Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $102.6481 (-0.3%) ($102.4612 - $103.1249) on Mon. Aug. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $102.6481(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(77%)    IWD(72%)    XOP(72%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-18%)    GDXJ(-6%)    DIA(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $102.77(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $101.33(1.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $99.33(3.34%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $191.671b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 2.52% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.65%(17%) Average negative next day return: -0.95%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.75%(100%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 0.1%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.49%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_7_2017	98.75	99.33	101.33	102.77		102.69	102.65(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	51	-10	4	193	4.76	59%	0.03	57.5	0.91%	0	1.3	76	INF
2	Aug_4_2017	98.72	99	100.74	102.66	102.84	102.66	102.96(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	44	-10	-3	183	4.64	57%	0.04	56.8	0.92%	0	1.6	74	INF
3	Aug_3_2017	98.68	98.68	100.11	102.29	102.63	102.98	102.32(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	65	30	28	176	5.61	59%	0.01	55.3	0.94%	0	1.6	71	INF
4	Aug_2_2017	98.67	98.41	99.66	101.67	102.12	103.01	103.28(0.62%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	119	70	96	186	6.21	59%	0.04	51.2	0.95%	0	2.3	78	INF
5	Aug_1_2017	98.63	98.11	99.07	100.67	100.95	102.29	102.65(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	126	100	114	162	3.64	59%	0.02	44.8	0.95%	0	2.5	77	INF

6	Jul_31_2017	98.61	97.91	98.47	99.66	99.81	101.22	102.1(0.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.6	141	100	141	142	7.56	59%	-0.01	42.1	0.95%	0	2.8	78	INF
7	Jul_28_2017	98.62	97.66	97.97	98.54	98.8	99.61	101.1(1.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.3	111	70	115	99	7.81	59%	0	25	0.95%	0	3	76	INF
8	Jul_27_2017	98.62	97.45	97.59	97.63	97.78	98.41	99.22(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	43	50	43	44	5.89	56%	-0.03	2.4	0.93%	0	2.2	66	INF
9	Jul_26_2017	98.65	97.36	97.39	97.35	97.37	97.98	98.29(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	46	40	49	38	5.88	55%	-0.05	-9.7	0.93%	0	1.3	58	INF
10	Jul_25_2017	98.7	97.3	97.27	97.23	97.3	97.15	97.61(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	-10	28	22	7.09	55%	-0.07	-30.9	0.93%	0	0.5	47	INF

11	Jul_24_2017	98.77	97.29	97.27	97.11	97.16	96.76	96.5(-0.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-30	-48	-31	4.08	55%	-0.09	-57.4	0.92%	0	-1.2	29	INF
12	Jul_21_2017	98.86	97.37	97.15	97.29	97.37	97.45	96.54(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-17	10	-17	-18	5.3	55%	-0.09	-70.6	0.93%	0	-1.3	45	INF
13	Jul_20_2017	98.95	97.43	97.19	97.52	97.53	97.57	97.83(0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	15	0	20	0	5.37	57%	-0.07	-76.9	0.91%	0	0.6	53	INF
14	Jul_19_2017	99.02	97.42	97.1	97.42	97.43	97.3	97.67(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-9	-10	-7	-16	4.93	54%	-0.07	-95.4	0.92%	0	0.4	51	INF
15	Jul_18_2017	99.09	97.51	97.11	97.32	97.41	97.48	96.98(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	10	-2	-16	4.34	54%	-0.07	-91.3	0.93%	0	-0.7	49	INF

16	Jul_17_2017	99.16	97.67	97.11	97.2	97.39	97.57	97.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	20	27	3	5.57	54%	-0.04	-78.4	0.93%	0	-0.2	51	INF
17	Jul_14_2017	99.2	97.84	97.33	96.99	97.08	97.34	97.66(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	11	20	19	-12	3.64	54%	-0.05	-60	0.93%	0	-0.1	46	INF
18	Jul_13_2017	99.25	97.93	97.3	96.81	96.82	97.21	97.37(0.23%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.4	15	30	26	-18	4.44	50%	-0.05	-55.2	0.93%	0	-0.4	48	INF
19	Jul_12_2017	99.3	98.04	97.31	96.75	96.7	96.83	97.14(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	6	10	16	-24	3.98	50%	-0.07	-47.1	0.99%	0	-0.7	47	INF
20	Jul_11_2017	99.37	98.22	97.33	96.89	96.77	96.42	96.42(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-30	-36	-53	4.32	50%	-0.03	-29.8	0.99%	0	-1.2	32	INF

21	Jul_10_2017	99.4	98.45	97.44	97.48	97.29	96.58	96.35(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-60	-48	-55	4.63	50%	-0.06	-5.2	0.99%	0	-1.4	28	INF
22	Jul_7_2017	99.46	98.62	97.63	97.72	97.82	97.12	96.77(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-58	-50	-54	-68	6.46	50%	-0.05	8.8	0.99%	0	-1.3	26	INF
23	Jul_6_2017	99.51	98.66	97.73	97.84	98.05	98	97.08(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	0	-29	-64	5.08	50%	-0.08	10.4	0.99%	0	-1.1	41	INF
24	Jul_5_2017	99.59	98.66	97.8	97.93	98.07	98.52	97.82(-1.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	10	40	30	-50	4.48	50%	-0.11	13.1	0.99%	0	-0.6	42	INF
25	Jul_3_2017	99.7	98.67	97.95	97.82	97.86	98.09	99.39(1.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	15	20	40	-60	4.42	53%		11.3	0.97%	0	0.5	40	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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