Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Aug. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $39.2850 (9.97%) ($37.1500 - $39.7100) on Tue. Aug. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.41% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $39.2850(9.97%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 2.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(51%)    FXI(51%)    VWO(50%)    QQQ(48%)    VT(47%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.705% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    SHY(-18%)    TLT(-16%)    BND(-10%)    IGOV(-8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.705% (StdDev 3.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.28(8.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.12(8.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.14(8.7%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   24.7%
Market Cap   $21.823b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 3.18% (three month std-dev: 3.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150904

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_4_2015	34.38	36.14	36.12	36.28			39.29(9.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	16	-10000	17	12	17.36	65%	0.53	11.6	3.41%	0	2.7	68	0
2	Aug_3_2015	34.2	35.94	35.86	35.25			35.73(-0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-3	-10000	4	-22	8.66	59%	0.41	-15.4	3.19%	0	-0.2	43	0
3	Jul_31_2015	34.06	35.95	35.92	35.01			35.79(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-10	-10000	-2	-34	4.74	59%	0.38	-26.3	3.21%	0	-0.2	45	0
4	Jul_30_2015	33.93	35.94	35.94	35.14			35.35(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	-8	-37	3.84	59%	0.38	-29	3.21%	0	-0.6	44	0
5	Jul_29_2015	33.8	35.95	35.94	35.59			35.26(3.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-6	-23	4.21	59%	0.39	-20.5	3.21%	0	-0.7	50	0

6	Jul_28_2015	33.67	36.01	36.01	35.95			34.16(-1.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-11	-10000	-10	-13	5.91	57%	0.33	-13.4	3.2%	0	-2	51	0
7	Jul_27_2015	33.56	36.08	36.32	36.54			34.52(-5.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.4	-1	-10000	-6	13	4.36	57%	0.33	-3.9	3.2%	0	-1.9	48	0
8	Jul_24_2015	33.45	36.19	36.58	36.91			36.42(-3.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	10	-10000	2	34	3.42	63%	0.42	14.3	3.13%	0	0.3	55	0
9	Jul_23_2015	33.31	36.21	36.6	36.82			37.58(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	-10000	6	38	3.54	63%	0.45	7	3.11%	0	1.8	61	0
10	Jul_22_2015	33.16	36.15	36.41	36.49			37.09(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	13	-10000	7	31	1.84	63%	0.45	-12.8	3.11%	0	1.3	60	0

11	Jul_21_2015	33.01	36.13	36.18	36.09			37.09(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	2	-10000	-0	9	5.82	63%	0.43	-34.5	3.11%	0	1.4	54	0
12	Jul_20_2015	32.87	36.11	36.02	36.11			36.39(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-10000	-2	10	4.19	63%	0.43	-41.9	3.12%	0	0.4	57	0
13	Jul_17_2015	32.73	36.09	35.95	36.21			35.94(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	0	-10000	-3	9	2.83	63%	0.43	-56.5	3.11%	0	-0.2	47	0
14	Jul_16_2015	32.59	36.16	35.93	36.35			35.94(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10000	1	8	3.07	63%	0.4	-55.1	3.12%	0	-0.3	45	0
15	Jul_15_2015	32.46	36.24	35.89	36.31			35.11(-5.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.5	2	-10000	2	3	5.07	63%	0.37	-54.4	3.1%	0	-1.4	44	0

16	Jul_14_2015	32.34	36.37	36.01	36.22			37.17(0.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	4	-10000	6	-1	2.5	70%	0.43	-53	3.02%	0	0.9	50	0
17	Jul_13_2015	32.2	36.41	35.82	35.9			36.91(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	4	-20	3.32	70%	0.44	-55.6	3.02%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Jul_10_2015	32.06	36.48	35.77	35.67			36.64(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-3	-10000	4	-24	3.7	70%	0.44	-52.8	3.02%	0	0.2	55	0
19	Jul_9_2015	31.92	36.57	35.78	35.48			35.74(3.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	1	-34	5.82	70%	0.38	-48.4	3.01%	0	-0.7	41	0
20	Jul_8_2015	31.8	36.69	35.84	35.43			34.68(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-16	-10000	-6	-46	8.66	71%	0.38	-46.8	2.99%	0	-1.7	34	0

21	Jul_7_2015	31.68	36.83	36.08	35.75			35.55(-0.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-9	-10000	1	-37	17.59	71%	0.13	-48.3	3.01%	0	-1.2	36	0
22	Jul_6_2015	31.64	36.92	36.21	35.7			35.77(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-14	-10000	-3	-47	5.25	71%	0.67	-67.4	3.01%	0	-1.1	36	0
23	Jul_2_2015	31.43	37.03	36.23	35.88			35.65(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-18	-10000	-5	-56	3.32	71%	0.42	-74.3	3.03%	0	-1.4	32	0
24	Jul_1_2015	31.3	37.13	36.41	36.13			35.5(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-4	-55	3.69	71%	0.42	-84	3.03%	0	-1.8	31	0
25	Jun_30_2015	31.17	37.24	36.63	36.33			36.31(2.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-15	-10000	-2	-52	3.64	71%		-98.7	2.99%	0	-1	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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