Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $90.9794 (-1.08%) ($90.1750 - $91.7603) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.88% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $90.9794(-1.08%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(86%)    OIH(76%)    XOP(73%)    IVE(70%)    VYM(68%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-24%)    TLT(-21%)    UUP(-15%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.94% (StdDev 1.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $88.92(2.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.5(1.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $89.38(1.79%)
To recent high   -8.6%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $169.883b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.78%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.88%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 3.34%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -0.83%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.64%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2015	94.43	89.38	89.5	88.92	88.9	91.16	90.98(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	58	180	66	33	10.18	51%	-0.14	-46.9	1.88%	0	0.8	59	0
2	Feb_3_2015	94.56	89.35	89.45	88.14	87.85	89.65	91.97(3.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	79	130	92	39	14.27	49%	-0.13	-67.6	1.88%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Feb_2_2015	94.68	89.26	89.17	87.92	87.24	86.64	89.06(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-2	-70	-2	-1	11.54	46%	-0.14	-83.9	1.86%	0	-0.1	51	0
4	Jan_30_2015	94.81	89.51	89.1	88.4	87.96	86.05	86.09(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-68	-170	-80	-31	20.58	45%	-0.19	-68.9	1.83%	0	-1.5	38	0
5	Jan_29_2015	94.99	89.91	89.18	89.12	89.3	87.85	86.49(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-71	-110	-82	-38	13.99	45%	-0.18	-66.3	1.83%	0	-1.6	35	0

6	Jan_28_2015	95.16	90.33	89.31	90.12	90.19	89.87	87.08(-4.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-20	-42	-13	10.53	47%	-0.19	-51	1.83%	0	-1.5	43	0
7	Jan_27_2015	95.34	90.73	89.39	90.87	90.73	90.75	90.9(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-0	14	14	6.39	50%	-0.15	-39.9	1.77%	0	0.1	50	0
8	Jan_26_2015	95.48	90.92	89.18	90.56	90.56	90.51	91.42(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	8	-0	11	0	7.67	50%	-0.16	-34	1.77%	0	0.2	51	0
9	Jan_23_2015	95.63	91.08	89.07	89.93	90.02	90.72	89.72(-1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	14	60	25	-20	7.98	50%	-0.17	-28.7	1.76%	0	-0.5	37	0
10	Jan_22_2015	95.79	91.37	89.33	89.23	89.22	90.62	91.46(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	43	110	65	-24	7.47	52%	-0.17	-19.1	1.76%	0	0	41	0

11	Jan_21_2015	95.95	91.49	89.21	88.39	88.21	89.32	90.82(1.59%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.8	35	80	66	-57	8.27	55%	-0.17	-11.8	1.76%	0	-0.2	37	0
12	Jan_20_2015	96.11	91.67	89.16	87.72	87.35	87.81	89.4(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-10	20	21	-102	10.41	55%	-0.19	-4.7	1.8%	0	-0.7	32	0
13	Jan_16_2015	96.29	91.8	89.28	87.62	87.38	87.09	88.27(2.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-42	-30	-11	-135	12.6	56%	-0.21	-0.6	1.78%	0	-1.1	28	0
14	Jan_15_2015	96.49	91.87	89.87	88.14	87.97	86.9	86.21(-1.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-81	-90	-58	-149	9.66	54%	-0.22	5.9	1.76%	0	-1.9	18	0
15	Jan_14_2015	96.7	91.9	90.67	89.44	89.11	87.67	87.24(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-86	-120	-70	-134	14.12	52%	-0.21	12.8	1.76%	0	-1.7	19	0

16	Jan_13_2015	96.9	91.84	91.45	90.12	90.44	89.04	87.49(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-75	-100	-61	-115	13.28	51%	-0.21	10.9	1.77%	0	-1.5	29	0
17	Jan_12_2015	97.1	91.82	92.23	90.76	91.09	90.54	88.91(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-30	-45	-96	8.91	51%	-0.17	5.7	1.77%	0	-0.9	30	0
18	Jan_9_2015	97.27	91.81	92.86	91.13	91.35	91.83	90.86(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	40	-5	-63	9.58	50%	-0.16	0.3	1.76%	0	-0.3	51	0
19	Jan_8_2015	97.43	91.7	93.31	91.87	91.43	91.64	92.71(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	0	9	-24	8.65	53%	-0.14	-3.4	1.78%	0	0.3	65	0
20	Jan_7_2015	97.57	91.55	93.59	92.17	91.92	90.88	90.64(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-90	-33	-2	10.35	50%	-0.16	-8.3	1.76%	0	-0.3	70	0

21	Jan_6_2015	97.73	91.52	93.97	93.03	92.67	91.22	90.71(-0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-51	-120	-78	29	11.59	50%	-0.15	-6.8	1.78%	0	-0.2	72	0
22	Jan_5_2015	97.88	91.63	94.41	93.92	93.74	92.97	90.75(-4%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-21	-60	-57	88	11.76	50%	-0.14	2	1.78%	0	-0.2	66	0
23	Jan_2_2015	98.02	91.8	94.56	94.79	94.59	94.12	94.53(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-40	-19	142	5.91	53%	-0.18	5.7	1.71%	0	0.7	68	0
24	Dec_31_2014	98.2	91.81	94.07	94.94	94.92	94.52	94.2(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	20	-30	-24	152	6.41	52%	-0.11	4.2	1.71%	0	0.6	68	0
25	Dec_30_2014	98.31	91.85	93.27	95.24	95.17	95.07	94.98(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10	-7	154	5.66	51%		2.9	1.71%	0	0.8	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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