Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 16, 2017

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $46.8300 (2.09%) ($46.1100 - $47.2800) on Thu. Nov. 16, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $46.8300(2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(66%)    MCHI(61%)    EEM(56%)    FXI(55%)    VWO(55%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-22%)    TLT(-20%)    BND(-15%)    TIP(-13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $46.03(1.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $46.02(1.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $46.7(0.28%)
To recent high   -16.7%
To recent low   3.4%
Market Cap   $26.014b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 2.36% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20171216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2017	52.8	46.7	46.02	46.03			46.83(2.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	-10000	5	-40	4.57	45%	-0.15	-159.7	1.68%	0	0.1	47	0
2	Nov_15_2017	52.88	46.84	45.97	45.84			45.87(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-13	-10000	-0	-52	3.63	41%	-0.15	-105.9	1.69%	0	-0.5	45	0
3	Nov_14_2017	52.96	47.22	46.13	45.86			45.3(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-3	-52	4.44	38%	-0.19	-83.8	1.69%	0	-0.8	35	0
4	Nov_13_2017	53.06	47.66	46.38	45.98			46.48(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	3	-46	5.98	41%	-0.17	-70.6	1.69%	0	-0.4	36	0
5	Nov_10_2017	53.15	48.08	46.42	45.87			45.67(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-19	-10000	-4	-65	3.23	34%	-0.19	-64.7	1.68%	0	-0.7	26	0

6	Nov_9_2017	53.25	48.53	46.57	46.01			45.9(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	-10000	-3	-63	6.94	34%	-0.19	-61.3	1.8%	0	-0.8	28	0
7	Nov_8_2017	53.35	48.96	46.65	46.12			45.95(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-10000	-8	-82	6.19	34%	-0.15	-61.2	1.8%	0	-0.9	22	0
8	Nov_7_2017	53.43	49.37	46.79	46.44			45.9(-0.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-35	-10000	-9	-113	5.49	34%	-0.15	-59.5	1.81%	0	-1	13	0
9	Nov_6_2017	53.51	49.8	47.01	46.84			45.91(-1.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-38	-10000	-5	-137	6.61	34%	-0.13	-56.2	1.81%	0	-1.1	13	0
10	Nov_3_2017	53.58	50.27	47.26	47.06			46.4(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-46	-10000	-4	-172	5.64	34%	-0.11	-52.2	1.81%	0	-1	12	0

11	Nov_2_2017	53.64	50.73	47.46	47.21			46.46(-2.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-10000	-1	-207	14.94	32%	-0.15	-47.9	1.81%	0	-1.1	14	0
12	Nov_1_2017	53.72	51.21	47.78	47.24			47.55(-0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-58	-10000	1	-234	12.25	34%	-0.13	-45	1.82%	0	-1	19	0
13	Oct_31_2017	53.79	51.61	48.39	47.2			47.89(1.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-60	-10000	-1	-238	6.05	34%	-0.13	-42.8	1.82%	0	-1	23	0
14	Oct_30_2017	53.86	51.95	49.01	47.23			47.01(-0.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-66	-10000	-7	-244	3.95	31%	-0.17	-41.1	1.8%	0	-1.4	16	0
15	Oct_27_2017	53.95	52.28	49.82	47.51			47.13(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-63	-10000	-6	-234	4.45	31%	-0.2	-41	1.81%	0	-1.5	16	0

16	Oct_26_2017	54.06	52.59	50.61	47.76			46.6(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-70	-10000	-15	-234	4.74	35%	-0.2	-42.5	1.81%	0	-1.9	11	0
17	Oct_25_2017	54.17	52.93	51.43	48.4			47.35(-1.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-78	-10000	-30	-223	6.68	35%	-0.18	-42.7	1.85%	0	-2	11	0
18	Oct_24_2017	54.27	53.22	52.15	49.78			48.05(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-68	-10000	-28	-187	4.93	35%	-0.15	-35	1.85%	0	-2.1	19	0
19	Oct_23_2017	54.35	53.44	52.84	51.09			48.43(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-59	-10000	-29	-147	6.29	35%	-0.15	-26.3	1.85%	0	-2.2	27	0
20	Oct_20_2017	54.43	53.68	53.56	52.5			48.35(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-43	-10000	-27	-91	13.41	35%	-0.15	-12.2	1.85%	0	-2.7	37	0

21	Oct_19_2017	54.51	53.94	54.34	53.87			49.8(-8.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-22	-10000	-20	-29	17.86	38%	-0.09	10.8	1.83%	0	-2.7	43	0
22	Oct_18_2017	54.56	54.15	55.02	53.87			54.27(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	9	-10000	0	36	2.1	46%	-0.02	37.7	1.53%	0	0.1	62	0
23	Oct_17_2017	54.57	54.11	55.02	53.87			54.61(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	0	58	2.39	46%	0	39.1	1.54%	0	0.4	67	0
24	Oct_16_2017	54.57	54.04	55.15	54.86			55.47(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	20	-10000	1	78	1.17	47%	0	41.4	1.53%	0	1.1	76	0
25	Oct_13_2017	54.57	53.92	54.92	54.83			55.19(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	19	-10000	-2	80	1.81	51%		44.1	1.56%	0	1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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