Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jul. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $43.0000 (1.92%) ($42.0600 - $43.2800) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $43.0000(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(65%)    MCHI(60%)    FXI(54%)    EEM(53%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    SHY(-17%)    TLT(-11%)    TIP(-7%)    BND(-7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.91(2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.32(4.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.47(6.25%)
To recent high   -11.7%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $23.887b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 3.06% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2016	42.98	40.47	41.32	41.91			43(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	30	-10000	13	81	2.79	43%	0.02	43.1	2.19%	0	2	60	0
2	Jul_13_2016	42.97	40.27	41.06	41.32			42.19(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	22	-10000	9	62	3.62	47%	0.02	21.9	2.17%	0	1.7	60	0
3	Jul_12_2016	42.96	40.16	40.82	40.92			41.95(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	16	-10000	5	47	3.36	47%	0	-4.7	2.23%	0	1.8	61	0
4	Jul_11_2016	42.96	40.03	40.43	40.67			41.78(2.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	10	-10000	3	30	2.76	49%	0	-37.4	2.26%	0	1.9	63	0
5	Jul_8_2016	42.96	39.92	40.21	40.54			40.61(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	7	-10000	-2	33	3.68	47%	0	-67.1	2.26%	0	0.8	64	0

6	Jul_7_2016	42.96	39.94	40.2	40.65			40.06(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	9	-10000	-2	43	2.97	47%	-0.05	-79.4	2.27%	0	0.1	52	0
7	Jul_6_2016	42.98	40.03	40.21	40.74			40.22(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	14	-10000	1	54	4.33	47%	0	-79.2	2.27%	0	0.2	55	0
8	Jul_5_2016	42.98	40.21	40.16	40.68			40.66(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	23	-10000	12	54	4.05	47%	0.09	-64	2.27%	0	0.3	52	0
9	Jul_1_2016	42.94	40.38	40.01	40.13			41.13(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	30	3.04	47%	0.12	-60.3	2.26%	0	0.4	56	0
10	Jun_30_2016	42.89	40.5	39.7	39.82			41.2(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3	-10000	2	6	3.93	47%	0.09	-60.7	2.26%	0	0.4	54	0

11	Jun_29_2016	42.85	40.64	39.55	39.71			40.5(1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	-10000	2	-6	4.14	47%	0.09	-59.2	2.25%	0	-0.1	47	0
12	Jun_28_2016	42.81	40.82	39.41	39.63			39.91(5.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-6	-10000	1	-26	5.75	47%	0.07	-56.6	2.27%	0	-0.4	42	0
13	Jun_27_2016	42.78	41.09	39.42	39.58			37.9(-4.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-6	-58	6.81	41%	-0.02	-51.4	2.18%	0	-1.3	27	0
14	Jun_24_2016	42.79	41.49	39.6	39.82			39.6(-2.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	7	-78	7.89	45%	-0.05	-43.5	2.13%	0	-0.8	29	0
15	Jun_23_2016	42.81	41.74	39.63	39.52			40.65(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-26	-10000	4	-117	3.96	47%	0.02	-43	2.11%	0	-0.4	36	0

16	Jun_22_2016	42.8	41.94	39.65	39.35			40.1(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	4	-146	4.87	47%	0	-42.3	2.11%	0	-0.7	31	0
17	Jun_21_2016	42.8	42.2	39.81	39.18			39.64(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-44	-10000	-2	-171	4.47	51%	-0.07	-41.2	2.1%	0	-1	31	0
18	Jun_20_2016	42.83	42.36	40.24	39.28			39.13(2.81%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-2	-174	6	51%	-0.07	-44.9	2.15%	0	-1.3	26	0
19	Jun_17_2016	42.86	42.59	40.77	39.35			38.06(-4.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-52	-10000	-9	-182	10.01	51%	-0.07	-45.7	2.15%	0	-1.8	19	0
20	Jun_16_2016	42.89	42.85	41.35	39.73			39.84(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-50	-10000	-6	-180	10.07	60%	-0.05	-47.8	2.08%	0	-1.4	31	0

21	Jun_15_2016	42.91	43.06	41.82	39.99			39.25(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-53	-10000	-13	-171	6.76	60%	-0.09	-47	2.15%	0	-1.8	27	0
22	Jun_14_2016	42.95	43.32	42.34	40.54			40.11(1.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-55	-10000	-19	-163	5.74	60%	-0.05	-44.5	2.14%	0	-1.7	28	0
23	Jun_13_2016	42.97	43.54	42.9	41.38			39.51(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-10000	-23	-122	5.41	60%	-0.09	-33.1	2.14%	0	-2.3	42	0
24	Jun_10_2016	43.01	43.74	43.55	42.41			39.93(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-30	-10000	-17	-70	5.97	63%	-0.07	-24.9	2.19%	0	-2.6	41	0
25	Jun_9_2016	43.04	43.93	44.06	43.2			41.14(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-19	-10000	-15	-32	5.37	67%		-15.6	2.16%	0	-2.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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