aug_27_2013	47.68	49.81	49.11	48.73	48.87	48.67	47.21(-4.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-55	-20	-42	-93	4.03	43%	0.06	-36.6	1.37%	0	-2.7	33	NAN
18	Aug_26_2013	47.65	49.97	49.46	49.17	49.12	49.31	49.19(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	20	14	-56	2.33	48%	0.13	-35.1	1.29%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
19	Aug_23_2013	47.59	49.97	49.57	49.07	49.04	49.07	49.54(1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-15	0	4	-72	1.94	48%	0.15	-47.3	1.28%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
20	Aug_22_2013	47.52	50	49.63	49.12	49.05	48.93	49.01(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-20	-11	-85	1.94	46%	0.11	-52.7	1.28%	0	-1.4	34	NAN

21	Aug_21_2013	47.47	50.07	49.81	49.24	49.23	49.01	48.71(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-37	-30	-21	-85	2.26	47%	0.11	-53.6	1.3%	0	-2	32	NAN
22	Aug_20_2013	47.42	50.17	49.99	49.56	49.44	49.17	49.42(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-50	-26	-64	2.16	49%	0.11	-42.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	52	NAN
23	Aug_19_2013	47.37	50.23	50.12	49.81	49.77	49.45	48.69(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-32	-50	-27	-48	2.48	47%	0.02	-26	1.29%	0	-2.5	42	NAN
24	Aug_16_2013	47.36	50.35	50.36	50.13	50.08	49.7	49.78(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-60	-21	-19	2.77	51%	0.11	-8.9	1.3%	0	-1.1	53	NAN
25	Aug_15_2013	47.31	50.39	50.49	50.21	50.22	50.09	49.58(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-20	-20	-26	-3	3.03	53%		-7.1	1.32%	0	-1.6	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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