Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 9, 2014

Trading Signals: CVX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Chevron)
CVX latest price $108.3907 (1.15%) ($107.2357 - $108.6382) on Wed. Jul. 9, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.72% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $108.3907(1.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVX declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLE(87%)    OIH(77%)    XOP(73%)    XLB(63%)    XLF(63%)
Factors Impacting CVX price   CVX will decline at least -0.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-22%)    UUP(-14%)    IGOV(-5%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.36% (StdDev 0.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $107.77(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.8(0.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $107.39(0.93%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   13.6%
Market Cap   $202.394b

Chevron Corp. engages in the provision of administrative, financial management, and technology support for energy and chemical operations. It operates through the Upstream and Downstream segments. The Upstream segment consists of exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas; liquefaction, transportation, and regasification associated with liquefied natural gas; transporting crude oil by major international oil export pipelines; processing, transporting, storage, and marketing of natural gas; and a gas-to-liquids plant. The Downstream segment comprises refining of crude oil into petroleum products; marketing of crude oil and refined products; transporting of crude oil and refined products by pipeline, marine vessel, motor equipment, and rail car; and manufacturing and marketing of commodity petrochemicals, plastics for industrial uses, and fuel and lubricant additives. The company was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in San Ramon, CA.

$. CVX price fluctuates within 1.51% (three month std-dev: 0.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.25%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.67%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.13%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -10.75%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.22%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140809

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_9_2014	101.59	107.39	107.8	107.77	107.73	107.54	108.39(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	-10	21	-29	5.2	79%	0.08	80.1	0.72%	0	0.6	56	0
2	Jul_8_2014	101.51	107.15	107.82	107.63	107.64	107.35	107.16(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-20	-51	-48	4.69	78%	0.07	76.3	0.72%	0	0	58	0
3	Jul_7_2014	101.44	106.95	108.06	107.74	107.84	107.92	107.63(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	2	10	2	2	3.66	74%	0.08	73.1	0.71%	0	0.3	63	0
4	Jul_3_2014	101.36	106.71	108.21	107.72	107.79	107.93	108.23(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	10	21	38	3.51	74%	0.09	65.2	0.72%	0	0.6	72	0
5	Jul_2_2014	101.27	106.41	108.27	107.67	107.61	107.76	107.43(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	10	0	63	5.14	73%	0.08	61.7	0.72%	0	0.4	74	0

6	Jul_1_2014	101.19	106.1	108.29	107.84	107.67	107.66	107.69(-0.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	29	-10	4	103	4	73%	0.09	59.8	0.72%	0	0.6	78	0
7	Jun_30_2014	101.1	105.79	108.18	108.04	107.8	107.45	107.7(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-6	-30	-46	116	5.71	73%	0.09	59.1	0.72%	0	0.6	77	0
8	Jun_27_2014	101.01	105.46	108.04	108.44	108.27	107.68	107.54(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-9	-40	-63	155	8.67	74%	0.09	60.8	0.72%	0	0.7	79	0
9	Jun_26_2014	100.92	105.15	107.82	108.77	108.79	108.15	108(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-40	-64	196	6.11	74%	0.1	62	0.71%	0	0.9	83	0
10	Jun_25_2014	100.82	104.8	107.46	108.95	109.03	108.85	108.26(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	35	-10	-33	238	6.71	75%	0.1	61.7	0.71%	0	1.1	86	0

11	Jun_24_2014	100.72	104.44	106.99	108.79	108.94	109.43	108.7(-0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	111	40	53	286	8.58	75%	0.12	62.2	0.72%	0	1.4	90	0
12	Jun_23_2014	100.6	104.06	106.47	108.3	108.34	109.21	109.7(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	165	60	113	319	11.01	78%	0.13	60.2	0.7%	0	1.9	96	0
13	Jun_20_2014	100.47	103.64	105.75	107.57	107.41	108.46	109.17(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	174	60	128	312	11.35	78%	0.13	59.7	0.7%	0	2.1	96	0
14	Jun_19_2014	100.34	103.26	105.07	106.73	106.59	107.48	108.89(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	183	50	146	295	7.43	75%	0.12	58.3	0.7%	0	2.4	90	0
15	Jun_18_2014	100.22	102.9	104.35	105.76	105.67	106.36	107.48(1.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	138	40	102	245	7.7	75%	0.11	54.5	0.7%	0	2.4	89	0

16	Jun_17_2014	100.11	102.57	103.69	104.92	104.92	105.7	106.28(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	125	50	97	208	6.72	75%	0.1	45.3	0.7%	0	2.2	85	0
17	Jun_16_2014	100.01	102.31	103.17	104.35	104.25	104.97	106.04(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	124	50	104	183	7.07	75%	0.09	38.1	0.71%	0	2.6	81	0
18	Jun_13_2014	99.92	102.07	102.63	103.66	103.64	104.13	104.98(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	94	30	79	138	5.58	74%	0.08	29.1	0.7%	0	2.6	72	0
19	Jun_12_2014	99.84	101.91	102.24	103.15	103.15	103.52	104.03(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	67	30	55	102	6.82	73%	0.07	20.7	0.7%	0	2.4	65	0
20	Jun_11_2014	99.77	101.85	101.92	102.72	102.77	103.14	103.27(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	60	30	56	71	4.57	72%	0.06	8.6	0.71%	0	1.7	54	0

21	Jun_10_2014	99.71	101.82	101.69	102.26	102.35	102.78	103.4(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	60	30	62	53	5.88	72%	0.06	-3.8	0.71%	0	2	66	0
22	Jun_9_2014	99.65	101.76	101.47	101.8	101.81	102.4	102.6(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	52	40	59	30	3.66	71%	0.05	-22.2	0.71%	0	1.2	58	0
23	Jun_6_2014	99.6	101.74	101.37	101.44	101.43	101.93	102.45(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	30	68	18	4.3	71%	0.05	-35.7	0.72%	0	1	55	0
24	Jun_5_2014	99.55	101.73	101.3	101.21	101.12	101.23	101.9(0.96%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1	21	0	31	-8	4.23	71%	0.04	-44.3	0.72%	0	0.2	47	0
25	Jun_4_2014	99.51	101.79	101.34	101.01	101	100.94	100.93(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-0	-7	-40	3.29	69%		-44.2	0.72%	0	-1.1	30	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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