Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 19, 2015

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $50.8599 (0.89%) ($50.0371 - $51.0498) on Thu. Feb. 19, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.53% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $50.8599(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(46%)    XLK(46%)    SPY(44%)    VT(42%)    XLV(41%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -0.765% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-22%)    TLT(-15%)    IGOV(-8%)    TIP(-6%)    SHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.765% (StdDev 1.53%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.69(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.17(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.05(3.69%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   12.8%
Market Cap   $6.282b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 2.73% (three month std-dev: 1.53%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.73%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.63%(20%) Average negative next three day return: -0.73%(80%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 0.92%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.48%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150319

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_19_2015	50.31	49.05	50.17	50.69	50.61	50.47	50.86(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-20	0	108	0.96	49%	-0.06	89.4	1.53%	0	1.4	68	0
2	Feb_18_2015	50.34	48.84	49.94	50.6	50.59	50.55	50.41(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10	-5	117	1.12	49%	-0.14	86.5	1.53%	0	1.1	73	0
3	Feb_17_2015	50.41	48.65	49.78	50.55	50.56	50.75	50.76(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	30	15	134	0.91	49%	-0.22	79	1.54%	0	1.5	68	0
4	Feb_13_2015	50.52	48.42	49.48	50.27	50.36	50.63	51.03(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	52	40	27	126	1.48	49%	-0.08	67.4	1.52%	0	1.9	64	0
5	Feb_12_2015	50.56	48.12	49.07	49.9	49.94	50.37	50.4(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	44	60	25	101	1.37	49%	-0.14	47.4	1.52%	0	1.6	61	0

6	Feb_11_2015	50.63	47.88	48.83	49.57	49.57	50.09	50.42(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	53	70	38	98	1.45	49%	-0.1	32	1.52%	0	1.8	65	0
7	Feb_10_2015	50.68	47.68	48.47	49.17	49.17	49.51	50.13(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	42	50	29	80	1.54	49%	-0.12	22.1	1.52%	0	1.9	68	0
8	Feb_9_2015	50.74	47.57	48.2	48.91	48.83	49.05	49.35(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	33	30	20	73	1.4	47%	-0.16	15.4	1.51%	0	1.5	65	0
9	Feb_6_2015	50.82	47.51	48.07	48.56	48.63	48.84	49.18(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	30	30	78	1.29	50%	-0.16	0.4	1.51%	0	1.5	67	0
10	Feb_5_2015	50.9	47.46	47.96	48.1	48.15	48.62	48.78(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	70	18	75	1.25	50%	-0.16	-18.9	1.54%	0	1.2	70	0

11	Feb_4_2015	50.98	47.43	47.82	47.96	47.77	48.42	48.4(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	80	32	92	1.26	50%	-0.18	-33.6	1.53%	0	0.9	66	0
12	Feb_3_2015	51.07	47.43	47.64	47.64	47.8	47.68	48.83(2.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	-10	30	77	1.76	50%	-0.16	-58.4	1.53%	0	1.4	60	0
13	Feb_2_2015	51.15	47.39	47.42	47.39	47.58	47.12	47.62(1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-16	-60	-32	31	1.72	47%	-0.2	-72.3	1.49%	0	0.2	46	0
14	Jan_30_2015	51.25	47.5	47.29	47.51	47.67	47.91	46.88(-2.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	50	-17	27	2.48	45%	-0.19	-63.8	1.48%	0	-0.5	43	0
15	Jan_29_2015	51.35	47.67	47.13	47.78	47.89	48.05	48.07(2.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	30	28	31	3.54	46%	-0.17	-59.9	1.46%	0	0.3	45	0

16	Jan_28_2015	51.44	47.79	46.88	47.67	47.69	47.44	46.83(-1.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-7	-40	-5	-11	2.5	44%	-0.19	-54.3	1.43%	0	-0.7	41	0
17	Jan_27_2015	51.54	48.01	46.86	47.61	47.53	47.72	47.55(-1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-3	20	3	-20	1.64	46%	-0.17	-46.5	1.43%	0	-0.3	49	0
18	Jan_26_2015	51.63	48.17	46.92	47.43	47.29	47.94	48.23(-0.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	26	90	41	-20	1.87	46%	-0.15	-42.6	1.42%	0	0	44	0
19	Jan_23_2015	51.71	48.3	46.9	47.02	46.92	47.34	48.23(1.53%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	29	60	55	-48	1.81	45%	-0.15	-40.2	1.47%	0	-0	39	0
20	Jan_22_2015	51.79	48.43	46.91	46.39	46.33	46.63	47.51(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	40	22	-99	3.29	42%	-0.17	-39.3	1.56%	0	-0.5	34	0

21	Jan_21_2015	51.88	48.57	46.98	45.99	45.97	46.5	46.54(-0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	80	19	-138	1.55	41%	-0.17	-37.8	1.55%	0	-1	26	0
22	Jan_20_2015	51.97	48.74	47.1	46	45.77	46.02	46.65(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-40	20	4	-170	2.21	41%	-0.19	-32	1.56%	0	-1	25	0
23	Jan_16_2015	52.07	48.92	47.33	46.35	46.01	45.45	46.18(2.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-67	-110	-27	-185	1.91	39%	-0.17	-26.9	1.55%	0	-1.4	24	0
24	Jan_15_2015	52.16	49.05	47.72	46.78	46.7	45.52	45.08(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-100	-180	-69	-193	1.92	36%	-0.19	-24.9	1.53%	0	-2.1	16	0
25	Jan_14_2015	52.26	49.19	48.26	47.49	47.48	46.57	45.51(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-99	-130	-74	-172	3.46	36%		-27.1	1.52%	0	-2.3	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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