Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $40.4100 (1.79%) ($39.9100 - $40.6000) on Thu. Oct. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $40.4100(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(72%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(66%)    EWG(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-9%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.85(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.13(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.86(3.99%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $12.382b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.08% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 22 Average positive next day return: 0.97%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.66%(55%) Sample size 22 Average positive next three day return: 1.33%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -1.65%(36%) Sample size 22 Average positive next weekly return: 1.78%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.8%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2012	35.74	38.86	39.13	39.85	39.82	39.84	40.41(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	0	15	70	3.38	74%	0.22	48.6	1.61%	0	1.9	56	0
2	Oct_3_2012	35.66	38.74	38.9	39.71	39.69	39.58	39.7(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-20	13	54	3.78	72%	0.17	46.6	1.61%	0	1.3	52	0
3	Oct_2_2012	35.6	38.65	38.78	39.17	39.53	39.58	39.49(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	80	22	31	3.96	72%	0.17	23.9	1.62%	0	1.2	59	0
4	Oct_1_2012	35.54	38.61	38.67	38.8	38.95	39.8	39.92(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	29	160	33	17	4.89	72%	0.17	8.3	1.62%	0	1.9	61	0
5	Sep_28_2012	35.48	38.54	38.54	38.55	38.51	39.26	39.73(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	39	130	47	13	7	75%	0.17	-1.2	1.67%	0	1.9	61	0

6	Sep_27_2012	35.42	38.47	38.47	38.32	38.24	38.1	39.71(7.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.4	15	-30	21	-2	8.82	75%	0.2	-10.1	1.68%	0	2.2	58	0
7	Sep_26_2012	35.35	38.4	38.4	38.01	38.16	37.76	37.02(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-37	-60	-37	-35	5.41	69%	0.08	-27.7	1.43%	0	-2.8	41	0
8	Sep_25_2012	35.32	38.48	38.55	38.31	38.4	38.37	37.64(-2.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-14	0	-16	-6	5.84	73%	0.14	3	1.41%	0	-2.2	50	0
9	Sep_24_2012	35.27	38.48	38.63	38.49	38.52	38.56	38.63(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	10	4	9	3.99	79%	0.14	40.9	1.37%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Sep_21_2012	35.22	38.55	38.59	38.51	38.53	38.43	38.62(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-6	-20	-8	1	5.19	74%	0.14	54.5	1.37%	0	0.2	49	0

11	Sep_20_2012	35.17	38.52	38.58	38.64	38.6	38.47	38.16(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-14	-30	-20	5	3.98	74%	0.11	68.1	1.39%	0	-1	49	0
12	Sep_19_2012	35.13	38.54	38.59	38.86	38.85	38.64	38.51(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-40	-2	24	3.98	76%	0.11	110.2	1.4%	0	-0.1	51	0
13	Sep_18_2012	35.09	38.47	38.54	38.81	38.88	38.73	38.51(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-4	-20	-9	12	3.72	76%	0.14	78.4	1.42%	0	0.1	50	0
14	Sep_17_2012	35.04	38.41	38.54	38.78	38.81	39.07	38.73(-1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	50	8	15	4.16	76%	0.11	71.3	1.42%	0	0.6	47	0
15	Sep_14_2012	35	38.37	38.56	38.68	38.69	39.03	39.31(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	60	28	18	5.15	81%	0.17	72.6	1.42%	0	1.7	57	0

16	Sep_13_2012	34.94	38.29	38.46	38.51	38.45	38.56	39.26(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	14	20	17	6	4.23	75%	0.17	80.4	1.42%	0	1.8	62	0
17	Sep_12_2012	34.88	38.17	38.37	38.3	38.36	38.35	38.26(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	0	4	-11	3.58	73%	0.14	63.9	1.43%	0	0.2	48	0
18	Sep_11_2012	34.83	38.1	38.4	38.23	38.3	38.34	38.34(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-5	10	-5	-4	2.59	73%	0.17	52.4	1.44%	0	0.4	65	0
19	Sep_10_2012	34.77	38.03	38.45	38.32	38.33	38.38	38.22(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	3	10	-2	19	2.3	73%	0.14	53.3	1.45%	0	0.3	62	0
20	Sep_7_2012	34.72	37.96	38.49	38.42	38.43	38.27	38.47(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	8	-30	-1	35	2.9	76%	0.17	56.9	1.46%	0	0.7	57	0

21	Sep_6_2012	34.66	37.87	38.46	38.4	38.49	38.29	38.23(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-30	-14	32	4.71	77%	0.17	60.3	1.47%	0	0.5	55	0
22	Sep_5_2012	34.6	37.81	38.48	38.45	38.55	38.6	37.91(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	20	-8	54	5.4	77%	0.14	70.3	1.48%	0	0.1	61	0
23	Sep_4_2012	34.55	37.77	38.42	38.58	38.57	38.7	38.75(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	20	7	73	3.64	82%	0.23	79.3	1.45%	0	1.2	70	0
24	Aug_31_2012	34.47	37.66	38.27	38.61	38.53	38.49	38.73(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10	1	66	2.18	68%	0.17	80.9	1.72%	0	1.3	68	0
25	Aug_30_2012	34.41	37.55	38.17	38.59	38.58	38.43	38.37(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	17	-30	-2	73	2.42	68%		73.5	1.72%	0	0.9	66	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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