Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $81.9909 (-2.29%) ($81.8001 - $83.7252) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.24% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $81.9909(-2.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(76%)    XOP(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -1.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-16%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.12% (StdDev 2.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $82.43(-0.53%)
10 Day Moving Average   $80.16(2.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $79.1(3.65%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   35%
Market Cap   $153.099b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 2.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.06%(71%) Average negative next day return: -2.91%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 1.79%(57%) Average negative next three day return: -0.82%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 2.14%(71%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.64%(29%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2015	74.98	79.1	80.16	82.43	82.89	83.51	81.99(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	70	7	77	11.18	54%	-0.05	85.8	2.24%	0	1.2	57	INF
2	Nov_4_2015	75.02	78.89	79.89	81.62	81.91	84.18	83.92(-1.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	82	200	78	95	11.93	56%	-0.03	98.6	2.22%	0	2.2	63	INF
3	Nov_3_2015	75.04	78.5	79.21	80.41	80.3	82.27	85.1(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	98	170	103	81	17.67	54%	0	111.3	2.22%	0	3.2	69	INF
4	Nov_2_2015	75.04	77.99	78.45	78.6	78.59	79.64	82.35(4.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	51	90	57	33	14.28	52%	-0.04	126.8	2.22%	0	2.4	67	INF
5	Oct_30_2015	75.07	77.52	77.97	77.53	77.44	78.34	78.81(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	80	20	1	11.56	46%	-0.11	112.9	2.24%	0	0.6	58	INF

6	Oct_29_2015	75.15	77.14	77.99	77.59	77.21	77.54	77.95(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	20	15	5	6.69	46%	-0.12	89.8	2.24%	0	0.3	52	INF
7	Oct_28_2015	75.24	76.69	78.05	77.89	77.46	76.55	77.86(2.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-9	-100	-12	2	8.24	49%	-0.11	82	2.24%	0	0.4	50	INF
8	Oct_27_2015	75.32	76.25	78.06	77.81	77.84	76.88	76.05(-1.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-34	-90	-43	-8	9.33	46%	-0.13	72.4	2.27%	0	-0.1	51	INF
9	Oct_26_2015	75.42	75.8	78.16	78.21	78.29	78.38	76.98(-2.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	10	-12	16	8.61	46%	-0.13	66.2	2.27%	0	0.3	59	INF
10	Oct_23_2015	75.52	75.28	78.18	78.43	78.31	78.8	79.12(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	40	16	45	8.13	46%	-0.11	62.4	2.27%	0	0.8	76	INF

11	Oct_22_2015	75.6	74.71	78.03	78.44	78.1	78.2	79.45(2.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	23	-0	9	65	8.97	46%	-0.11	60.9	2.27%	0	1	82	INF
12	Oct_21_2015	75.68	74.09	77.86	78.28	78.19	77.82	77.46(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-40	-5	92	7.43	46%	-0.15	57	2.24%	0	0.7	84	INF
13	Oct_20_2015	75.79	73.53	77.77	78.36	78.25	77.99	78.04(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	25	-30	-7	122	8.22	46%	-0.13	54.6	2.25%	0	0.9	83	INF
14	Oct_19_2015	75.89	72.99	77.53	78.08	78.05	78.55	78.07(-1.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	46	40	9	157	8.9	46%	-0.13	53.9	2.25%	0	1	86	INF
15	Oct_16_2015	75.99	72.46	77.05	77.85	77.63	78.5	79.16(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	70	31	191	7.82	45%	-0.12	55.6	2.25%	0	1.3	90	INF

16	Oct_15_2015	76.08	71.86	76.24	77.55	77.19	77.54	78.67(1.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	65	20	20	199	8.96	44%	-0.13	58.7	2.25%	0	1.4	80	INF
17	Oct_14_2015	76.18	71.34	75.22	77.41	77.14	76.75	77.84(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-50	1	200	9.73	45%	-0.14	65.2	2.25%	0	1.4	81	INF
18	Oct_13_2015	76.29	70.85	74.31	77.13	77.15	76.84	76.64(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	43	-30	-12	206	8.01	45%	0	71	2.24%	0	1.3	80	INF
19	Oct_12_2015	76.29	70.35	73.3	76.89	77.13	77.53	76.95(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	70	50	21	218	7.92	45%	-0.17	72.4	2.24%	0	1.6	76	INF
20	Oct_9_2015	76.42	69.77	72.2	76.07	76.4	77.46	77.67(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	92	110	52	211	10.01	45%	-0.17	70	2.24%	0	2	75	INF

21	Oct_8_2015	76.55	69.15	71.15	74.68	75	76.73	77.97(2.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	112	170	83	197	11.3	44%	-0.16	64	2.24%	0	2.4	76	INF
22	Oct_7_2015	76.67	68.49	69.98	72.67	72.96	75.34	76.42(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	107	240	92	151	17.69	44%	-0.18	53.7	2.24%	0	2.6	67	INF
23	Oct_6_2015	76.81	67.89	68.89	71.07	71.04	73.26	75.44(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	109	220	107	115	18.9	43%	-0.21	43.2	2.23%	0	3	67	INF
24	Oct_5_2015	76.97	67.41	67.99	69.21	69.37	70.58	72.87(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	77	130	81	65	14.2	41%	-0.26	21.2	2.19%	0	3	66	INF
25	Oct_2_2015	77.17	67.07	67.41	67.78	67.81	68.82	70.72(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	31	110	34	22	13.05	39%		-11.4	2.17%	0	2.7	66	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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