Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Sep. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $90.0675 (-0.76%) ($89.7497 - $91.2748) on Fri. Sep. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.15% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $90.0675(-0.76%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-5%)    DIA(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.575% (StdDev 1.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $86.7(-3.74%)
Resistance Level   $91.14
5 Day Moving Average   $89.79(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $90.03(0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.14(-1.18%)
To recent high   -6.3%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $168.18b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 1.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.02%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.43%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.08%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 1.95%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.48%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161023

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_23_2016	91.79	91.14	90.03	89.79	90.04	90.67	90.07(-0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-3	60	22	-76	7.4	43%	0	-44.8	1.15%	0	-0.7	46	0
2	Sep_22_2016	91.79	91.26	90.2	89.54	89.77	90.44	90.76(0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	28	60	58	-64	5.42	43%	0.01	-54	1.18%	0	-0.3	50	0
3	Sep_21_2016	91.78	91.36	90.52	89.45	89.28	89.41	90.44(1.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	0	16	-69	6.36	43%	0	-55.1	1.18%	0	-0.6	48	0
4	Sep_20_2016	91.78	91.46	90.79	89.23	89.33	89.1	88.69(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-10	-14	-85	5.77	40%	-0.03	-59.4	1.16%	0	-1.7	39	0
5	Sep_19_2016	91.81	91.66	91.23	89.55	89.54	89.15	89(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-30	-45	-88	6.18	40%	-0.02	-59	1.16%	0	-1.8	39	0

6	Sep_16_2016	91.83	91.86	91.52	90.31	90.03	89.56	88.81(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-50	-48	-68	12.73	40%	-0.02	-45.3	1.17%	0	-2.2	41	0
7	Sep_15_2016	91.85	92.13	91.77	90.93	90.83	89.92	90.32(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-70	-60	-62	6.76	42%	-0.02	-26.1	1.15%	0	-1.5	43	0
8	Sep_14_2016	91.87	92.26	91.89	91.77	91.54	90.5	89.34(-1.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-88	-90	-97	-59	8.2	42%	-0.02	3.2	1.14%	0	-2.5	39	0
9	Sep_13_2016	91.89	92.42	92.22	92.58	92.59	91.74	90.26(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-50	-60	-60	-19	9.3	42%	0	33	1.14%	0	-2.3	44	0
10	Sep_12_2016	91.89	92.54	92.47	93.13	93.1	92.57	92.82(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-26	-40	-37	9	8.15	46%	0.03	65.9	1.09%	0	0.3	51	0

11	Sep_9_2016	91.86	92.49	92.39	92.89	93.14	93.45	91.93(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.2	7	30	5	14	7.81	46%	0.01	65.2	1.08%	0	-0.7	46	0
12	Sep_8_2016	91.85	92.45	92.45	92.69	92.82	93.63	94.52(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	70	75	28	5.79	50%	0.05	61.7	1.03%	0	2.4	50	0
13	Sep_7_2016	91.8	92.23	92.25	92.05	92.04	92.83	93.39(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	43	60	58	-3	5.28	52%	0.04	38.5	1.02%	0	1.3	52	0
14	Sep_6_2016	91.76	92.11	92.12	91.84	91.59	92	92.98(1.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	23	20	36	-18	5.43	52%	0.11	39.2	1.05%	0	1	54	0
15	Sep_2_2016	91.66	92.01	92.06	91.77	91.64	91.25	91.62(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-30	-4	-37	4.68	49%	0.05	44.7	1.03%	0	-0.4	47	0

16	Sep_1_2016	91.61	91.95	92.19	91.84	91.81	91.19	90.97(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-55	-50	-57	-50	6.04	49%	0.04	36	1.03%	0	-1	47	0
17	Aug_31_2016	91.57	91.93	92.49	92.14	92.16	92.03	91.3(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10	-33	-13	6.25	49%	0.05	38.6	1.03%	0	-0.6	54	0
18	Aug_30_2016	91.52	91.89	92.49	92.44	92.44	92.42	92.32(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-0	9	31	3.71	51%	0.09	36.5	1.02%	0	0.4	67	0
19	Aug_29_2016	91.44	91.76	92.65	92.43	92.39	92.28	92.64(0.72%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10	-9	30	4.03	51%	0.08	23.7	1.03%	0	0.7	60	0
20	Aug_26_2016	91.37	91.59	92.62	92.41	92.44	92.45	91.97(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	0	-7	39	4.78	51%	0.09	10.8	1.03%	0	0.3	58	0

21	Aug_25_2016	91.29	91.58	92.61	92.6	92.47	92.5	92.49(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	-0	-7	55	4.49	54%	0.09	5.1	1.03%	0	0.7	64	0
22	Aug_24_2016	91.21	91.53	92.49	92.6	92.62	92.43	92.77(0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-20	-8	71	5.18	54%	0.11	0	1.05%	0	1	67	0
23	Aug_23_2016	91.11	91.47	92.23	92.9	92.89	92.44	92.3(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-30	-17	67	4.93	54%	0.11	-11.2	1.05%	0	0.7	63	0
24	Aug_22_2016	91.01	91.46	92.11	92.88	92.87	92.81	92.54(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-0	-22	75	5.49	54%	0.1	-22.1	1.05%	0	0.9	69	0
25	Aug_19_2016	90.92	91.45	91.95	92.83	92.81	93.33	92.88(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	50	40	31	107	5.06	54%		-29	1.05%	0	1	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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