Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 23, 2016

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $93.8174 (2.1%) ($92.5867 - $93.8264) on Thu. Jun. 23, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.01% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $93.8174(2.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    TLT(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.505% (StdDev 1.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $92.37(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.77(2.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $91.58(2.44%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.9%
Market Cap   $175.182b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 1.02% (three month std-dev: 1.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 0.76%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.59%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 2.04%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.22%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 1.5%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160723

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2016	85.64	91.58	91.77	92.37	92.64	92.85	93.82(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	20	51	42	5.59	85%	0.23	63.7	1.01%	0	2.4	67	INF
2	Jun_22_2016	85.44	91.45	91.6	91.77	92.06	92.85	91.89(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	40	24	21	4.87	81%	0.25	64.3	1.02%	0	0.6	61	INF
3	Jun_21_2016	85.23	91.36	91.65	91.47	91.48	92.43	92.74(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	52	70	57	35	4.94	81%	0.21	47.3	1.02%	0	1.7	61	INF
4	Jun_20_2016	85.05	91.19	91.64	91.12	91	91.7	92.17(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	62	50	69	39	6.63	81%	0.19	25.8	1.03%	0	1.1	60	INF
5	Jun_17_2016	84.89	91.07	91.51	91.02	90.67	90.53	91.24(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	-20	5	5	8.76	81%	0.2	23	1.03%	0	0.2	47	INF

6	Jun_16_2016	84.72	90.99	91.44	91.1	90.83	90.3	90.79(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-50	-43	-15	8.04	81%	0.21	19.2	1.04%	0	-0.2	49	INF
7	Jun_15_2016	84.54	90.96	91.41	91.41	91.26	90.81	90.39(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-38	-40	-47	-12	5.63	81%	0.2	27.8	1.05%	0	-0.6	44	INF
8	Jun_14_2016	84.37	90.97	91.48	91.85	91.65	91.37	90.98(-0.8%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-24	-30	-36	13	6.92	81%	0.24	42.6	1.05%	0	0	58	INF
9	Jun_13_2016	84.17	90.96	91.46	92.22	92.08	91.71	91.72(0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-30	-11	45	6.36	81%	0.23	62	1.04%	0	0.8	66	INF
10	Jun_10_2016	83.98	90.86	91.45	92.05	92.22	91.93	91.61(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	2	-20	-15	51	8.11	81%	0.25	51.8	1.04%	0	0.8	63	INF

11	Jun_9_2016	83.77	90.81	91.41	91.81	92.04	92.46	92.35(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	40	18	64	4.25	87%	0.28	50	1.05%	0	1.6	67	INF
12	Jun_8_2016	83.54	90.68	91.3	91.4	91.61	92.51	92.6(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	64	80	61	71	6.32	87%	0.26	42.7	1.18%	0	2.1	67	INF
13	Jun_7_2016	83.32	90.55	91.04	91.05	90.93	91.62	92.81(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	56	50	56	56	9.81	89%	0.11	37.4	1.21%	0	2.8	62	INF
14	Jun_6_2016	83.23	90.36	90.68	90.64	90.49	90.72	90.88(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	10	16	19	5.95	88%	0.22	10.5	1.24%	0	0.8	49	INF
15	Jun_3_2016	83.05	90.34	90.56	90.79	90.52	90.24	90.42(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-30	-9	15	4.96	88%	0.19	14.7	1.24%	0	0.1	57	INF

16	Jun_2_2016	82.89	90.33	90.5	90.94	90.74	90.26	90.31(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-40	-33	5	6.71	88%	0.24	16	1.24%	0	-0	47	INF
17	Jun_1_2016	82.69	90.29	90.47	91.16	91.05	90.8	90.84(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-20	-18	18	4.82	90%	0.23	5.1	1.24%	0	0.8	55	INF
18	May_31_2016	82.5	90.24	90.43	90.99	91.2	91.22	90.73(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	13	10	9	26	8.14	88%	0.38	-6.6	1.26%	0	0.7	54	INF
19	May_27_2016	82.19	90.29	90.44	90.7	90.89	91.3	91.64(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	40	22	30	5.01	90%	0.23	-7.1	1.3%	0	1.8	63	INF
20	May_26_2016	82	90.24	90.22	90.3	90.41	91.19	91.18(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	36	60	40	22	4.15	90%	0.2	-22.5	1.31%	0	1.3	52	INF

21	May_25_2016	81.84	90.22	90.16	90.01	90.03	90.49	91.42(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	41	40	48	20	5.43	90%	0.16	-25.3	1.32%	0	1.5	55	INF
22	May_24_2016	81.71	90.25	90.16	89.7	89.6	89.63	90(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-2	-0	-1	-6	4.38	89%	0.15	-25.8	1.31%	0	-0.3	54	INF
23	May_23_2016	81.59	90.29	90	89.8	89.67	89.58	89.27(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10	-14	-9	4.23	71%	0.1	-13.8	1.31%	0	-1.3	47	INF
24	May_20_2016	81.51	90.35	90.01	90.13	90.04	89.57	89.64(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11	-40	-11	-10	4.71	74%	0.14	11.9	1.45%	0	-0.9	39	INF
25	May_19_2016	81.4	90.4	90.1	90.11	90.26	89.76	89.69(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-30	-32	-20	6.24	74%		37.8	1.46%	0	-1	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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