Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: CTXS Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Thu. Sep. 29, 2022)

(Citrix Systems Inc)
CTXS latest price $50.8124 (0.78%) ($50.6779 - $51.3346) on Fri. Oct. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $50.8124(0.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTXS advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTXS declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTXS advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLK(47%)    QQQ(46%)    SPY(44%)    VT(43%)    XLV(41%)
Factors Impacting CTXS price   CTXS will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-23%)    TLT(-17%)    IGOV(-9%)    TIP(-7%)    SHY(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.23(-10.99%)
Resistance Level   $51.36
5 Day Moving Average   $50.37(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.59(0.44%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.36(-1.07%)
To recent high   -11.6%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $6.276b

Citrix Systems, Inc. engages in the design, development, and marketing of information technology solutions. It provides digital workspace that unifies apps, data, and services. It markets and licenses its products directly to customers through web, systems integrators, value-added resellers, and service providers. The company was founded by Edward E. Iacobucci on April 17, 1989 and is headquartered in Fort Lauderdale, FL.

$. CTXS price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.07%(40%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 9.24%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -0.53%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 5.21%(60%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.28%(40%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_31_2014	53.15	51.36	50.59	50.37	50.48	50.6	50.81(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	11	20	24	-27	1.58	29%	0.02	-75.2	1.22%	0	-0.4	48	INF
2	Oct_30_2014	53.14	51.56	50.61	50.27	50.28	50.21	50.42(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-7	-10	7	-47	1.16	29%	-0.02	-74.5	1.23%	0	-0.7	42	INF
3	Oct_29_2014	53.15	51.76	50.63	49.97	50.13	50.36	49.87(-1.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	40	3	-88	1.9	29%	-0.02	-79.8	1.22%	0	-1.1	34	INF
4	Oct_28_2014	53.16	51.99	50.78	50.25	49.68	50.34	50.7(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	60	3	-97	1.87	34%	0.02	-74	1.21%	0	-0.7	34	INF
5	Oct_27_2014	53.15	52.26	50.85	50.55	49.91	49.9	50.07(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-12	-40	15	-94	2.41	32%	0.02	-64.9	1.23%	0	-1.1	34	INF

6	Oct_24_2014	53.14	52.56	50.97	50.85	50.34	49.03	50.31(2.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-71	-210	-50	-134	5.97	39%	0.04	-59.9	1.23%	0	-1.1	31	INF
7	Oct_23_2014	53.12	52.83	51.13	51	50.71	49.92	48.92(-4.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-110	-130	-92	-164	10.19	34%	0.02	-60.5	1.29%	0	-1.9	21	INF
8	Oct_22_2014	53.11	53.17	51.57	51.34	51.34	51.65	51.25(-1.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-25	40	11	-132	4.28	39%	0.06	-63.6	1.16%	0	-1	31	INF
9	Oct_21_2014	53.08	53.43	51.81	51.37	51.16	51.49	52.21(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	30	32	-131	2.77	41%	0.08	-63.7	1.15%	0	-0.6	35	INF
10	Oct_20_2014	53.04	53.61	51.91	51.2	50.93	51.02	51.56(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-39	-0	8	-179	2.86	38%	0.04	-67.7	1.14%	0	-1	23	INF

11	Oct_17_2014	53.02	53.82	52.18	51.13	51.05	50.83	51.06(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-60	-30	-10	-209	2.73	38%	0.06	-70.8	1.13%	0	-1.4	22	INF
12	Oct_16_2014	52.99	54.1	52.57	51.31	51.16	50.84	50.64(-1.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-94	-50	-50	-225	2.88	38%	0.04	-69.2	1.13%	0	-1.7	22	INF
13	Oct_15_2014	52.97	54.45	52.96	51.82	51.67	51.27	51.37(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-86	-60	-44	-210	2.89	40%	0.06	-66.6	1.11%	0	-1.6	27	INF
14	Oct_14_2014	52.94	54.72	53.28	52.33	52.31	51.47	51.37(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-94	-110	-55	-209	2.4	40%	-0.02	-64.3	1.11%	0	-1.9	24	INF
15	Oct_13_2014	52.95	54.99	53.78	52.74	52.81	52.08	51.2(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-111	-90	-83	-194	4.9	40%	0.04	-63.2	1.12%	0	-2.3	29	INF

16	Oct_10_2014	52.93	55.28	54.28	53.39	53.31	53.14	51.94(-2.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-78	-30	-54	-150	2.6	42%	0.08	-61.6	1.1%	0	-2.4	32	INF
17	Oct_9_2014	52.89	55.54	54.68	54.01	53.87	53.54	53.22(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-50	-16	-115	2.37	46%	0.08	-54.5	1.06%	0	-1.9	32	INF
18	Oct_8_2014	52.85	55.74	54.92	54.27	54.21	53.48	53.91(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-67	-100	-45	-132	1.85	48%	0.11	-49.2	1.05%	0	-1.6	31	INF
19	Oct_7_2014	52.79	55.88	55.19	54.38	54.42	54.21	53.42(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-86	-20	-69	-136	2.86	48%	0.11	-48.1	1.06%	0	-2.4	36	INF
20	Oct_6_2014	52.73	56.04	55.45	54.98	54.9	54.94	54.43(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	0	-7	-89	1.68	52%	0.11	-36.6	1.03%	0	-1.9	39	INF

21	Oct_3_2014	52.67	56.16	55.59	55.33	55.25	54.63	55.06(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	-80	-24	-87	1.37	54%	0.13	-21.6	1.02%	0	-1.4	41	INF
22	Oct_2_2014	52.6	56.21	55.75	55.48	55.49	54.86	54.54(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-74	-80	-66	-99	1.52	54%	0.13	-12.1	1.02%	0	-2.3	36	INF
23	Oct_1_2014	52.53	56.29	56.04	55.67	55.82	55.87	54.44(-3.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-42	10	-32	-72	3.86	54%	0.13	-2.6	1.02%	0	-2.9	34	INF
24	Sep_30_2014	52.46	56.38	56.27	56.1	55.97	56.12	56.44(0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	10	24	-31	2.41	57%	0.17	27	0.91%	0	0.1	48	INF
25	Sep_29_2014	52.37	56.35	56.28	55.98	55.95	55.78	56.18(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	-20	2	-41	1.61	57%		23.9	0.98%	0	-0.3	50	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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