Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $40.7600 (-1.12%) ($39.9600 - $41.4200) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.73% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $40.7600(-1.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(66%)    MCHI(60%)    FXI(54%)    EEM(53%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.365% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    SHY(-17%)    TLT(-14%)    BND(-9%)    GLD(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.365% (StdDev 2.73%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.15(1.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.9(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.64(0.3%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $22.642b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 2.46% (three month std-dev: 2.73%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	45.39	40.64	39.9	40.15			40.76(-1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	7	-29	4.92	38%	-0.11	59.8	2.73%	0	0.1	46	0
2	Mar_14_2016	45.44	40.62	39.98	39.78			41.22(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-4	-10000	7	-38	5.95	38%	0.09	63.7	2.72%	0	0.6	49	0
3	Mar_11_2016	45.4	40.43	39.93	39.41			40.45(3.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	2	-59	4.15	38%	0.11	36.3	2.71%	0	0	41	0
4	Mar_10_2016	45.35	40.25	40.04	39.32			38.99(-0.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-1	-64	3.87	34%	0.07	14.2	2.69%	0	-0.8	37	0
5	Mar_9_2016	45.32	40.17	40.26	39.37			39.35(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-10000	-4	-62	4.39	34%	0.04	6.1	2.69%	0	-0.5	45	0

6	Mar_8_2016	45.3	40.05	40.48	39.6			38.89(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-11	-58	2.09	34%	0.07	0	2.73%	0	-0.6	40	0
7	Mar_7_2016	45.27	40.05	40.73	40.2			39.36(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-13	-10000	-6	-34	3.29	34%	0.09	-2.7	2.73%	0	-0.3	48	0
8	Mar_4_2016	45.23	39.98	41.03	40.52			40.02(1.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5	-10000	-6	-1	4.18	34%	0.13	-6.3	2.73%	0	0	65	0
9	Mar_3_2016	45.17	40.03	41.2	40.87			39.24(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-7	36	9.08	34%	0.11	-0.8	2.72%	0	-0.4	65	0
10	Mar_2_2016	45.12	40.06	41.39	41.27			40.5(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	15	-10000	-4	71	7.84	36%	0.13	1	2.7%	0	0.2	67	0

11	Mar_1_2016	45.06	40.05	41.49	41.47			41.9(2.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	2	108	4.98	39%	0.2	-1.6	2.67%	0	0.9	74	0
12	Feb_29_2016	44.97	40.03	41.34	41.35			40.92(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-10000	-5	120	4.88	39%	0.16	-5.7	2.7%	0	0.4	69	0
13	Feb_26_2016	44.9	40.1	41	41.63			41.79(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	0	124	4.2	39%	0.18	-2.3	2.71%	0	0.8	60	0
14	Feb_25_2016	44.82	40.1	40.49	41.61			41.22(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	27	-10000	2	103	3.38	39%	0.16	-7.3	2.72%	0	0.6	50	0
15	Feb_24_2016	44.75	40.04	40.08	41.52			41.53(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	22	-10000	1	86	4.56	39%	0.16	-10.4	2.72%	0	0.7	55	0

16	Feb_23_2016	44.68	40.08	39.6	41.49			41.29(-2.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	-10000	3	68	3.99	39%	0.16	-8.8	2.75%	0	0.6	52	0
17	Feb_22_2016	44.61	40.14	39.18	41.3			42.32(1.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	19	45	3.53	39%	0.22	-8.1	2.74%	0	1	49	0
18	Feb_19_2016	44.51	40.15	38.82	40.26			41.69(2.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	-10000	20	-6	4	54%	0.25	-21.8	2.75%	0	0.7	45	0
19	Feb_18_2016	44.4	40.19	38.71	39.19			40.78(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	1	-10000	12	-32	3.25	54%	0.2	-32.6	3.4%	0	0.3	49	0
20	Feb_17_2016	44.31	40.25	38.58	38.41			41.39(2.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	15	-57	6.24	50%	0.23	-45.3	3.41%	0	0.5	48	0

21	Feb_16_2016	44.21	40.27	38.43	37.45			40.33(8.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-16	-10000	10	-92	8.51	50%	0.5	-59.2	3.45%	0	0	42	0
22	Feb_12_2016	43.99	40.32	38.53	36.8			37.13(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-7	-126	3.38	42%	0.09	-73.1	3.24%	0	-1.4	30	0
23	Feb_11_2016	43.95	40.64	39.07	37.2			36.33(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-15	-122	5.15	42%	0.09	-74.4	3.22%	0	-1.9	26	0
24	Feb_10_2016	43.91	40.94	39.54	38.15			36.88(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-10	-106	2.81	42%	0.09	-83	3.22%	0	-2	27	0
25	Feb_9_2016	43.87	41.33	40.02	38.76			36.57(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-10000	-12	-97	5.37	39%		-86.8	3.22%	0	-2.4	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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