Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DFS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $41.5700 (0.68%) ($41.2500 - $41.6400) on Thu. Mar. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $41.5700(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(66%)    EWG(62%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.46(2.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.46(5.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.38(5.56%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   10%
Market Cap   $12.738b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 1.63%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.12%(64%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 2.74%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.58%(57%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 3.08%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.86%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2013	39.8	39.38	39.46	40.46	40.63	41.38	41.57(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	73	140	59	115	4.35	48%	0.03	44.3	1.33%	0	2.3	61	NAN
2	Mar_6_2013	39.79	39.25	39.12	39.85	39.91	40.85	41.29(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	74	170	74	73	6.19	48%	0.05	38.8	1.34%	0	2.5	61	NAN
3	Mar_5_2013	39.77	39.14	38.86	39.27	39.21	39.88	40.58(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	59	120	69	29	5	46%	0.03	31	1.33%	0	2.1	56	NAN
4	Mar_4_2013	39.76	39.03	38.72	38.71	38.63	38.98	39.76(1.74%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.8	24	60	40	-25	3.64	43%	0.03	13.6	1.3%	0	1.2	46	NAN
5	Mar_1_2013	39.75	38.98	38.64	38.35	38.25	38.55	39.08(1.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-9	50	12	-70	5.41	40%	-0.03	-5.4	1.28%	0	0.2	42	NAN

6	Feb_28_2013	39.76	38.95	38.67	38.31	38.23	38.29	38.53(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	0	13	-73	6.01	37%	-0.03	-13	1.26%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
7	Feb_27_2013	39.77	38.94	38.74	38.27	38.29	37.96	38.4(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-34	-60	-15	-89	4.72	35%	-0.03	-19.5	1.27%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
8	Feb_26_2013	39.78	38.93	38.85	38.38	38.39	38.17	37.8(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-53	-40	-40	-92	6.11	32%	-0.08	-20.1	1.27%	0	-1.8	38	NAN
9	Feb_25_2013	39.81	38.95	39.07	38.72	38.73	38.62	37.94(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-22	-20	-14	-44	4.48	32%	-0.05	-8.8	1.27%	0	-1.6	48	NAN
10	Feb_22_2013	39.83	39.02	39.27	38.97	38.95	38.6	38.89(1.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-60	-19	-19	2.97	35%	-0.05	0.7	1.24%	0	-0.2	52	NAN

11	Feb_21_2013	39.85	39.03	39.32	39.09	39.12	38.84	38.33(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-24	-50	-30	-4	6.53	32%	-0.03	6.8	1.24%	0	-1.2	53	NAN
12	Feb_20_2013	39.86	39.03	39.43	39.27	39.31	39.29	38.93(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-0	-10	31	3.69	33%	-0.03	12.1	1.22%	0	-0.2	62	NAN
13	Feb_19_2013	39.87	39.06	39.48	39.38	39.35	39.39	39.53(0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	11	0	-4	55	4.76	43%	0	10.6	1.22%	0	0.9	68	NAN
14	Feb_15_2013	39.87	39.06	39.39	39.48	39.45	39.33	39.15(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	10	-20	-8	63	3.92	43%	-0.03	0.7	1.33%	0	0.3	66	NAN
15	Feb_14_2013	39.88	39.01	39.36	39.63	39.59	39.31	39.52(0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-50	-11	64	3.94	39%	0.08	-1.4	1.43%	0	0.9	54	NAN

16	Feb_13_2013	39.85	39.01	39.26	39.59	39.76	39.57	39.22(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	6	-20	-10	55	3.94	39%	0.03	-9.4	1.47%	0	0.4	50	NAN
17	Feb_12_2013	39.84	38.99	39.16	39.61	39.75	39.86	39.48(-1.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	30	1	56	5.22	39%	0.03	-14.2	1.47%	0	0.9	57	NAN
18	Feb_11_2013	39.83	38.99	39.02	39.57	39.61	39.95	40.03(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	33	60	25	57	3.73	39%	0.05	-13.9	1.46%	0	1.8	62	NAN
19	Feb_8_2013	39.81	39	38.82	39.28	39.38	39.64	39.88(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	29	50	27	36	5.29	39%	0.05	-23.4	1.46%	0	1.5	65	NAN
20	Feb_7_2013	39.79	39.02	38.73	39.07	39.03	39.28	39.35(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	16	40	15	17	3.53	38%	0.03	-24	1.45%	0	0.5	49	NAN

21	Feb_6_2013	39.78	39.04	38.69	38.88	38.89	39.13	39.33(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	22	40	26	10	3.41	42%	0	-29.1	1.47%	0	0.4	51	NAN
22	Feb_5_2013	39.78	39.04	38.63	38.63	38.63	38.78	39.28(1.81%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.9	11	30	18	-12	4.25	40%	0.03	-28	1.52%	0	0.3	48	NAN
23	Feb_4_2013	39.77	39.07	38.63	38.39	38.38	38.65	38.58(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	0	50	12	-36	5.84	38%	-0.03	-28.6	1.51%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
24	Feb_1_2013	39.78	39.15	38.58	38.29	38.23	38.49	38.8(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	40	11	-59	7.07	38%	0	-19.4	1.52%	0	-0.5	32	NAN
25	Jan_31_2013	39.78	39.18	38.62	38.35	38.18	38.11	38.39(0.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-23	-30	-5	-75	12.11	40%		-10.9	1.51%	0	-1.1	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.