Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Aug. 18, 2015

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $72.3566 (0.25%) ($71.8190 - $72.6428) on Tue. Aug. 18, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.26% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $72.3566(0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(73%)    IVE(71%)    VYM(69%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.63% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IYT(-9%)    IGOV(-6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.63% (StdDev 1.26%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $75.05
5 Day Moving Average   $73.2(-1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $72.98(-0.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $75.05(-3.59%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   0.9%
Market Cap   $135.109b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 4.1% (three month std-dev: 1.26%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 9 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(56%) Average negative next day return: -3.21%(44%) Sample size 9 Average positive next three day return: 2.91%(22%) Average negative next three day return: -3.1%(78%) Sample size 9 Average positive next weekly return: 0.49%(22%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.91%(78%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2015	85.33	75.05	72.98	73.2	73.01	72.45	72.36(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-60	-39	-106	9.09	25%	-0.22	-55.1	1.26%	0	-0.9	25	0
2	Aug_17_2015	85.52	75.44	73.05	73.42	73.35	73.11	72.17(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-50	-30	-24	-129	12.6	25%	-0.19	-55.1	1.26%	0	-1.1	28	0
3	Aug_14_2015	85.68	75.81	73.17	73.7	73.37	73.56	73.64(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-22	0	12	-125	7.75	26%	-0.19	-55.4	1.25%	0	-0.7	43	0
4	Aug_13_2015	85.84	76.11	73.35	73.32	73.18	73.59	73.52(-1.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	30	28	-144	9.56	26%	-0.2	-58.6	1.26%	0	-0.8	39	0
5	Aug_12_2015	86.01	76.47	73.9	73.2	72.83	73.17	74.33(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	20	35	-148	11.38	26%	-0.16	-58.4	1.25%	0	-0.7	36	0

6	Aug_11_2015	86.15	76.78	74.39	72.73	72.48	72.77	73.46(-0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	20	14	-177	9.8	26%	-0.2	-60.2	1.24%	0	-1	33	0
7	Aug_10_2015	86.32	77.2	74.92	72.63	72.46	72.49	73.55(2.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-41	-0	10	-192	8.34	26%	-0.2	-61.6	1.24%	0	-1.1	32	0
8	Aug_7_2015	86.49	77.57	75.21	72.58	72.59	72.19	71.72(-1.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-90	-40	-39	-241	7.42	21%	-0.21	-63.7	1.2%	0	-1.8	30	0
9	Aug_6_2015	86.67	78.05	75.82	73.39	73.04	72.42	72.95(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-126	-70	-85	-248	9.81	22%	-0.2	-65	1.19%	0	-1.7	31	0
10	Aug_5_2015	86.84	78.43	76.48	74.74	74.25	72.99	71.96(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-139	-140	-110	-226	11.25	19%	-0.18	-61.2	1.17%	0	-2.3	26	0

11	Aug_4_2015	87	78.87	77.31	76.32	76.05	73.66	72.97(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-157	-230	-145	-191	8.54	20%	-0.17	-58.3	1.16%	0	-2.4	28	0
12	Aug_3_2015	87.15	79.33	78.08	77.55	77.52	75.5	73.31(-3.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-166	-180	-166	-165	14.14	20%	-0.15	-56.6	1.16%	0	-2.9	27	0
13	Jul_31_2015	87.28	79.74	78.76	78.15	78.51	78.44	75.77(-4.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-70	10	-56	-113	19.06	21%	-0.13	-74.2	1.11%	0	-2.6	35	0
14	Jul_30_2015	87.39	80.07	79.18	78.52	78.41	79.55	79.67(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	28	100	61	-73	6.44	24%	-0.1	-86.7	0.97%	0	-0.3	45	0
15	Jul_29_2015	87.48	80.19	79.28	78.5	78.06	78.58	79.86(0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	28	30	61	-71	9.82	24%	-0.08	-92	0.97%	0	-0.2	48	0

16	Jul_28_2015	87.55	80.32	79.35	78.55	78.23	77.27	79.13(3.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-55	-100	-38	-107	11.54	24%	-0.11	-95.7	0.97%	0	-0.8	46	0
17	Jul_27_2015	87.65	80.5	79.6	78.8	78.8	77.54	76.34(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-148	-110	-147	-151	10.34	13%	-0.13	-97.9	0.85%	0	-2.7	27	0
18	Jul_24_2015	87.76	80.91	80.09	79.45	79.67	79.19	77.59(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-81	-30	-76	-94	11.16	14%	-0.14	-96.1	0.84%	0	-2.3	34	0
19	Jul_23_2015	87.88	81.24	80.44	79.89	79.98	80.06	79.59(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	10	-16	-63	7.36	16%	-0.1	-97.6	0.79%	0	-1.2	36	0
20	Jul_22_2015	87.97	81.51	80.53	80.15	80.05	80.14	80.08(-0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	0	5	-59	9.33	16%	-0.11	-85.6	0.79%	0	-0.9	37	0

21	Jul_21_2015	88.07	81.77	80.54	80.28	80.2	79.9	80.41(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-39	-30	-23	-85	7.04	16%	-0.1	-74.2	0.79%	0	-0.8	36	0
22	Jul_20_2015	88.16	82.04	80.65	80.56	80.46	79.96	79.59(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-71	-50	-61	-100	6.02	12%	-0.12	-62.2	0.77%	0	-1.3	30	0
23	Jul_17_2015	88.27	82.31	80.82	80.85	80.88	80.51	79.77(-1.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-58	-30	-42	-104	8.21	12%	-0.14	-59.7	0.79%	0	-1.3	24	0
24	Jul_16_2015	88.39	82.62	81.05	81.06	81.05	80.96	80.91(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-38	-10	-16	-103	6.42	12%	-0.12	-57.8	0.78%	0	-0.9	29	0
25	Jul_15_2015	88.5	82.84	81.18	80.94	81.08	81.25	80.71(-1.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-22	20	12	-123	6.49	12%		-62.7	0.78%	0	-1.1	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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