Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $78.8804 (-2.13%) ($78.5160 - $80.9604) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.48% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $78.8804(-2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(76%)    XOP(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -1.24% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-21%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-17%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.24% (StdDev 2.48%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $78.58(0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $77.12(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76.39(3.26%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   13.8%
Market Cap   $147.291b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 2.79% (three month std-dev: 2.48%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 14 Average positive next day return: 0.79%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next three day return: 1.52%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -1.77%(43%) Sample size 14 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.68%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	77.21	76.39	77.12	78.58	78.57	79.49	78.88(-2.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	80	32	37	10.51	59%	0	59.9	2.48%	0	1.2	50	INF
2	Mar_7_2016	77.21	76.21	76.77	78.12	77.77	78.62	80.6(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	43	60	45	35	12.78	58%	0.03	57.8	2.47%	0	2.1	63	INF
3	Mar_4_2016	77.19	75.81	76.54	76.83	76.84	77.65	78.16(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	70	31	18	9.33	56%	-0.01	36.1	2.46%	0	1.2	60	INF
4	Mar_3_2016	77.2	75.62	76.39	76.19	76.06	76.92	77.8(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	70	26	16	8.53	56%	0	25.5	2.47%	0	1.2	65	INF
5	Mar_2_2016	77.2	75.43	76.29	75.8	75.76	76.03	77.46(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	20	23	20	9.64	55%	0.01	23.2	2.47%	0	1.1	64	INF

6	Mar_1_2016	77.19	75.14	76.36	75.47	75.55	75.2	76.56(3.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	5	-30	-1	21	11.61	55%	0	10.9	2.49%	0	0.7	63	INF
7	Feb_29_2016	77.19	75.04	76.25	75.25	75.38	75.48	74.17(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-17	10	-25	8	11.55	53%	-0.05	17.4	2.44%	0	-0.5	48	INF
8	Feb_26_2016	77.23	75.13	76.37	76.2	75.92	75.9	74.98(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	12	-10	1	44	9.37	53%	-0.04	37.9	2.44%	0	-0.1	58	INF
9	Feb_25_2016	77.26	75.15	76.21	76.59	76.55	75.27	75.82(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-5	-120	-19	39	9.45	53%	-0.01	54.2	2.45%	0	0.4	54	INF
10	Feb_24_2016	77.27	75.02	75.96	76.84	76.76	75.94	75.8(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-34	-80	-54	26	9.78	53%	0.01	66.4	2.46%	0	0.4	55	INF

11	Feb_23_2016	77.26	74.92	75.96	77.38	77.56	77.83	75.48(-4.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1	20	30	5	66	10.66	53%	0.04	80.7	2.46%	0	0.3	61	INF
12	Feb_22_2016	77.23	74.72	75.69	77.36	77.61	77.58	78.95(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	39	10	25	79	10.3	56%	0.1	69.5	2.4%	0	2	58	INF
13	Feb_19_2016	77.15	74.42	75.06	76.57	76.76	77.28	76.89(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	50	9	49	9.78	55%	0.12	62.5	2.39%	0	1.3	52	INF
14	Feb_18_2016	77.06	74.13	74.79	75.76	76.18	77.64	77.09(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	150	57	51	9.52	55%	0.13	49.6	2.4%	0	1.5	53	INF
15	Feb_17_2016	76.96	73.75	74.48	74.92	74.7	76.24	78.5(4.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	54	140	59	40	12.71	55%	0.16	28.9	2.39%	0	2.3	61	INF

16	Feb_16_2016	76.84	73.39	73.75	73.78	73.57	74.72	75.39(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	29	100	38	2	10.63	55%	0.26	17.1	2.33%	0	1.1	54	INF
17	Feb_12_2016	76.64	73.28	73.66	73.8	73.19	73.17	74.99(2.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-30	22	8	9.84	53%	0.12	22	2.39%	0	1	60	INF
18	Feb_11_2016	76.55	73.26	73.72	73.35	73.05	72.43	72.85(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-70	-23	-11	12.74	52%	0.09	20.3	2.38%	0	-0.2	50	INF
19	Feb_10_2016	76.48	73.2	73.97	73.67	73.3	73.2	72.89(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-12	-20	-19	10	12.11	52%	0.08	14.3	2.38%	0	-0.2	55	INF
20	Feb_9_2016	76.42	73.17	74.01	73.94	73.75	73.68	72.78(-3.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	20	-10	13	40	12.61	52%	0.07	2.1	2.38%	0	-0.2	59	INF

21	Feb_8_2016	76.37	73.09	74.14	73.65	73.5	73.39	75.48(3.75%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1	8	-20	-2	37	17.71	54%	0.1	-19.7	2.35%	0	1.3	58	INF
22	Feb_5_2016	76.29	73.09	73.7	73.52	73.09	73.82	72.75(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	50	-8	26	15.09	50%	0.05	-40.2	2.3%	0	-0.1	49	INF
23	Feb_4_2016	76.25	72.91	73.78	74.15	73.49	73.61	74.43(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-20	25	47	12.82	50%	0.08	-46.4	2.3%	0	0.9	49	INF
24	Feb_3_2016	76.19	72.95	73.46	74.35	73.53	72.35	74.28(4.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-13	-150	-27	30	13.96	52%	0.11	-53.2	2.31%	0	0.7	56	INF
25	Feb_2_2016	76.11	73.13	73	74.12	74.11	73.37	71.31(-4.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-28	-70	-41	12	13.33	52%		-48.8	2.28%	0	-0.8	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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