Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jan. 5, 2018

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $47.3700 (2.51%) ($46.2600 - $47.7500) on Fri. Jan. 5, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.69% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $47.3700(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(67%)    MCHI(62%)    EEM(56%)    FXI(56%)    VWO(56%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -0.845% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-22%)    TLT(-21%)    BND(-16%)    TIP(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.845% (StdDev 1.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.07(2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.44(4.25%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.64(6.12%)
To recent high   -15.8%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $26.314b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 2.62% (three month std-dev: 1.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_5_2018	49.13	44.64	45.44	46.07			47.37(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	31	-10000	13	84	5.79	36%	-0.04	9.9	1.69%	0	2.3	74	0
2	Jan_4_2018	49.15	44.52	45.13	45.55			46.21(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	24	-10000	9	67	3.92	35%	-0.08	-7.7	1.67%	0	1.7	70	0
3	Jan_3_2018	49.19	44.49	44.94	45.23			46.6(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	25	-10000	12	62	5.76	39%	-0.1	-21.3	1.69%	0	2.3	75	0
4	Jan_2_2018	49.24	44.49	44.71	44.77			46.07(4.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	16	-10000	5	49	7.91	39%	-0.24	-42.3	1.72%	0	1.9	74	0
5	Dec_29_2017	49.36	44.44	44.5	44.59			44.1(-1.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-10000	-4	49	4.07	32%	-0.2	-50.2	1.62%	0	-0.4	66	0

6	Dec_28_2017	49.46	44.53	44.46	44.72			44.75(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	2	58	1.59	32%	-0.26	-53.2	1.61%	0	0.2	60	0
7	Dec_27_2017	49.59	44.59	44.35	44.65			44.64(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	12	-10000	2	42	2.95	32%	-0.28	-59.2	1.62%	0	0	43	0
8	Dec_26_2017	49.73	44.68	44.22	44.58			44.3(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	19	2.78	32%	-0.44	-59.9	1.62%	0	-0.3	36	0
9	Dec_22_2017	49.95	44.8	44.12	44.63			45.15(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	6	2	2.67	34%	-0.26	-53.8	1.61%	0	0.3	38	0
10	Dec_21_2017	50.08	44.91	43.9	44.4			44.75(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	7	-34	2.62	34%	-0.26	-55.4	1.6%	0	-0.1	33	0

11	Dec_20_2017	50.21	45.06	43.79	44.16			44.4(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-13	-10000	5	-65	1.89	34%	-0.3	-48.7	1.6%	0	-0.4	33	0
12	Dec_19_2017	50.36	45.23	43.86	44			44.32(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	6	-80	3.4	34%	-0.32	-40.8	1.6%	0	-0.6	31	0
13	Dec_18_2017	50.52	45.38	43.99	43.8			44.51(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	-10000	8	-95	5.45	34%	-0.3	-41.1	1.6%	0	-0.5	29	0
14	Dec_15_2017	50.67	45.54	44.13	43.53			44.01(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	6	-115	7.03	34%	-0.3	-39	1.61%	0	-0.9	23	0
15	Dec_14_2017	50.82	45.68	44.34	43.33			43.57(-0.05%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	0.1	-35	-10000	-1	-138	4.68	34%	-0.33	-40.9	1.6%	0	-1.2	14	0

16	Dec_13_2017	50.99	45.81	44.58	43.37			43.59(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-47	-10000	-10	-156	5.39	34%	-0.27	-42.7	1.6%	0	-1.4	13	0
17	Dec_12_2017	51.13	45.91	44.85	43.7			43.34(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-15	-158	5.16	34%	-0.29	-41.2	1.61%	0	-1.6	10	0
18	Dec_11_2017	51.28	46.08	45.18	44.23			43.16(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-48	-10000	-16	-143	4.55	37%	-0.29	-33.2	1.61%	0	-2	19	0
19	Dec_8_2017	51.43	46.23	45.56	44.82			42.98(-1.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-45	-10000	-18	-126	7.23	37%	-0.27	-28	1.62%	0	-2.6	16	0
20	Dec_7_2017	51.57	46.39	46.03	45.49			43.76(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-32	-10000	-12	-91	11.23	41%	-0.29	-19.4	1.62%	0	-2.6	31	0

21	Dec_6_2017	51.72	46.52	46.47	45.95			45.28(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-10000	-5	-55	6.12	45%	-0.23	-17.1	1.59%	0	-1.5	49	0
22	Dec_5_2017	51.84	46.56	46.75	46.14			45.95(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-10000	-4	-27	2.87	45%	-0.21	-21.8	1.58%	0	-0.8	59	0
23	Dec_4_2017	51.95	46.57	46.9	46.29			46.12(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-7	-10000	-4	-14	2.66	45%	-0.23	-23.6	1.58%	0	-0.6	49	0
24	Dec_1_2017	52.07	46.58	47.06	46.43			46.32(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-4	-10000	-7	6	3.41	45%	-0.19	-23.3	1.59%	0	-0.3	56	0
25	Nov_30_2017	52.17	46.59	47.13	46.69			46.08(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-10000	-10	23	4.1	42%		-15.1	1.61%	0	-0.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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