Trading Signals: CVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: CVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 20, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(CVS Health Group)
CVS latest price $91.7160 (0.78%) ($90.9569 - $92.0727) on Thu. Jan. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $91.7160(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVS advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVS advances 2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(56%)    VYM(55%)    XLV(55%)    XLP(53%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting CVS price   CVS will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    UUP(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $90.25(1.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $89.62(2.34%)
20 Day Moving Average   $88.79(3.3%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   20.9%
Market Cap   $119.873b

CVS Health Corp. engages in the provision of health care services. It operates trough the following segments: Pharmacy Services, Retail or Long Term Care, Health Care Benefits and Corporate. The Pharmacy Services segment offers pharmacy benefit management solutions. The Retail or Long Term Care segment includes selling of prescription drugs and assortment of general merchandise. The Health Care Benefits segment offers traditional, voluntary and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services, including medical, pharmacy, dental, behavioral health, medical management capabilities. The Corporate segment involves in providing management and administrative services. The company was founded by Stanley P. Goldstein and Ralph Hoagland in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, RI.

$. CVS price fluctuates within 1.72% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 42 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.75%(55%) Sample size 42 Average positive next three day return: 1.07%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -3.04%(36%) Sample size 42 Average positive next weekly return: 1.85%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.56%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_22_2015	80.16	88.79	89.62	90.25	90.34	91.05	91.72(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	72	60	56	121	5.18	81%	0.24	61.6	1.22%	0	1.9	68	0
2	Jan_21_2015	79.97	88.61	89.18	89.64	89.67	90.36	91(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	50	52	96	5.09	82%	0.24	80.3	1.22%	0	1.8	58	0
3	Jan_20_2015	79.78	88.41	88.68	89.17	89.14	89.63	89.97(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	44	40	38	61	4.61	83%	0.23	97.1	1.23%	0	1.3	54	0
4	Jan_16_2015	79.6	88.27	88.28	88.89	88.87	88.98	89.99(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	10	18	26	4.75	84%	0.24	112.8	1.25%	0	1.5	50	0
5	Jan_15_2015	79.41	88.06	87.94	88.74	88.8	88.64	88.56(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10	-9	-1	3.79	78%	0.21	130.5	1.24%	0	0.4	45	0

6	Jan_14_2015	79.24	87.86	87.94	88.89	88.85	88.76	88.7(0.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	-10	-5	-2	4.7	78%	0.21	127	1.28%	0	0.7	46	0
7	Jan_13_2015	79.07	87.54	87.85	88.63	88.94	88.95	88.62(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	18	10	23	3	4.07	72%	0.22	98.8	1.28%	0	0.7	50	0
8	Jan_12_2015	78.9	87.23	87.86	88.08	88.39	88.94	88.58(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	18	50	25	-4	5.1	72%	0.22	66.1	1.34%	0	0.7	57	0
9	Jan_9_2015	78.73	86.96	87.93	87.53	87.71	88.92	89.24(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	51	100	66	7	4.46	72%	0.23	52.7	1.33%	0	1	62	0
10	Jan_8_2015	78.55	86.62	87.9	87.01	86.95	87.85	89.29(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	50	70	64	7	6.53	73%	0.23	46.2	1.34%	0	1.1	67	0

11	Jan_7_2015	78.37	86.31	87.86	86.71	86.56	86.5	87.43(1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10	3	-3	5.79	72%	0.19	43.1	1.33%	0	0.4	68	0
12	Jan_6_2015	78.22	86.09	87.97	87	86.94	86.05	85.88(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-32	-70	-48	16	5.54	70%	0.19	46.2	1.32%	0	-0.1	72	0
13	Jan_5_2015	78.07	85.94	88.13	87.61	87.62	86.62	85.81(-0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-45	-80	-76	49	5.89	70%	0.18	50.2	1.32%	0	-0	72	0
14	Jan_2_2015	77.93	85.77	88.3	88.35	88.39	87.84	86.67(-1.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-12	-40	-51	104	5.12	72%	0.28	55	1.32%	0	0.3	70	0
15	Dec_31_2014	77.71	85.51	88.26	88.86	88.99	88.61	87.77(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-30	-23	153	3.41	72%	0.21	55.4	1.31%	0	0.7	77	0

16	Dec_30_2014	77.55	85.23	87.94	89.15	89.21	88.94	88.88(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	32	-20	-16	175	2.64	72%	0.23	57.1	1.3%	0	1.2	75	0
17	Dec_29_2014	77.37	84.89	87.29	89.07	89.26	89.37	88.9(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	53	20	9	183	3.14	72%	0.25	59.4	1.31%	0	1.3	76	0
18	Dec_26_2014	77.18	84.59	86.62	88.73	88.95	89.47	89.54(0.37%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	71	50	33	185	2.28	72%	0.36	62.8	1.3%	0	1.7	80	0
19	Dec_24_2014	76.9	84.23	85.95	88.24	88.43	89.15	89.21(0.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	87	60	54	186	2.59	71%	0.25	66	1.31%	0	1.9	81	0
20	Dec_23_2014	76.71	83.87	85.24	87.56	87.76	88.44	89.19(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	95	60	67	179	4.42	69%	0.25	65.7	1.31%	0	2.3	82	0

21	Dec_22_2014	76.52	83.52	84.6	86.54	86.84	87.71	88.5(1.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	91	80	69	157	4.2	68%	0.26	65.3	1.32%	0	2.5	74	0
22	Dec_19_2014	76.32	83.15	83.99	85.22	85.89	87.08	87.22(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	99	120	89	129	9.8	67%	0.24	56.7	1.32%	0	2.4	71	0
23	Dec_18_2014	76.14	82.84	83.51	84.17	84.62	85.98	87.05(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	89	130	87	95	5.93	65%	0.21	44.1	1.32%	0	3	63	0
24	Dec_17_2014	75.98	82.55	82.97	83.34	83.59	84.71	85.82(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	78	100	83	64	6.91	63%	0.2	38.9	1.32%	0	3.1	61	0
25	Dec_16_2014	75.83	82.35	82.49	82.6	82.94	83.26	84.13(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	37	40	43	20	10.16	62%		30.2	1.3%	0	2.5	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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