Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $26.5100 (0.68%) ($25.9100 - $26.7600) on Fri. Jan. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.63% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $26.5100(0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XAR(65%)    EWG(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -1.315% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    IGOV(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.315% (StdDev 2.63%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.75(2.95%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.06(5.79%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.56(7.94%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20%
Market Cap   $8.123b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.3% (three month std-dev: 2.63%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(54%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(46%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.09%(85%) Average negative next three day return: -1.63%(15%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(69%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.95%(31%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_13_2012	24.24	24.56	25.06	25.75	25.81	26.2	26.51(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	110	25	87	7.16	49%	0.12	55.8	2.63%	0	2.4	75	NAN
2	Jan_12_2012	24.21	24.42	24.82	25.31	25.35	25.88	26.33(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	34	150	24	63	5.74	49%	0.04	39.7	2.7%	0	2.5	75	NAN
3	Jan_11_2012	24.2	24.29	24.57	24.95	24.93	25.42	25.86(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	140	24	44	6.44	49%	0.08	29.1	2.7%	0	2.6	71	NAN
4	Jan_10_2012	24.18	24.2	24.39	24.64	24.58	24.82	25.65(5.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	21	60	18	31	9.43	51%	0.12	15.7	2.7%	0	3	76	NAN
5	Jan_9_2012	24.15	24.14	24.25	24.35	24.35	24.45	24.4(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	30	5	14	3.29	48%	0.04	5.8	2.69%	0	0.8	52	NAN

6	Jan_6_2012	24.14	24.12	24.24	24.27	24.31	24.35	24.3(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	20	4	20	3.43	51%	0.08	-2	2.71%	0	0.5	65	NAN
7	Jan_5_2012	24.12	24.13	24.23	24.24	24.21	24.25	24.52(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	10	4	21	4.57	51%	0	4.7	2.76%	0	1.1	57	NAN
8	Jan_4_2012	24.12	24.12	24.2	24.12	24.16	24.28	24.31(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	40	3	18	5.19	51%	0.04	16.1	2.76%	0	0.5	55	NAN
9	Jan_3_2012	24.11	24.13	24.2	24.1	24.12	24.17	24.21(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	20	1	11	4.37	49%	0.04	31.5	2.78%	0	0.2	50	NAN
10	Dec_30_2011	24.1	24.12	24.13	24.15	24.1	24.03	24(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-0	-30	-3	8	1.94	49%	0	51.7	2.8%	0	-0.3	43	NAN

11	Dec_29_2011	24.1	24.13	24.05	24.21	24.18	24.07	24.14(0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-40	-3	4	2.87	49%	0.12	71.8	2.83%	0	0	52	NAN
12	Dec_28_2011	24.07	24.11	24.05	24.22	24.24	24.17	23.95(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3	-20	-4	-1	2.6	47%	0.04	78.4	2.83%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
13	Dec_27_2011	24.06	24.06	24.05	24.27	24.26	24.29	24.19(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	10	3	0	2.6	45%	0.21	64.6	2.87%	0	0.3	49	NAN
14	Dec_23_2011	24.01	24.01	24.01	24.15	24.24	24.32	24.49(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	1	30	4	-8	2.44	45%	0.04	50.7	2.92%	0	0.9	50	NAN
15	Dec_22_2011	24	23.94	24.02	24.1	24.13	24.22	24.3(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	30	10	-4	2.99	45%	-0.04	51.3	2.92%	0	0.7	51	NAN

16	Dec_21_2011	24.01	23.87	23.98	23.85	24	24.15	24.17(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	60	5	-18	3.19	42%	0	30	2.92%	0	0.5	52	NAN
17	Dec_20_2011	24.01	23.83	24.01	23.78	23.88	24.04	24.22(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	60	6	-16	5.69	42%	-0.08	13.7	2.99%	0	0.7	54	NAN
18	Dec_19_2011	24.03	23.76	24.02	23.71	23.79	23.86	23.57(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	30	-2	-10	4.8	42%	-0.08	-2.3	2.98%	0	-0.3	59	NAN
19	Dec_16_2011	24.05	23.74	24.12	23.84	23.83	23.71	24.23(5.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	-2	-40	-4	5	9.74	42%	-0.04	-8.9	2.96%	0	0.8	60	NAN
20	Dec_15_2011	24.06	23.66	24.11	23.94	23.96	23.73	23.07(-3.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-60	-11	17	10.79	39%	-0.12	-11.5	2.9%	0	-0.9	54	NAN

21	Dec_14_2011	24.09	23.7	24.22	24.12	24.16	23.95	23.82(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-60	-9	37	5.9	42%	-0.08	-3.6	2.88%	0	0.2	62	NAN
22	Dec_13_2011	24.11	23.75	24.23	24.27	24.25	24.19	23.88(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-20	-7	50	6.71	42%	-0.08	4.4	2.9%	0	0.2	58	NAN
23	Dec_12_2011	24.13	23.78	24.14	24.37	24.31	24.37	24.21(-2.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	14	10	-1	58	4.56	45%	-0.08	7.2	2.9%	0	0.6	65	NAN
24	Dec_9_2011	24.15	23.8	24.04	24.43	24.34	24.3	24.74(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-20	4	65	4.11	45%	-0.08	10.8	2.94%	0	1.3	67	NAN
25	Dec_8_2011	24.17	23.74	23.86	24.32	24.36	24.26	23.97(-2.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-20	-3	61	3.73	43%		1.7	2.93%	0	0.3	66	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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