Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. May. 15, 2017

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $55.1600 (-0.31%) ($54.9600 - $55.7000) on Mon. May. 15, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.46% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $55.1600(-0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(66%)    MCHI(61%)    EEM(55%)    FXI(54%)    VWO(54%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -0.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-20%)    TLT(-18%)    BND(-13%)    XLU(-11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.73% (StdDev 1.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.22(-0.11%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.94(2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.58(6.94%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   21.3%
Market Cap   $30.642b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 5.6% (three month std-dev: 1.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170615

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_15_2017	47.09	51.58	53.94	55.22			55.16(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	58	-10000	11	200	4.24	62%	0.34	59.8	1.46%	0	1.2	81	0
2	May_12_2017	46.93	51.24	53.63	54.78			55.33(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	67	-10000	14	224	5.38	62%	0.34	54.7	1.44%	0	1.4	85	0
3	May_11_2017	46.77	50.88	53.16	54.25			54.15(-3.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	65	-10000	10	231	9.49	60%	0.3	50.5	1.43%	0	1.2	85	0
4	May_10_2017	46.63	50.6	52.78	53.86			56.13(1.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	81	-10000	21	261	8.35	68%	0.34	47.5	1.36%	0	2.1	98	0
5	May_9_2017	46.47	50.21	52.12	53.1			55.33(4.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	74	-10000	16	246	8.66	67%	0.32	44.1	1.38%	0	2.2	96	0

6	May_8_2017	46.32	49.91	51.49	52.51			52.97(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	63	-10000	5	237	4.13	62%	0.26	44.5	1.28%	0	1.6	71	0
7	May_5_2017	46.2	49.74	50.97	52.33			52.68(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	68	-10000	13	232	3.03	62%	0.26	47.8	1.26%	0	1.6	72	0
8	May_4_2017	46.08	49.55	50.43	51.9			52.2(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	60	-10000	12	203	2.97	62%	0.24	43.1	1.27%	0	1.6	72	0
9	May_3_2017	45.97	49.38	49.92	51.5			52.31(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	56	-10000	16	174	2.13	62%	0.22	37.7	1.27%	0	1.9	70	0
10	May_2_2017	45.87	49.21	49.4	50.97			52.38(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	-10000	21	135	4.81	62%	0.22	30.8	1.27%	0	2.2	67	0

11	May_1_2017	45.77	49.05	49.03	50.31			52.08(3.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	45	-10000	28	96	5.94	62%	0.2	22.1	1.28%	0	2.5	58	0
12	Apr_28_2017	45.68	48.89	48.65	49.41			50.51(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	-10000	23	34	4.17	58%	0.18	1.5	1.21%	0	1.6	50	0
13	Apr_27_2017	45.6	48.83	48.4	48.74			50.24(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	14	-10000	22	-12	4.29	58%	0.15	-12.8	1.22%	0	1.5	55	0
14	Apr_26_2017	45.53	48.79	48.21	48.09			49.64(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-1	-10000	17	-55	3.84	58%	0.18	-25.4	1.22%	0	0.9	53	0
15	Apr_25_2017	45.45	48.79	48.12	47.6			49.1(3.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-23	-10000	1	-95	5.01	58%	0.13	-34.2	1.21%	0	0.4	47	0

16	Apr_24_2017	45.39	48.78	48.16	47.57			47.55(0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-32	-10000	-8	-104	4	53%	0.09	-37	1.15%	0	-1.3	35	0
17	Apr_21_2017	45.35	48.87	48.41	47.78			47.16(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-8	-85	4.31	53%	0.07	-32	1.15%	0	-2	36	0
18	Apr_20_2017	45.32	48.95	48.61	48.01			47.02(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-28	-10000	-11	-79	6.06	53%	0.02	-30.2	1.16%	0	-2.5	32	0
19	Apr_19_2017	45.31	49.03	48.83	48.32			47.15(-3.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-26	-10000	-12	-69	14.68	53%	0.04	-25.9	1.16%	0	-2.8	33	0
20	Apr_18_2017	45.29	49.09	49.06	48.67			48.98(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-19	-10000	-7	-53	3.29	62%	0.09	-25	1.06%	0	-0.2	45	0

21	Apr_17_2017	45.25	49.13	49.12	48.85			48.61(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-11	-42	1.71	62%	0.09	-9.5	1.06%	0	-0.9	44	0
22	Apr_13_2017	45.21	49.15	49.18	49.14			48.29(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-10	-10000	-6	-23	2	62%	0.16	11.6	1.07%	0	-1.6	43	0
23	Apr_12_2017	45.14	49.19	49.32	49.31			48.59(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-2	-10000	-3	-0	2.7	62%	0.16	36.8	1.07%	0	-1.2	52	0
24	Apr_11_2017	45.07	49.2	49.44	49.39			48.9(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	2	-10000	-4	20	3.53	62%	0.16	53.8	1.08%	0	-0.6	60	0
25	Apr_10_2017	45	49.23	49.51	49.49			49.85(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	14	-10000	3	46	3.74	68%		76.9	1.05%	0	1.2	72	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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