Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $23.4300 (-1.72%) ($23.4200 - $24.0600) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $23.4300(-1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(72%)    IWM(71%)    SPY(69%)    EWG(61%)    XLY(61%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-28%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-4%)    GLD(-1%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.86(-19.5%)
Resistance Level   $24.33
5 Day Moving Average   $23.68(-1.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.19(-3.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.33(-3.7%)
To recent high   -8.8%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $7.179b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 2.59% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.09%(56%) Average negative next day return: -0.36%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.83%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -1.79%(33%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 4.33%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.79%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2011	22.81	24.33	24.19	23.68	23.76	23.79	23.43(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	20	-2	-73	8.56	53%	0.18	-42.1	1.69%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
2	May_31_2011	22.77	24.4	24.37	23.7	23.7	23.87	23.84(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-17	50	-2	-63	15.63	58%	0.4	-44.2	1.7%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
3	May_27_2011	22.68	24.44	24.49	23.82	23.72	23.73	23.77(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10	-8	-50	4.51	55%	0.22	-39.5	1.72%	0	-1.2	42	NAN
4	May_26_2011	22.63	24.5	24.55	24.05	23.9	23.52	23.8(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-130	-31	-42	4.1	55%	0.18	-29	1.74%	0	-1.3	47	NAN
5	May_25_2011	22.59	24.54	24.61	24.43	24.32	23.71	23.55(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.7	-36	-190	-42	-16	10.28	55%	0.22	-13	1.75%	0	-1.9	48	NAN

6	May_24_2011	22.54	24.6	24.69	24.78	24.86	24.29	23.55(-3.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.6	-26	-150	-39	15	8.1	57%	0.22	7.7	1.75%	0	-2.2	48	NAN
7	May_23_2011	22.49	24.66	24.81	25.12	25.18	24.92	24.43(-1.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-5	-70	-23	49	5.97	61%	0.27	41.2	1.71%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
8	May_20_2011	22.43	24.67	24.83	25.25	25.31	25.43	24.92(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.8	24	40	8	71	6.79	59%	0.31	51.7	1.74%	0	0.6	53	NAN
9	May_19_2011	22.36	24.66	24.77	25.12	25.16	25.45	25.68(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	36	90	27	63	6.63	62%	0.31	51.7	1.71%	0	2.4	59	NAN
10	May_18_2011	22.29	24.61	24.6	24.82	24.82	25.2	25.33(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	110	26	31	5.58	62%	0.32	47.9	1.72%	0	2	58	NAN

11	May_17_2011	22.22	24.56	24.47	24.59	24.52	24.87	25.26(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	18	90	22	5	6.73	62%	0.32	37.3	1.72%	0	2.1	60	NAN
12	May_16_2011	22.15	24.49	24.4	24.45	24.34	24.44	25.07(3.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	7	20	12	-10	10.17	64%	0.14	22.9	1.72%	0	1.8	53	NAN
13	May_13_2011	22.12	24.45	24.35	24.36	24.33	24.18	24.24(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8	-50	-3	-22	5.11	61%	0.27	22.8	1.66%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
14	May_12_2011	22.06	24.45	24.41	24.37	24.38	24.24	24.2(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-40	-6	-21	3.75	61%	0.27	22	1.67%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
15	May_11_2011	22	24.45	24.46	24.33	24.42	24.48	24.18(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-5	30	2	-25	4.22	61%	0.27	15.7	1.69%	0	-0.8	39	NAN

16	May_10_2011	21.94	24.44	24.49	24.31	24.32	24.52	24.58(-0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	60	4	-25	4.09	63%	0.32	5.3	1.67%	0	0.4	54	NAN
17	May_9_2011	21.87	24.42	24.5	24.34	24.26	24.37	24.61(1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	20	6	-10	3.39	61%	0.32	1.5	1.69%	0	0.6	61	NAN
18	May_6_2011	21.8	24.38	24.49	24.35	24.32	24.13	24.29(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	-60	-8	-12	3.61	63%	0.28	-1.4	1.71%	0	-0.3	51	NAN
19	May_5_2011	21.74	24.37	24.54	24.46	24.45	24.15	24.01(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-15	-90	-21	2	4.39	63%	0.23	6.3	1.72%	0	-1	53	NAN
20	May_4_2011	21.69	24.39	24.63	24.6	24.65	24.52	24.05(-2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-3	-30	-12	25	5.13	63%	0.23	10.1	1.73%	0	-1	50	NAN

21	May_3_2011	21.64	24.42	24.67	24.69	24.7	24.76	24.75(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	20	-0	43	3.94	66%	0.23	19.3	1.69%	0	1	60	NAN
22	May_2_2011	21.59	24.41	24.59	24.68	24.68	24.79	24.67(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	15	30	6	43	2.8	66%	0.28	23.7	1.69%	0	0.8	58	NAN
23	Apr_29_2011	21.53	24.38	24.55	24.65	24.64	24.65	24.84(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	0	4	46	3.75	66%	0.28	23	1.68%	0	1.4	63	NAN
24	Apr_28_2011	21.47	24.35	24.47	24.63	24.61	24.57	24.67(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10	-6	40	3.69	63%	0.28	26.8	1.69%	0	1	58	NAN
25	Apr_27_2011	21.41	24.36	24.42	24.68	24.69	24.63	24.5(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	11	-20	-0	44	5.25	63%		51.1	1.73%	0	0.4	51	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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