Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $34.5400 (-0.32%) ($33.8800 - $34.8100) on Thu. Jul. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $34.5400(-0.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(72%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(65%)    EWG(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    IGOV(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.75(-0.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $34.75(-0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.1(1.29%)
To recent high   -2.6%
To recent low   12.4%
Market Cap   $10.584b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.7%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.64%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.09%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 1.42%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.37%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120812

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_12_2012	32.76	34.1	34.75	34.75	34.67	34.42	34.54(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-60	-15	52	4.68	54%	0.15	64.7	1.68%	0	0.5	64	NAN
2	Jul_11_2012	32.71	33.99	34.67	34.91	34.87	34.61	34.65(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-60	-19	57	4.9	56%	0.15	66.7	1.69%	0	0.7	55	NAN
3	Jul_10_2012	32.66	33.9	34.57	35.07	35.1	34.93	34.24(-2.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	9	-30	-12	70	4.45	54%	0.06	80.4	1.7%	0	0.4	58	NAN
4	Jul_9_2012	32.64	33.82	34.52	35.2	35.22	35.13	35.01(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	23	-20	0	93	3.17	57%	0.15	89.3	1.68%	0	1.2	72	NAN
5	Jul_6_2012	32.59	33.7	34.38	35.12	35.13	35.27	35.31(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	30	16	102	2.95	57%	0.18	99.7	1.69%	0	1.6	72	NAN

6	Jul_5_2012	32.53	33.55	34.19	34.73	34.95	35.3	35.36(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	47	90	30	96	3.75	57%	0.34	87.8	1.7%	0	1.9	76	NAN
7	Jul_3_2012	32.42	33.36	34.05	34.39	34.41	34.99	35.45(1.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	49	120	32	99	3.07	55%	0.22	65.1	1.7%	0	2	78	NAN
8	Jul_2_2012	32.35	33.14	33.85	34	34.02	34.59	34.89(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	49	120	37	86	3.52	55%	0.22	45	1.69%	0	1.7	65	NAN
9	Jun_29_2012	32.28	32.94	33.65	33.74	33.72	33.82	34.58(3.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	34	20	22	71	5.3	55%	0.16	29.4	1.68%	0	1.6	67	NAN
10	Jun_28_2012	32.23	32.74	33.48	33.55	33.47	33.46	33.36(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	-10	-8	52	3.67	49%	0.16	17.6	1.62%	0	0.6	55	NAN

11	Jun_27_2012	32.18	32.73	33.39	33.57	33.6	33.62	33.67(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	10	-1	58	3.8	49%	0.16	21.8	1.64%	0	1	63	NAN
12	Jun_26_2012	32.13	32.7	33.25	33.66	33.67	33.49	33.51(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	-40	-5	69	6.26	49%	0.16	29.6	1.64%	0	0.9	67	NAN
13	Jun_25_2012	32.08	32.68	33.19	33.67	33.75	33.59	33.6(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	23	-30	-1	93	4.66	49%	0.19	34	1.64%	0	1	71	NAN
14	Jun_22_2012	32.02	32.63	33.07	33.52	33.65	33.85	33.61(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	30	50	6	101	15.03	56%	0.19	36.5	1.71%	0	1.1	72	NAN
15	Jun_21_2012	31.96	32.58	32.99	33.4	33.43	33.91	33.45(-2.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	100	26	123	7.63	56%	0.19	40.2	1.74%	0	1	72	NAN

16	Jun_20_2012	31.9	32.52	32.87	33.18	33.14	33.46	34.14(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	54	60	36	108	8.39	56%	0.22	30.6	1.73%	0	1.8	54	NAN
17	Jun_19_2012	31.83	32.42	32.61	32.78	32.75	32.95	33.57(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	40	10	59	10.01	56%	0.19	13.9	1.73%	0	1.5	50	NAN
18	Jun_18_2012	31.77	32.36	32.36	32.65	32.62	32.83	32.83(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	40	12	31	6.13	54%	0.19	3.4	1.72%	0	0.6	46	NAN
19	Jun_15_2012	31.71	32.29	32.17	32.56	32.57	32.56	32.99(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	-0	5	4	5.89	54%	0.16	-14.9	1.72%	0	0.9	51	NAN
20	Jun_14_2012	31.66	32.22	31.95	32.53	32.59	32.41	32.37(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-4	-20	6.69	52%	0.16	-28.4	1.7%	0	0.2	49	NAN

21	Jun_13_2012	31.61	32.25	32	32.5	32.6	32.59	32.12(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3	10	-0	-13	6.1	56%	0.13	-29.8	1.7%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
22	Jun_12_2012	31.57	32.31	32.1	32.4	32.53	32.76	32.92(1.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	17	60	23	-1	3.62	58%	0.19	-32.3	1.74%	0	0.7	54	NAN
23	Jun_11_2012	31.51	32.33	32.12	32.03	32.22	32.62	32.4(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	19	100	30	-13	3.63	58%	0.16	-42.9	1.73%	0	0.1	49	NAN
24	Jun_8_2012	31.46	32.41	32.15	31.71	31.72	32.3	32.82(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	130	37	-18	3.05	58%	0.19	-46.2	1.73%	0	0.4	61	NAN
25	Jun_7_2012	31.4	32.44	32.12	31.29	31.31	31.81	32.26(2.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	110	16	-42	5.41	57%		-57.9	1.71%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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