Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DFS: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Mar. 24, 2011

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $23.8600 (1.79%) ($23.3000 - $23.9000) on Thu. Mar. 24, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $23.8600(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XLY(61%)    EWG(60%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.84(4.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.29(7.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.96(8.65%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   31.3%
Market Cap   $7.311b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.1% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.78%(25%) Average negative next day return: -1.18%(75%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.5%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.13%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 4.62%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110424

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_24_2011	20.05	21.96	22.29	22.84	22.93	23.38	23.86(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	64	150	48	110	6.39	68%	0.3	53.2	1.71%	0	2.8	68	0
2	Mar_23_2011	19.99	21.84	22.06	22.39	22.52	22.79	23.44(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	47	100	39	71	11.73	67%	0.3	40.5	1.71%	0	2.9	67	0
3	Mar_22_2011	19.93	21.71	21.89	21.94	22.14	22.49	22.25(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	23	140	18	37	8.64	64%	0.2	16.1	1.6%	0	1.3	64	0
4	Mar_21_2011	19.89	21.66	21.88	21.83	21.89	22.26	22.64(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	130	28	51	5.09	66%	0.25	2.1	1.57%	0	2.4	67	0
5	Mar_18_2011	19.84	21.61	21.76	21.69	21.63	21.8	22(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	50	13	29	5.18	64%	0.25	-7.6	1.53%	0	1.1	52	0

6	Mar_17_2011	19.79	21.6	21.72	21.65	21.57	21.51	21.62(2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-30	-1	17	5.03	59%	0.2	-5.7	1.54%	0	0.1	48	0
7	Mar_16_2011	19.75	21.62	21.72	21.67	21.62	21.46	21.17(-2.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-8	-60	-14	10	5.41	53%	0.2	6.8	1.57%	0	-1.3	46	0
8	Mar_15_2011	19.71	21.62	21.71	21.81	21.68	21.62	21.73(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-40	-14	26	6.46	56%	0.2	21	1.58%	0	0.2	61	0
9	Mar_14_2011	19.67	21.65	21.66	21.92	21.84	21.77	21.92(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	15	-30	5	45	3.6	56%	0.25	39.5	1.58%	0	0.8	61	0
10	Mar_11_2011	19.62	21.64	21.66	21.85	21.87	21.73	21.83(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-40	-2	34	3.07	56%	0.2	50	1.57%	0	0.6	49	0

11	Mar_10_2011	19.58	21.62	21.63	21.8	21.83	21.9	21.7(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	7	30	0	28	4.45	59%	0.2	60.8	1.58%	0	0.2	46	0
12	Mar_9_2011	19.54	21.6	21.62	21.75	21.78	22.01	21.89(-1.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	80	21	26	5.17	59%	0.26	60.5	1.61%	0	0.8	48	0
13	Mar_8_2011	19.49	21.57	21.53	21.58	21.62	21.76	22.27(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	19	50	24	2	4.35	62%	0.26	57	1.59%	0	2.1	57	0
14	Mar_7_2011	19.44	21.52	21.41	21.35	21.42	21.55	21.54(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-11	50	-0	-43	3.96	56%	0.26	48.3	1.55%	0	0.1	47	0
15	Mar_4_2011	19.39	21.47	21.44	21.4	21.4	21.48	21.61(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-7	30	2	-35	4.75	56%	0.21	47.7	1.6%	0	0.4	49	0

16	Mar_3_2011	19.35	21.42	21.47	21.44	21.47	21.29	21.45(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-50	-4	-28	3.12	56%	0.21	39.8	1.61%	0	0.1	49	0
17	Mar_2_2011	19.31	21.39	21.51	21.47	21.54	21.32	21.05(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-60	-11	-15	3	54%	0.21	37.7	1.6%	0	-0.7	52	0
18	Mar_1_2011	19.27	21.38	21.58	21.47	21.62	21.65	21.12(-2.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4	30	-2	-10	4.83	57%	0.21	41.9	1.6%	0	-0.6	47	0
19	Feb_28_2011	19.23	21.36	21.65	21.46	21.51	21.77	21.75(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	5	90	6	3	2.85	60%	0.26	41	1.57%	0	0.8	59	0
20	Feb_25_2011	19.18	21.3	21.64	21.48	21.41	21.59	21.82(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	50	9	24	3	60%	0.26	40.2	1.57%	0	1	66	0

21	Feb_24_2011	19.13	21.26	21.62	21.51	21.43	21.25	21.61(2.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-70	-7	39	5.33	62%	0.26	50.6	1.58%	0	0.7	65	0
22	Feb_23_2011	19.08	21.21	21.57	21.59	21.56	21.23	21(-0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-110	-23	50	4.8	60%	0.21	57.1	1.57%	0	-0.4	59	0
23	Feb_22_2011	19.04	21.19	21.63	21.71	21.74	21.62	21.1(-3.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	5	-30	-18	75	3.91	60%	0.42	60	1.57%	0	-0.2	55	0
24	Feb_18_2011	18.96	21.16	21.64	21.85	21.81	21.89	21.86(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	31	20	3	115	3.36	65%	0.26	64.5	1.49%	0	1.3	70	0
25	Feb_17_2011	18.91	21.09	21.53	21.82	21.78	21.87	21.99(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	20	11	121	2.2	65%		67.3	1.49%	0	1.6	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.