Trading Signals: CVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 1, 2014

Trading Signals: CVS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Feb. 20, 2014 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(CVS Health Group)
CVS latest price $68.8199 (0.89%) ($68.2588 - $69.0824) on Tue. Jul. 1, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $68.8199(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CVS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CVS declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CVS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLV(55%)    XLP(53%)    SPY(51%)    XLF(48%)    VT(47%)
Factors Impacting CVS price   CVS will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-20%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    GDXJ(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $66.42(-3.49%)
Resistance Level   $69.42
5 Day Moving Average   $68.45(0.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $68.89(-0.1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $69.42(-0.86%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $89.948b

CVS Health Corp. engages in the provision of health care services. It operates trough the following segments: Pharmacy Services, Retail or Long Term Care, Health Care Benefits and Corporate. The Pharmacy Services segment offers pharmacy benefit management solutions. The Retail or Long Term Care segment includes selling of prescription drugs and assortment of general merchandise. The Health Care Benefits segment offers traditional, voluntary and consumer-directed health insurance products and related services, including medical, pharmacy, dental, behavioral health, medical management capabilities. The Corporate segment involves in providing management and administrative services. The company was founded by Stanley P. Goldstein and Ralph Hoagland in 1963 and is headquartered in Woonsocket, RI.

$. CVS price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 1.22%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -0.37%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.29%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140801

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_1_2014	67.67	69.42	68.89	68.45	68.47	68.57	68.82(0.89%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	6	10	18	-29	3.36	57%	0.03	-49.3	0.8%	0	-0.6	39	INF
2	Jun_30_2014	67.65	69.5	68.9	68.34	68.37	68.4	68.21(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	0	-4	-61	3.98	57%	0	-49.7	0.8%	0	-1.2	29	INF
3	Jun_27_2014	67.65	69.63	68.98	68.52	68.35	68.37	68.53(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	-10	-13	-76	7.27	53%	0.01	-41.7	0.8%	0	-1	28	INF
4	Jun_26_2014	67.64	69.75	69	68.71	68.56	68.34	68.37(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-30	-26	-96	4.01	53%	0.01	-33.6	0.82%	0	-1.4	24	INF
5	Jun_25_2014	67.63	69.85	69.05	69.06	68.95	68.33	68.3(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-70	-56	-112	4.24	55%	0.01	-21.9	0.82%	0	-1.6	27	INF

6	Jun_24_2014	67.62	69.94	69.22	69.4	69.41	68.78	68.31(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-74	-60	-64	-103	5.87	53%	0.01	-7.1	0.83%	0	-1.8	33	INF
7	Jun_23_2014	67.61	70.03	69.45	69.53	69.73	69.57	69.07(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-39	-10	-25	-80	3.57	56%	0.01	0.8	0.82%	0	-1.2	41	INF
8	Jun_20_2014	67.6	70.07	69.64	69.5	69.66	70.04	69.5(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	50	27	-59	6.13	58%	0.04	2.6	0.83%	0	-0.7	39	INF
9	Jun_19_2014	67.57	70.09	69.82	69.33	69.36	69.88	70.1(0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	30	50	58	-53	4.54	60%	0.04	5.3	0.83%	0	0	43	INF
10	Jun_18_2014	67.54	70.06	69.91	69.33	69.02	69.28	70.01(1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	4	20	30	-73	3.48	58%	0.04	-0.9	0.83%	0	-0.1	48	INF

11	Jun_17_2014	67.51	70.01	69.97	69.06	68.93	68.84	68.96(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-10	-17	-87	2.78	59%	0.03	-3.3	0.82%	0	-1.2	44	INF
12	Jun_16_2014	67.49	70.02	70.12	69.38	69.25	68.75	68.91(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-60	-47	-75	3.99	59%	0.01	4.9	0.86%	0	-1.3	45	INF
13	Jun_13_2014	67.48	70.02	70.32	69.82	69.75	69.01	68.66(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-76	-80	-82	-56	3.11	59%	0.03	20.8	0.86%	0	-1.7	43	INF
14	Jun_12_2014	67.46	70.05	70.56	70.37	70.36	69.75	68.77(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-62	-60	-78	-15	3.78	59%	0.03	37.4	0.86%	0	-1.5	43	INF
15	Jun_11_2014	67.44	70.07	70.74	70.85	70.9	70.49	69.98(-0.9%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-21	-40	-40	37	3.13	60%	0.04	53.7	0.83%	0	-0.1	59	INF

16	Jun_10_2014	67.41	70.04	70.75	71	71.06	70.97	70.61(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10	-17	67	2.7	62%	0.06	68.5	0.84%	0	0.7	73	INF
17	Jun_9_2014	67.37	69.98	70.68	70.95	70.99	71.32	71.09(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	30	17	87	2.89	62%	0.07	76.6	0.83%	0	1.3	73	INF
18	Jun_6_2014	67.32	69.88	70.56	70.9	70.85	71.15	71.43(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	54	30	38	100	2.98	62%	0.09	88.5	0.83%	0	1.8	72	INF
19	Jun_5_2014	67.26	69.74	70.4	70.79	70.71	70.66	71.15(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	35	-10	13	99	3.31	62%	0.07	106.1	0.83%	0	1.8	77	INF
20	Jun_4_2014	67.21	69.61	70.22	70.62	70.67	70.56	70.74(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	21	-10	-3	91	2.89	63%	0.07	125	0.83%	0	1.5	68	INF

21	Jun_3_2014	67.16	69.45	70.03	70.46	70.58	70.76	70.33(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	20	8	83	2.95	61%	0.06	112.4	0.83%	0	1	59	INF
22	Jun_2_2014	67.12	69.33	69.9	70.36	70.43	70.78	70.87(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	51	40	39	86	2.15	61%	0.09	111.8	0.83%	0	1.8	61	INF
23	May_30_2014	67.06	69.13	69.74	70.14	70.18	70.41	70.88(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	20	33	75	5.29	61%	0.07	101.5	0.84%	0	1.8	65	INF
24	May_29_2014	67.01	68.9	69.49	69.94	69.98	70.09	70.29(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	10	19	57	3.32	60%	0.07	87.5	0.84%	0	1.3	65	INF
25	May_28_2014	66.96	68.68	69.34	69.77	69.85	69.94	69.92(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	10	19	48	3.74	62%		72.3	0.84%	0	1	62	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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