Trading Signals: DAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 26, 2015

Trading Signals: DAL Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Dec. 1, 2014 - Thu. Jun. 15, 2023)

(Delta Air Lines Inc.)
DAL latest price $50.1500 (-0.81%) ($49.9500 - $50.8300) on Mon. Jan. 26, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $50.1500(-0.81%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   DAL advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   DAL advances 3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support DAL advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
PEJ(75%)    IWM(63%)    XAR(63%)    XLI(62%)    IVE(61%)
Factors Impacting DAL price   DAL will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    TLT(-16%)    UUP(-13%)    IGOV(-11%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $49.95(0.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.98(4.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.06(4.35%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   12.3%
Market Cap   $31.989b

Delta Air Lines, Inc. engages in the provision of scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. It operates through the following segments: Airline, Refinery. The Airline segment provides scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The Refinery segment consists of jet fuel and non-jet fuel products. The company was founded by Collett Everman Woolman in 1928 and is headquartered in Atlanta, GA.

$. DAL price fluctuates within 3.56% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(43%) Average negative next day return: -1.91%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.61%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -1.35%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.23%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_26_2015	47.41	48.06	47.98	49.95	49.97	50.4	50.15(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	60	25	90	9.39	55%	0.15	41.6	2.24%	0	1.2	55	INF
2	Jan_23_2015	47.34	47.94	47.64	49.09	49.42	50.33	50.56(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	57	150	55	63	8.61	55%	0.19	34.2	2.26%	0	1.6	53	INF
3	Jan_22_2015	47.25	47.76	47.36	47.99	48.13	49.55	50.7(3.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	220	59	25	16.03	55%	0.21	21.4	2.29%	0	1.9	53	INF
4	Jan_21_2015	47.15	47.58	46.94	46.91	46.89	48.52	49.18(0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	41	240	61	-19	14.92	51%	0.13	1	2.28%	0	1.2	48	INF
5	Jan_20_2015	47.09	47.48	46.72	46.4	46.02	46.72	49.17(7.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.1	24	80	48	-47	21.17	51%	0.13	-10.6	2.31%	0	1.3	50	INF

6	Jan_16_2015	47.03	47.36	46.59	45.77	45.68	45.27	45.84(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-70	-10	-105	13.02	39%	-0.08	-30.7	1.98%	0	-1.2	37	INF
7	Jan_15_2015	47.07	47.39	46.91	45.98	45.93	45.32	45.05(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-58	-100	-42	-106	8.53	39%	-0.13	-27.5	1.99%	0	-1.9	35	INF
8	Jan_14_2015	47.13	47.43	47.33	46.61	46.54	46.1	45.31(-2.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-37	-70	-27	-67	13.12	39%	-0.13	-18.4	2.02%	0	-1.9	43	INF
9	Jan_13_2015	47.19	47.57	47.73	46.94	47.13	46.54	46.61(1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-22	-80	-15	-43	12.5	43%	-0.04	-8.2	1.98%	0	-0.9	47	INF
10	Jan_12_2015	47.21	47.62	47.95	47.06	47.23	46.98	46.06(-1.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-30	-33	-38	11.57	43%	-0.08	-3.5	2.01%	0	-1.4	44	INF

11	Jan_9_2015	47.25	47.74	48.2	47.52	47.57	47.72	46.88(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	30	-8	-3	8.86	43%	-0.04	16.8	2.02%	0	-0.8	54	INF
12	Jan_8_2015	47.27	47.72	48.34	47.98	47.85	47.48	48.19(2.6%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-60	-9	24	10.5	48%	0.08	36.8	1.97%	0	0.5	67	INF
13	Jan_7_2015	47.23	47.63	48.24	48.18	48.27	47.41	46.97(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-23	-120	-40	30	10.52	42%	-0.02	48	1.95%	0	-0.6	67	INF
14	Jan_6_2015	47.24	47.63	48.31	48.64	48.86	48.23	47.22(-2.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-14	-80	-34	46	12.88	42%	0	66.4	1.99%	0	-0.4	48	INF
15	Jan_5_2015	47.24	47.66	48.35	48.64	49.19	49.12	48.36(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	0	-7	69	10.56	47%	0.08	0	1.96%	0	0.6	54	INF

16	Jan_2_2015	47.2	47.57	48.2	48.95	49.06	49.48	49.18(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	70	15	71	8.64	47%	0.19	0	1.96%	0	1.5	54	INF
17	Dec_31_2014	47.11	47.35	47.91	48.73	48.76	49.26	49.19(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	70	31	69	7.8	47%	0.21	0	2%	0	1.6	65	INF
18	Dec_30_2014	47.01	47.13	47.54	48.32	48.31	48.64	49.23(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	50	23	46	7.32	47%	0.23	0	2.05%	0	1.7	64	INF
19	Dec_29_2014	46.9	46.94	47.37	47.95	47.88	48.26	48.78(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	50	14	32	6.66	47%	0.21	0	2.1%	0	1.6	56	INF
20	Dec_26_2014	46.8	46.94	47.24	47.67	47.76	47.99	48.39(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	40	22	9	5.3	47%	0.19	0	2.15%	0	44	55	INF

21	Dec_24_2014	46.71	46.94	47.21	47.35	47.45	47.5	48.05(1.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	9	10	11	4	4.3	47%	0.17	0	2.21%	0	45.3	58	INF
22	Dec_23_2014	46.63	46.94	47.02	46.97	47.13	47.52	47.13(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	70	15	6	6.61	47%	0.06	0	2.24%	0	45.8	63	INF
23	Dec_22_2014	46.6	46.94	46.95	46.62	46.71	47.4	47.41(0.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	110	17	7	8.21	47%	0.13	0	2.31%	0	44.7	64	INF
24	Dec_19_2014	46.54	46.94	46.93	46.7	46.43	46.73	47.38(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	10	30	12	5	13.06	47%	0.13	0	2.39%	0	44.3	58	INF
25	Dec_18_2014	46.48	46.94	46.92	46.76	46.58	46.03	46.77(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-90	-14	-6	12.58	47%		0	2.46%	0	43.3	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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