Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 29, 2015

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $54.2063 (1.5%) ($53.0781 - $54.7679) on Wed. Apr. 29, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.32% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $54.2063(1.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    XLK(46%)    SPY(44%)    VT(42%)    XLV(41%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -0.66% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    TLT(-16%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.66% (StdDev 1.32%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.37(1.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.25(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.37(5.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   15.6%
Market Cap   $6.695b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 2.65% (three month std-dev: 1.32%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 36 Average positive next day return: 1.45%(28%) Average negative next day return: -0.77%(72%) Sample size 36 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.51%(56%) Sample size 36 Average positive next weekly return: 1.67%(47%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.51%(53%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2015	49.54	51.37	52.25	53.37	53.07	53.47	54.21(1.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	63	40	39	133	2.64	61%	0.06	61.5	1.32%	0	2.1	67	INF
2	Apr_28_2015	49.51	51.17	51.99	52.78	52.75	53.08	53.41(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	59	40	41	113	1.29	57%	0.06	57.1	1.34%	0	1.9	65	INF
3	Apr_27_2015	49.48	51.02	51.7	52.26	52.27	52.66	52.96(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	49	50	35	90	1.35	57%	0.02	50.5	1.36%	0	1.8	68	INF
4	Apr_24_2015	49.47	50.88	51.43	51.76	51.72	52.43	53(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	90	42	73	1.99	57%	0.02	40.4	1.36%	0	2.2	69	INF
5	Apr_23_2015	49.46	50.73	51.17	51.29	51.34	51.88	53.27(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	54	80	50	64	4.53	59%	0.02	33.3	1.37%	0	3	74	INF

6	Apr_22_2015	49.45	50.54	50.93	50.98	50.94	51	51.24(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	10	1	45	2.44	57%	-0.02	33.9	1.29%	0	1.1	61	INF
7	Apr_21_2015	49.46	50.5	50.89	51.1	51.08	50.8	50.8(0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-40	-6	51	1.51	57%	-0.02	52.8	1.31%	0	0.5	52	INF
8	Apr_20_2015	49.47	50.5	50.82	51.07	51.26	50.87	50.5(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-1	-40	-15	42	1.72	57%	-0.04	65.9	1.31%	0	0	49	INF
9	Apr_17_2015	49.49	50.49	50.78	51.01	51.18	51.36	50.65(-2.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	30	-6	41	2.01	57%	0.02	84.6	1.32%	0	0.3	53	INF
10	Apr_16_2015	49.48	50.45	50.65	50.97	51.01	51.64	51.73(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	45	90	42	52	1	62%	-0.02	96	1.29%	0	2	61	INF

11	Apr_15_2015	49.49	50.33	50.45	50.86	50.42	51	51.82(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	37	50	35	44	2.39	62%	0	114.3	1.32%	0	2.5	65	INF
12	Apr_14_2015	49.49	50.17	50.3	50.68	50.18	50.37	50.64(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-0	24	31	1.45	56%	-0.02	122.4	1.3%	0	0.8	51	INF
13	Apr_13_2015	49.5	50.08	50.29	50.56	50.19	49.84	50.22(-0.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-70	-3	15	2.31	52%	-0.04	107	1.34%	0	0.2	47	INF
14	Apr_10_2015	49.52	49.97	50.3	50.51	50.15	49.98	50.47(-1.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-6	-50	-11	8	8.69	52%	0	78.3	1.41%	0	0.6	50	INF
15	Apr_9_2015	49.52	49.85	50.27	50.25	50.11	50.53	51.15(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	50	21	11	2.37	52%	0	57.8	1.41%	0	1.4	61	INF

16	Apr_8_2015	49.52	49.65	50.12	49.97	49.83	50.32	50.92(1.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	21	60	27	3	1.07	52%	-0.02	34.6	1.41%	0	1.2	63	INF
17	Apr_7_2015	49.53	49.47	50.06	49.89	49.71	49.69	50.04(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10	7	4	1.9	51%	-0.04	22.6	1.4%	0	0.5	63	INF
18	Apr_6_2015	49.55	49.41	50.12	50.01	49.81	49.34	49.96(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-14	-80	-22	12	1.72	48%	-0.1	18.9	1.41%	0	0.5	63	INF
19	Apr_2_2015	49.6	49.33	50.16	50.08	50.11	49.73	49.19(-1.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-50	-28	34	1.09	44%	-0.06	12.9	1.46%	0	-0.1	67	INF
20	Apr_1_2015	49.63	49.32	50.24	50.08	50.28	50.29	49.72(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	0	-6	67	1.47	44%	-0.08	13.3	1.45%	0	0.4	67	INF

21	Mar_31_2015	49.67	49.29	50.22	50.27	50.24	50.5	50.53(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	30	10	93	1.3	46%	-0.04	6.7	1.45%	0	1.1	80	INF
22	Mar_30_2015	49.69	49.22	50.05	50.26	50.13	50.27	50.65(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	34	10	10	106	1.09	46%	-0.04	2.3	1.46%	0	1.3	77	INF
23	Mar_27_2015	49.71	49.2	49.87	50.25	50.14	49.99	50.32(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	24	-30	-3	104	1.03	46%	-0.04	4.1	1.45%	0	1	60	INF
24	Mar_26_2015	49.73	49.2	49.62	50.28	50.25	50	50.14(0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	18	-40	-10	100	1.26	46%	-0.02	0.9	1.46%	0	0.9	61	INF
25	Mar_25_2015	49.74	49.18	49.41	50.22	50.34	50.29	49.72(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	21	0	-3	94	1.52	46%		-3.6	1.45%	0	0.5	54	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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