Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 10, 2007

Trading Signals: DFS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jun. 14, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Discover Financial Services)
DFS latest price $22.6500 (-1.65%) ($22.5000 - $23.0100) on Wed. Oct. 10, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.09% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $22.6500(-1.65%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DFS advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DFS advances 1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DFS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(28%)    VWO(27%)    FXI(24%)    SPY(24%)    XLY(23%)
Factors Impacting DFS price   DFS will decline at least -1.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-12%)    TLT(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    GLD(2%)    LQD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.545% (StdDev 3.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.62(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.93(3.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.99(3%)
To recent high   -16.6%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $6.94b

Discover Financial Services is a holding company, which engages in the provision of direct banking and payment services. It operates through the Direct Banking and Payment Services segments. The Direct Banking segment offers Discover-branded credit cards issued to individuals and small businesses on the Discover Network; and consumer banking products and services, including private student loans, personal loans, home equity loans, and deposit products. The Payment Services segment includes PULSE, Diners Club, and the company's network partners business, which includes credit, debit, and prepaid cards issued on the Discover Network by third parties. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Riverwoods, IL.

$. DFS price fluctuates within 3.64% (three month std-dev: 3.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.9%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.63%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.22%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071110

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_10_2007	24.27	21.99	21.93	22.62	22.71	22.85	22.65(-1.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	60	11	36	4.03	47%	-0.08	48.6	3.09%	0	0.8	48	NAN
2	Oct_9_2007	24.29	21.9	21.79	22.36	22.45	22.77	23.03(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	110	17	9	3.49	47%	-0.08	29.8	3.1%	0	1.4	44	NAN
3	Oct_8_2007	24.31	21.78	21.64	22.02	22.1	22.57	22.65(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	7	160	16	-19	2.09	47%	-0.08	3.4	3.09%	0	1	44	NAN
4	Oct_5_2007	24.33	21.68	21.58	21.81	21.84	22.13	22.73(3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	12	100	23	-21	3.2	46%	-0.08	-17.9	3.09%	0	1.3	60	NAN
5	Oct_4_2007	24.35	21.68	21.53	21.42	21.51	21.62	22.02(3.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	50	12	-36	3.49	44%	-0.12	-41.3	3.08%	0	0.5	57	NAN

6	Oct_3_2007	24.38	21.6	21.58	21.15	21.24	21.54	21.35(-0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	110	4	-43	2.49	41%	-0.16	-55.2	3.07%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
7	Oct_2_2007	24.42	21.66	21.77	21.13	21.1	21.39	21.37(-0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	90	5	-25	2.77	39%	-0.16	-52.1	3.09%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
8	Oct_1_2007	24.46	21.76	21.93	21.2	21.08	20.94	21.57(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-5	-60	-4	-6	3.32	39%	-0.16	-51.4	3.12%	0	-0.2	60	NAN
9	Sep_28_2007	24.5	21.83	21.92	21.34	21.24	20.81	20.8(0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-16	-160	-21	1	3.74	36%	-0.2	-49.9	3.1%	0	-1.1	56	NAN
10	Sep_27_2007	24.55	21.93	21.99	21.66	21.74	21.23	20.67(-2.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-13	-150	-23	17	5.64	35%	-0.2	-45.9	3.09%	0	-1.3	49	NAN

11	Sep_26_2007	24.6	22.06	22.08	22.06	22.13	21.68	21.25(-2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-130	-26	29	4.63	34%	-0.2	-37.1	3.09%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
12	Sep_25_2007	24.65	22.13	22.07	22.49	22.54	22.26	21.72(-2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-80	-16	44	9.23	34%	-0.16	-29.8	3.1%	0	-0.4	44	NAN
13	Sep_24_2007	24.69	22.23	21.98	22.76	22.91	22.58	22.26(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	13	-80	3	44	4.33	34%	-0.12	-19.1	3.09%	0	0	41	NAN
14	Sep_21_2007	24.72	22.31	21.82	22.58	22.79	22.81	22.4(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	30	3	14	10.2	37%	-0.16	-19.6	3.1%	0	0.1	44	NAN
15	Sep_20_2007	24.76	22.37	21.69	22.35	22.45	23.25	22.66(-3.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	13	260	19	-4	2.69	37%	-0.12	-21.3	3.17%	0	0.3	49	NAN

16	Sep_19_2007	24.79	22.37	21.63	22.09	21.99	22.78	23.41(1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	23	240	37	-18	4.39	38%	-0.08	-19.3	3.15%	0	0.9	48	NAN
17	Sep_18_2007	24.81	22.41	21.63	21.6	21.46	21.65	23.09(8.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	40	25	-48	3.64	39%	-0.08	-24.2	3.14%	0	0.6	51	NAN
18	Sep_17_2007	24.83	22.42	21.51	21.11	21.11	21.2	21.32(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	30	4	-89	2.23	35%	-0.24	-30.8	2.98%	0	-0.9	32	NAN
19	Sep_14_2007	24.89	22.52	21.68	20.96	21.01	21.28	21.27(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	100	7	-102	1.84	35%	-0.2	-26.3	2.98%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
20	Sep_13_2007	24.94	22.61	21.82	20.92	20.9	21.03	21.34(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-30	40	-2	-115	2.33	35%	-0.24	-25.5	3%	0	-1.2	34	NAN

21	Sep_12_2007	25	22.63	22.02	21.11	20.96	20.74	21(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-39	-90	-14	-115	3.05	35%	-0.28	-32.1	3.02%	0	-1.5	31	NAN
22	Sep_11_2007	25.07	22.7	22.19	21.42	21.35	20.78	20.61(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-51	-200	-29	-115	2.84	35%	-0.28	-29.7	3.03%	0	-2	27	NAN
23	Sep_10_2007	25.14	22.79	22.52	21.99	21.84	21.18	20.56(-2.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-47	-230	-33	-89	2.75	35%	-0.28	-17.1	3.05%	0	-2.4	30	NAN
24	Sep_7_2007	25.21	22.82	22.87	22.5	22.42	21.91	21.11(-5.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-31	-170	-23	-55	3.99	35%	-0.28	-7.4	3.06%	0	-1.9	36	NAN
25	Sep_6_2007	25.28	22.89	23.15	22.83	22.83	22.51	22.28(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-18	-100	-14	-31	3.3	37%		-3.4	3.02%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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