Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 6, 2015

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $75.4351 (3.52%) ($72.9029 - $75.9900) on Tue. Oct. 6, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $75.4351(3.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(76%)    XOP(72%)    IWD(71%)    IVE(70%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $71.07(6.14%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.89(9.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $67.89(11.11%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   24.2%
Market Cap   $140.858b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.1%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.73%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 8.86%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.89%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 8.84%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.4%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151106

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_6_2015	76.81	67.89	68.89	71.07	71.04	73.26	75.44(3.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	109	220	107	115	18.9	43%	-0.21	43.2	2.23%	0	3	67	0
2	Oct_5_2015	76.97	67.41	67.99	69.21	69.37	70.58	72.87(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	77	130	81	65	14.2	41%	-0.26	21.2	2.19%	0	3	66	0
3	Oct_2_2015	77.17	67.07	67.41	67.78	67.81	68.82	70.72(4.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	31	110	34	22	13.05	39%	-0.28	-11.4	2.17%	0	2.7	66	0
4	Oct_1_2015	77.39	66.9	67.04	67.11	67.11	68.16	67.93(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	110	41	16	11.11	36%	-0.31	-29.2	2.1%	0	1	60	0
5	Sep_30_2015	77.63	66.88	67.1	66.86	66.77	66.8	68.4(3.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	27	-0	30	17	14.11	36%	-0.3	-18.8	2.1%	0	1.4	62	0

6	Sep_29_2015	77.86	66.83	67.09	66.38	66.38	66.05	66.12(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-17	-30	-22	-1	8.8	32%	-0.32	-1.9	2.05%	0	-0.7	58	0
7	Sep_28_2015	78.11	67.03	67.18	66.55	66.52	66.75	65.71(-2.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-3	20	-7	11	10.57	32%	-0.34	30.1	2.05%	0	-1.1	47	0
8	Sep_25_2015	78.38	67.03	67.21	66.95	66.69	66.71	67.38(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10	8	24	10.86	33%	-0.32	50.8	2.04%	0	0.1	54	0
9	Sep_24_2015	78.63	67.22	67.06	66.96	66.81	66.29	66.68(1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-15	-60	-21	5	10.3	33%	-0.32	46.7	2.03%	0	-0.4	44	0
10	Sep_23_2015	78.88	67.08	66.97	67.4	67.17	66.67	66.01(-1.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-24	-60	-33	3	9.04	33%	-0.33	28.4	2.02%	0	-0.7	43	0

11	Sep_22_2015	79.14	66.85	66.9	67.9	67.76	67.34	66.99(-1.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-7	-50	-13	13	9.69	33%	-0.31	3.5	2.02%	0	0.1	46	0
12	Sep_21_2015	79.39	66.65	66.87	67.89	68.06	67.67	67.72(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-1	-30	-2	2	8.52	33%	-0.33	-15.7	2.02%	0	0.5	37	0
13	Sep_18_2015	79.65	66.55	66.73	67.48	67.76	68.17	67.41(-2.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1	50	5	-18	18.64	33%	-0.34	-36	2.02%	0	0.4	39	0
14	Sep_17_2015	79.92	66.6	66.76	67.15	67.27	68.44	68.86(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	35	130	49	-7	12.32	34%	-0.32	-48.9	2.01%	0	1	55	0
15	Sep_16_2015	80.18	66.63	66.61	66.5	66.48	67.35	68.52(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	38	90	52	-5	12.59	34%	-0.34	-62.4	2.01%	0	0.8	67	0

16	Sep_15_2015	80.45	66.78	66.5	65.79	65.81	66.09	66.92(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	30	15	-10	11.68	32%	-0.32	-65.3	1.98%	0	0.1	71	0
17	Sep_14_2015	80.71	67.01	66.79	65.73	65.69	65.61	65.71(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10	-5	11	10.24	32%	-0.35	-63.2	1.97%	0	-0.4	61	0
18	Sep_11_2015	80.99	67.38	67.18	65.88	66.02	65.53	65.72(0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-50	-17	28	11.03	31%	-0.34	-54.1	1.97%	0	-0.5	51	0
19	Sep_10_2015	81.27	67.75	67.36	66.31	66.29	65.77	65.61(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-20	-60	-35	27	11.48	33%	-0.34	-47.1	1.97%	0	-0.6	44	0
20	Sep_9_2015	81.55	68.17	67.2	66.73	66.97	66.5	64.97(-2.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-14	-40	-24	15	11.3	33%	-0.35	-38.9	1.97%	0	-0.9	41	0

21	Sep_8_2015	81.84	68.58	66.86	67.3	67.47	66.8	66.63(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-29	-60	-32	-21	9.32	33%	-0.46	-33.9	1.95%	0	-0.5	39	0
22	Sep_4_2015	82.22	68.92	66.5	68.02	67.78	67.44	66.49(-2.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-50	-38	-45	11.21	33%	-0.33	-28.4	1.94%	0	-0.6	39	0
23	Sep_3_2015	82.49	69.18	66.43	68.67	68.43	68.15	67.86(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-40	-0	-47	12.28	34%	-0.31	-28.5	1.93%	0	-0.3	39	0
24	Sep_2_2015	82.75	69.42	66.47	68.56	68.58	68.13	67.69(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-50	6	-68	14.26	34%	-0.3	-36.9	1.93%	0	-0.4	38	0
25	Sep_1_2015	83	69.63	66.66	67.7	68.08	68.71	67.8(-3.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	2	80	35	-96	17.95	34%		-51.4	1.93%	0	-0.5	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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