Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 27, 2012

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $33.8100 (-0.06%) ($33.6000 - $34.0000) on Tue. Mar. 27, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   84
Latest Price   $33.8100(-0.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(65%)    EWG(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $33.12(2.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $32.65(3.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.66(6.79%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   41.2%
Market Cap   $10.36b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.89% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.34%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.28%(44%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 2.29%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(56%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 5.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.14%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120427

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_27_2012	27.03	31.66	32.65	33.12	33.25	33.83	33.81(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	66	130	34	162	7.28	73%	0.37	66.3	1.46%	0	1.7	84	NAN
2	Mar_26_2012	26.93	31.49	32.46	32.73	32.77	33.59	33.83(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	80	180	51	167	9.06	73%	0.34	63.4	1.48%	0	2	86	NAN
3	Mar_23_2012	26.84	31.28	32.15	32.46	32.33	32.68	33.83(4.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	71	60	44	152	13.39	73%	0.37	65.2	1.49%	0	2.4	76	NAN
4	Mar_22_2012	26.74	31.09	31.82	32.1	32.1	31.95	32.49(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	-30	1	119	12.87	69%	0.34	69.6	1.42%	0	1.6	70	NAN
5	Mar_21_2012	26.65	30.96	31.62	32.01	32.15	31.99	31.64(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-20	-14	107	7.51	66%	0.34	74.4	1.39%	0	0.8	62	NAN

6	Mar_20_2012	26.56	30.87	31.51	32.09	32.19	32.25	31.86(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	29	20	-4	127	10.2	66%	0.34	83.5	1.38%	0	1.1	71	NAN
7	Mar_19_2012	26.47	30.76	31.32	32.12	32.23	32.31	32.48(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	30	27	139	7.5	71%	0.3	91.9	1.38%	0	2	72	NAN
8	Mar_16_2012	26.39	30.61	31.12	31.78	32	32.13	32.05(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	50	20	116	7.26	76%	0.3	95.1	1.44%	0	1.8	74	NAN
9	Mar_15_2012	26.31	30.48	30.96	31.49	31.6	32.15	32.02(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	130	29	98	7.49	68%	0.34	96	1.55%	0	2	67	NAN
10	Mar_14_2012	26.22	30.33	30.81	31.17	31.25	31.87	32.04(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	57	150	47	87	5.96	68%	0.38	89.2	1.62%	0	2.3	69	NAN

11	Mar_13_2012	26.12	30.15	30.6	30.84	30.79	31.05	32.02(4.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	43	50	36	65	5.52	68%	0.31	76.6	1.62%	0	2.6	71	NAN
12	Mar_12_2012	26.04	29.98	30.42	30.42	30.49	30.62	30.78(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	40	8	35	4.08	64%	0.31	71	1.57%	0	1.3	64	NAN
13	Mar_9_2012	25.96	29.86	30.33	30.36	30.34	30.53	30.61(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	40	7	34	3.49	68%	0.31	60.9	1.6%	0	1.1	64	NAN
14	Mar_8_2012	25.88	29.77	30.29	30.34	30.3	30.36	30.38(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	3	38	3.1	68%	0.35	68.9	1.64%	0	0.9	62	NAN
15	Mar_7_2012	25.79	29.69	30.25	30.4	30.34	30.15	30.39(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	13	-50	-0	52	3.11	68%	0.27	77.4	1.67%	0	1	68	NAN

16	Mar_6_2012	25.72	29.62	30.19	30.33	30.37	30.24	29.93(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-30	-13	57	4.72	68%	0.31	86.8	1.67%	0	0.4	70	NAN
17	Mar_5_2012	25.64	29.54	30.17	30.41	30.44	30.53	30.49(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	20	7	85	3.39	72%	0.23	91.2	1.65%	0	1.2	73	NAN
18	Mar_2_2012	25.58	29.43	30.08	30.28	30.37	30.5	30.53(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	40	10	94	2.63	72%	0.27	92.8	1.65%	0	1.4	77	NAN
19	Mar_1_2012	25.51	29.29	29.98	30.22	30.2	30.35	30.67(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	30	10	100	3.79	72%	0.2	86.6	1.65%	0	1.7	67	NAN
20	Feb_29_2012	25.46	29.14	29.82	30.09	30.12	30.24	30.01(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	30	10	93	4.21	74%	0.24	84.9	1.71%	0	1.1	64	NAN

21	Feb_28_2012	25.4	29.01	29.68	30.03	30.01	30.04	30.37(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	0	8	85	4.69	74%	0.24	73.6	1.72%	0	1.5	65	NAN
22	Feb_27_2012	25.34	28.85	29.51	29.9	29.92	30	29.84(-1.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	20	4	81	4.36	72%	0.24	66.9	1.71%	0	1.1	68	NAN
23	Feb_24_2012	25.28	28.72	29.35	29.84	29.88	29.98	30.19(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	30	11	82	3.74	72%	0.28	62.2	1.7%	0	1.6	73	NAN
24	Feb_23_2012	25.21	28.6	29.21	29.71	29.79	29.83	30.04(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	20	12	88	3.94	72%	0.28	67.4	1.72%	0	1.7	75	NAN
25	Feb_22_2012	25.14	28.47	29.08	29.51	29.65	29.77	29.72(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	40	14	88	3.84	72%		67.4	1.73%	0	1.5	74	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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