Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Feb. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $20.8900 (1.46%) ($20.7200 - $21.1300) on Tue. Feb. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.64% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $20.8900(1.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(71%)    PEJ(71%)    SPY(69%)    XLY(61%)    EWG(60%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -0.82% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-27%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    IGOV(-3%)    GLD(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.82% (StdDev 1.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.74(0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.59(1.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $20.09(3.98%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   15.9%
Market Cap   $6.401b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.63% (three month std-dev: 1.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 1.35%(20%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3.14%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -3.41%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 6.79%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2011	18.28	20.09	20.59	20.74	20.76	20.71	20.89(1.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10	9	64	2.74	56%	0.27	76.9	1.64%	0	1.1	74	0
2	Jan_31_2011	18.23	19.99	20.57	20.65	20.68	20.65	20.59(0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-10	-2	78	3.11	56%	0.28	73.6	1.65%	0	0.8	74	0
3	Jan_28_2011	18.18	19.89	20.55	20.65	20.63	20.81	20.46(-2.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	60	4	103	4.13	56%	0.28	70	1.65%	0	0.7	75	0
4	Jan_27_2011	18.13	19.78	20.51	20.62	20.55	20.71	21.04(1.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	47	40	18	133	5.91	59%	0.33	64.8	1.61%	0	1.5	83	0
5	Jan_26_2011	18.07	19.65	20.4	20.48	20.47	20.45	20.73(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10	6	129	3.02	59%	0.28	64.2	1.61%	0	1.3	76	0

6	Jan_25_2011	18.02	19.54	20.26	20.42	20.44	20.4	20.45(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	28	-10	-7	133	4.84	59%	0.17	65.2	1.6%	0	1.1	79	0
7	Jan_24_2011	17.99	19.45	20.13	20.48	20.45	20.49	20.42(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	10	1	152	3.37	59%	0.22	71.8	1.6%	0	1.2	73	0
8	Jan_21_2011	17.95	19.35	19.99	20.47	20.47	20.48	20.47(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	49	0	10	165	3.62	59%	0.28	74.1	1.61%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Jan_20_2011	17.9	19.23	19.84	20.38	20.37	20.41	20.34(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	48	10	6	174	4.48	59%	0.34	67.7	1.61%	0	1.4	79	0
10	Jan_19_2011	17.84	19.13	19.73	20.3	20.25	20.46	20.42(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	70	22	186	6.36	59%	0.34	60.3	1.61%	0	1.7	71	0

11	Jan_18_2011	17.78	19.02	19.55	20.06	20.07	20.34	20.74(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	70	100	36	173	5.15	59%	0.51	49.7	1.59%	0	2.4	75	0
12	Jan_14_2011	17.69	18.88	19.35	19.74	19.73	20.04	20.38(1.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	110	32	140	4.86	54%	0.4	34.1	1.63%	0	2.4	73	0
13	Jan_13_2011	17.62	18.78	19.16	19.44	19.42	19.79	20.04(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	50	130	30	111	5.72	56%	0.34	23	1.62%	0	2.4	72	0
14	Jan_12_2011	17.56	18.72	18.97	19.23	19.17	19.42	19.9(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	39	80	23	85	6.26	56%	0.34	17.1	1.67%	0	2.6	74	0
15	Jan_11_2011	17.5	18.67	18.83	19.08	19.02	19.05	19.24(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	0	13	75	4.17	52%	0.29	18.2	1.62%	0	1.5	68	0

16	Jan_10_2011	17.45	18.67	18.76	18.96	18.94	18.92	19.12(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10	3	64	3.46	52%	0.29	9.8	1.62%	0	1.3	65	0
17	Jan_7_2011	17.4	18.66	18.7	18.9	18.87	19	18.9(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	40	7	71	2.89	52%	0.29	10.6	1.62%	0	0.6	67	0
18	Jan_6_2011	17.35	18.65	18.66	18.83	18.83	18.96	18.99(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	50	21	68	3.05	52%	0.23	3	1.63%	0	0.9	56	0
19	Jan_5_2011	17.31	18.64	18.58	18.66	18.66	18.74	19.17(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	30	12	30	6.5	56%	0.29	-9.8	1.62%	0	1.5	48	0
20	Jan_4_2011	17.26	18.61	18.48	18.54	18.53	18.7	18.62(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	60	5	-2	4.55	53%	0.23	-17.6	1.64%	0	0	40	0

21	Jan_3_2011	17.22	18.63	18.45	18.53	18.51	18.58	18.83(1.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	20	11	-16	3.8	53%	0.23	-10.4	1.64%	0	0.6	44	0
22	Dec_31_2010	17.18	18.62	18.37	18.48	18.46	18.36	18.53(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-40	-2	-49	3.16	53%	0.23	-9.3	1.65%	0	-0.3	36	0
23	Dec_30_2010	17.14	18.64	18.36	18.48	18.48	18.44	18.17(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-10	-3	-56	3.44	51%	0.18	-6.2	1.64%	0	-1.3	41	0
24	Dec_29_2010	17.11	18.68	18.45	18.47	18.46	18.56	18.57(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	40	7	-49	2.95	53%	0.23	2.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	45	0
25	Dec_28_2010	17.07	18.67	18.5	18.41	18.38	18.51	18.56(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-4	40	10	-44	2.41	53%		-4.7	1.61%	0	-0.3	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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