Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 4, 2013

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $43.2400 (-0.41%) ($42.8300 - $43.7600) on Thu. Apr. 4, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $43.2400(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(66%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

Resistance Level   $43.8
5 Day Moving Average   $44.04(-1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.43(-2.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $43.8(-1.28%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   14.4%
Market Cap   $13.25b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.74% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 4%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.02%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.65%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130504

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_4_2013	40.47	43.8	44.43	44.04	44.05	43.69	43.24(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-40	-60	-44	-27	4.4	58%	0.07	82.8	1.28%	0	-0.5	57	0
2	Apr_3_2013	40.44	43.72	44.61	44.39	44.45	44.25	43.42(-2.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-11	-30	-22	21	3.98	58%	0.07	94.4	1.29%	0	-0.2	56	0
3	Apr_2_2013	40.41	43.59	44.71	44.71	44.64	44.42	44.68(1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	-40	-15	67	4.12	65%	0.07	100.3	1.23%	0	0.7	73	0
4	Apr_1_2013	40.38	43.36	44.67	44.75	44.8	44.65	44.03(-1.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-20	-19	92	3.51	64%	0.07	96.6	1.25%	0	0.4	72	0
5	Mar_28_2013	40.35	43.13	44.69	44.94	44.96	44.87	44.84(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10	1	145	3.11	66%	0.1	81.7	1.24%	0	0.8	83	0

6	Mar_27_2013	40.31	42.83	44.51	44.87	44.92	44.94	44.98(-0.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	37	10	-3	156	4.33	66%	0.1	76.4	1.23%	0	1	81	0
7	Mar_26_2013	40.27	42.51	44.33	44.86	44.87	45.05	45.02(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	56	30	13	184	4.87	66%	0.12	71.7	1.24%	0	1.1	83	0
8	Mar_25_2013	40.22	42.15	44.05	44.71	44.78	44.91	44.87(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	62	30	17	196	4.42	66%	0.1	65	1.25%	0	1.1	85	0
9	Mar_22_2013	40.18	41.81	43.76	44.58	44.63	44.7	45(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	63	10	13	214	3.8	66%	0.1	62.5	1.25%	0	1.3	88	0
10	Mar_21_2013	40.14	41.5	43.4	44.41	44.43	44.65	44.46(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	74	40	20	237	5.72	66%	0.1	60.8	1.25%	0	1.3	89	0

11	Mar_20_2013	40.1	41.19	43.12	44.09	44.22	44.56	44.96(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	95	60	38	264	5.22	61%	0.12	57.4	1.24%	0	1.6	95	0
12	Mar_19_2013	40.05	40.88	42.74	43.71	43.81	44.21	44.24(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	93	70	36	264	8.25	57%	0.1	55.9	1.31%	0	1.6	94	0
13	Mar_18_2013	40.01	40.63	42.38	43.28	43.44	43.88	44.24(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	80	45	271	5.56	57%	0.1	52.3	1.34%	0	1.8	95	0
14	Mar_15_2013	39.97	40.36	41.93	42.8	42.95	43.41	44.14(3.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	102	90	46	268	9.86	57%	0.13	48.3	1.34%	0	2	93	0
15	Mar_14_2013	39.92	40.11	41.43	42.25	42.42	43.01	42.85(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	91	110	39	246	6.03	51%	0.08	46.3	1.3%	0	1.7	77	0

16	Mar_13_2013	39.89	39.92	41	41.99	42.01	42.49	43.06(2.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	93	80	45	235	6.23	51%	0.1	45.2	1.33%	0	2.1	80	0
17	Mar_12_2013	39.85	39.72	40.54	41.64	41.64	41.84	42.13(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	30	27	208	6.05	48%	0.05	45.6	1.32%	0	1.9	70	0
18	Mar_11_2013	39.83	39.6	40.11	41.33	41.46	41.54	41.84(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	63	20	26	172	4.91	48%	0.05	48.7	1.33%	0	1.9	63	0
19	Mar_8_2013	39.81	39.49	39.72	40.91	41.15	41.45	41.37(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	58	70	31	139	3.82	48%	0.03	48.1	1.32%	0	1.8	63	0
20	Mar_7_2013	39.8	39.38	39.46	40.46	40.63	41.38	41.57(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	73	140	59	115	4.35	48%	0.03	44.3	1.33%	0	2.3	61	0

21	Mar_6_2013	39.79	39.25	39.12	39.85	39.91	40.85	41.29(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	170	74	73	6.19	48%	0.05	38.8	1.34%	0	2.5	61	0
22	Mar_5_2013	39.77	39.14	38.86	39.27	39.21	39.88	40.58(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	59	120	69	29	5	46%	0.03	31	1.33%	0	2.1	56	0
23	Mar_4_2013	39.76	39.03	38.72	38.71	38.63	38.98	39.76(1.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	24	60	40	-25	3.64	43%	0.03	13.6	1.3%	0	1.2	46	0
24	Mar_1_2013	39.75	38.98	38.64	38.35	38.25	38.55	39.08(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	50	12	-70	5.41	40%	-0.03	-5.4	1.28%	0	0.2	42	0
25	Feb_28_2013	39.76	38.95	38.67	38.31	38.23	38.29	38.53(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	0	13	-73	6.01	37%		-13	1.26%	0	-0.7	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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