Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Feb. 12, 2016

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $37.1300 (2.2%) ($36.6200 - $38.4000) on Fri. Feb. 12, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.24% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $37.1300(2.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -6.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(67%)    MCHI(61%)    FXI(54%)    EEM(52%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    SHY(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    GLD(-12%)    BND(-10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.62% (StdDev 3.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.97(-27.36%)
Resistance Level   $40.32
5 Day Moving Average   $36.8(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.53(-3.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.32(-7.91%)
To recent high   -33.5%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $20.626b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 5.8% (three month std-dev: 3.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160312

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_12_2016	43.99	40.32	38.53	36.8			37.13(2.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-10000	-7	-126	3.38	42%	0.09	-73.1	3.24%	0	-1.4	30	0
2	Feb_11_2016	43.95	40.64	39.07	37.2			36.33(-1.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-10000	-15	-122	5.15	42%	0.09	-74.4	3.22%	0	-1.9	26	0
3	Feb_10_2016	43.91	40.94	39.54	38.15			36.88(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-10000	-10	-106	2.81	42%	0.09	-83	3.22%	0	-2	27	0
4	Feb_9_2016	43.87	41.33	40.02	38.76			36.57(-1.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-33	-10000	-12	-97	5.37	39%	0.05	-86.8	3.22%	0	-2.4	29	0
5	Feb_8_2016	43.85	41.7	40.66	39.51			37.07(-5.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-31	-10000	-15	-77	5.94	39%	0.07	-95.3	3.28%	0	-2.8	33	0

6	Feb_5_2016	43.82	42.11	41.27	40.49			39.13(-4.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-19	-10000	-10	-47	6.34	47%	0.11	-98.5	3.28%	0	-2.1	42	0
7	Feb_4_2016	43.77	42.42	41.66	41.2			41.11(3.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-6	-10000	1	-28	4.03	50%	0.11	-94.3	3.25%	0	-0.9	40	0
8	Feb_3_2016	43.72	42.73	41.84	41.15			39.9(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-5	-29	6.27	50%	0.14	-75.8	3.22%	0	-1.6	43	0
9	Feb_2_2016	43.66	43.12	42.11	41.48			40.36(-3.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-10000	-7	-30	5.51	50%	0.18	-66.4	3.22%	0	-1.4	35	0
10	Feb_1_2016	43.58	43.36	42.29	41.98			41.97(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-10000	-3	-23	5.08	54%	0.18	-70.4	3.23%	0	-0.7	44	0

11	Jan_29_2016	43.5	43.58	42.25	42.17			42.68(4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-9	-10000	-1	-31	4.06	58%	0.21	-74.2	3.3%	0	-0.5	41	0
12	Jan_28_2016	43.41	43.78	42.3	42.22			40.84(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-15	-10000	-6	-41	5.63	55%	0.18	-74.3	3.25%	0	-1.5	33	0
13	Jan_27_2016	43.33	44.14	42.44	42.63			41.57(-2.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-10000	-2	-52	4.74	55%	0.23	-70.3	3.25%	0	-1.3	28	0
14	Jan_26_2016	43.23	44.46	42.73	42.8			42.83(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-13	-10000	2	-59	4.01	67%	-0.02	-67.4	3.24%	0	-0.8	31	0
15	Jan_25_2016	43.24	44.74	42.8	42.64			42.92(-0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	3	-52	3.75	67%	0.28	-66	4.27%	0	-0.8	43	0

16	Jan_22_2016	43.12	45.04	42.99	42.34			42.93(0.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-17	-10000	-1	-63	4.26	67%	0.23	-70.9	4.29%	0	-0.9	40	0
17	Jan_21_2016	43.02	45.32	43.2	42.43			42.92(1.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	-10000	2	-67	4.68	67%	0.26	-66.4	4.28%	0	-1	38	0
18	Jan_20_2016	42.91	45.6	43.66	42.24			42.41(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	-10000	-5	-73	6.08	67%	0.26	-65.7	4.29%	0	-1.3	34	0
19	Jan_19_2016	42.8	45.92	44.16	42.68			42.01(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10000	-3	-67	5.01	67%	0.4	-62.5	4.29%	0	-1.6	33	0
20	Jan_15_2016	42.63	46.25	44.5	43			41.45(-4.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-8	-74	5.47	67%	0.16	-65.7	4.26%	0	-2	30	0

21	Jan_14_2016	42.56	46.68	45.01	43.72			43.34(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-21	-10000	-4	-70	3.99	71%	0.26	-67.3	4.23%	0	-1.6	32	0
22	Jan_13_2016	42.45	46.94	45.39	44.1			42.01(-5.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-10000	-12	-71	9.32	71%	0.26	-73.7	4.21%	0	-2.4	30	0
23	Jan_12_2016	42.34	47.29	46.01	45.28			44.59(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-7	-54	5.08	77%	0.33	-83	4.14%	0	-1.6	35	0
24	Jan_11_2016	42.2	47.5	46.34	45.9			43.62(-3.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-14	-10000	-3	-45	4.69	77%	0.31	-93.8	4.14%	0	-2.4	30	0
25	Jan_8_2016	42.07	47.85	46.87	46.22			45.03(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-10000	-3	-39	3.79	77%		-116.4	4.12%	0	-2.1	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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