Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ DE: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: DE Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Mar. 17, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Deere & Company)
DE latest price $81.0549 (0.5%) ($80.4910 - $81.1549) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.23% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $81.0549(0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DE advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DE advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
DIA(65%)    XHB(52%)    XLB(17%)    XLI(17%)    GDXJ(15%)
Factors Impacting DE price   DE will decline at least -0.615% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-13%)    VIXM(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    TLT(-5%)    BND(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.615% (StdDev 1.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $79.72(1.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $79.3(2.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.17(2.38%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $25.359b

Deere & Co. engages in the manufacturing and distribution of equipment used in agriculture, construction, forestry, and turf care. It operates through the following segments: Agriculture and Turf, Construction and Forestry, and Financial Services. The Agriculture and Turf segment focuses on the distribution and manufacturing of full line of agriculture and turf equipment and related service parts. The Construction and Forestry segment offers machines and service parts used in construction, earthmoving, road building, material handling, and timber harvesting. The Financial Services segment finances sales and leases by John Deere dealers of new and used agriculture and turf equipment and construction and forestry equipment. The company was founded by John Deere in 1837 and is headquartered in Moline, IL.

$. DE price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 1.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 3%(80%) Average negative next three day return: -2.27%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 3.26%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	78.05	79.17	79.3	79.72	79.92	80.76	81.05(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	41	80	48	20	1.73	59%	0.08	16.5	1.23%	0	1.5	56	INF
2	Feb_4_2015	77.99	78.99	79.29	79.14	79.14	80.33	80.65(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	72	110	86	30	3.04	59%	0.09	-10.5	1.23%	0	1.4	58	INF
3	Feb_3_2015	77.92	78.86	79.17	78.39	78.35	79.08	80.61(2.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	53	60	68	6	3.11	59%	0.08	-43.9	1.23%	0	1.5	60	INF
4	Feb_2_2015	77.86	78.75	79.02	77.92	77.83	77.96	78.8(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	10	8	-27	2.51	56%	0.08	-71	1.2%	0	0	56	INF
5	Jan_30_2015	77.8	78.82	79.08	78.24	77.81	77.61	77.48(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-29	-30	-31	-23	4.22	53%	0.05	-64.4	1.24%	0	-1.2	50	INF

6	Jan_29_2015	77.76	78.96	79.28	78.82	78.46	77.7	78.14(1.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-80	-41	-4	3.51	53%	0.06	-58.3	1.32%	0	-0.7	49	INF
7	Jan_28_2015	77.71	79.12	79.35	79.47	79.23	78	76.93(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.2	-53	-120	-74	10	3.47	53%	0.04	-42.6	1.31%	0	-1.9	50	INF
8	Jan_27_2015	77.68	79.37	79.51	80.03	79.97	79.22	78.25(-2.7%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.5	-35	-70	-59	36	3.3	55%	0.05	-27.5	1.3%	0	-0.9	54	INF
9	Jan_26_2015	77.64	79.53	79.49	80.23	80.28	80.47	80.43(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	16	20	0	65	2.72	60%	0.08	-19	1.26%	0	0.7	60	INF
10	Jan_23_2015	77.58	79.57	79.24	80.02	80.03	80.72	80.35(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	44	60	38	61	1.8	63%	0.08	-18	1.26%	0	0.6	48	INF

11	Jan_22_2015	77.52	79.64	79.07	79.81	79.68	80.08	81.41(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	48	30	48	49	2.87	66%	0.09	-13.7	1.27%	0	1.3	52	INF
12	Jan_21_2015	77.45	79.62	78.67	79.26	79.31	79.35	79.7(0.57%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	13	10	18	-2	1.95	65%	0.06	-16.5	1.24%	0	0.1	37	INF
13	Jan_20_2015	77.4	79.7	78.49	78.94	78.96	79.35	79.25(-0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	30	14	-35	2.31	63%	0.05	-11.5	1.26%	0	-0.3	31	INF
14	Jan_16_2015	77.36	79.78	78.42	78.64	78.62	79.28	79.4(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	18	60	41	-51	3.49	61%	0.05	-12.6	1.27%	0	-0.2	36	INF
15	Jan_15_2015	77.32	79.78	78.48	78.34	78.22	78.64	79.31(0.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	10	30	36	-70	3.97	61%	0.05	-14.5	1.28%	0	-0.3	35	INF

16	Jan_14_2015	77.28	79.82	78.57	78.21	77.93	77.96	78.65(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-19	-10	7	-96	3.31	64%	0.05	-20.5	1.28%	0	-0.7	28	INF
17	Jan_13_2015	77.24	79.85	78.81	78.01	78.07	77.81	78.12(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	-20	-1	-103	2.64	64%	0.03	-27.8	1.34%	0	-1.1	30	INF
18	Jan_12_2015	77.22	79.87	79.18	77.98	77.99	77.91	77.72(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-45	-10	-23	-112	2.5	64%	0.03	-38	1.34%	0	-1.4	28	INF
19	Jan_9_2015	77.2	79.98	79.56	78.16	78.15	78.33	77.9(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	20	-5	-98	2.33	64%	0.01	-40.2	1.34%	0	-1.4	34	INF
20	Jan_8_2015	77.19	80.05	79.92	78.65	78.39	78.08	78.66(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-40	-15	-83	2.84	66%	0.01	-40.8	1.33%	0	-1	43	INF

21	Jan_7_2015	77.18	80.15	80.26	79.01	78.91	77.97	77.64(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-64	-90	-60	-77	3.06	60%	0.01	-32.4	1.34%	0	-1.8	44	INF
22	Jan_6_2015	77.17	80.3	80.67	79.75	79.74	78.71	77.97(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-67	-90	-73	-47	3.52	61%	0.01	-22	1.41%	0	-1.8	48	INF
23	Jan_5_2015	77.16	80.46	81.04	80.56	80.61	79.85	78.63(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-43	-60	-57	-1	3.01	61%	0.03	5.6	1.41%	0	-1.6	59	INF
24	Jan_2_2015	77.14	80.59	81.3	81.14	81.26	80.78	80.35(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-15	-40	-32	35	1.87	65%	0.08	30.4	1.38%	0	-0.2	57	INF
25	Dec_31_2014	77.08	80.64	81.31	81.38	81.57	81.36	80.46(-1.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10	-24	52	1.59	65%		46.3	1.38%	0	-0.2	60	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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