Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ CTRP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 8, 2014

Trading Signals: CTRP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Mon. Nov. 4, 2019)

(Ctrip.Com)
CTRP latest price $28.5000 (3.58%) ($27.1150 - $28.5800) on Wed. Oct. 8, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.33% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $28.5000(3.58%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   CTRP advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   CTRP declines -3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support CTRP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(48%)    VWO(47%)    FXI(46%)    QQQ(45%)    VT(45%)
Factors Impacting CTRP price   CTRP will decline at least -1.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-28%)    SHY(-14%)    TLT(-13%)    GLD(-6%)    TIP(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.165% (StdDev 2.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.2(-36.14%)
Resistance Level   $29.48
5 Day Moving Average   $27.88(2.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.33(0.6%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.48(-3.32%)
To recent high   -17%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $15.832b

Ctrip.com International Ltd. engages in the provision of travel-related services. It provides hotel accommodations, airline tickets, packaged tours, corporate travel management services, property management systems, and advertising services. The company was founded by Jian Zhang Liang, Min Fan, Nan Peng Shen, and Qi Ji in June 1999 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

$. CTRP price fluctuates within 5.33% (three month std-dev: 2.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2014	30.74	29.48	28.33	27.88			28.5(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	3	-97	4	60%	0.03	-86.9	2.33%	0	-0.6	29	0
2	Oct_7_2014	30.73	29.68	28.46	27.77			27.52(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-32	-10000	-5	-112	2.35	57%	0	-84.1	2.34%	0	-1.3	14	0
3	Oct_6_2014	30.73	29.96	28.7	27.94			28.03(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-32	-10000	-4	-114	2.35	57%	0.07	-79.1	2.33%	0	-1.1	14	0
4	Oct_3_2014	30.71	30.25	28.89	28.06			27.81(0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-37	-10000	-11	-116	5.31	57%	0.07	-68.8	2.35%	0	-1.3	22	0
5	Oct_2_2014	30.69	30.57	29.14	28.42			27.55(-1.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-38	-10000	-12	-114	6.11	57%	0.07	-58.4	2.35%	0	-1.5	13	0

6	Oct_1_2014	30.67	30.91	29.45	28.84			27.95(-1.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-37	-10000	-12	-111	4.25	57%	0.1	-51.2	2.34%	0	-1.5	13	0
7	Sep_30_2014	30.64	31.19	29.74	29.26			28.38(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-33	-10000	-9	-106	7.62	61%	0.1	-45	2.35%	0	-1.5	13	0
8	Sep_29_2014	30.61	31.47	30.01	29.56			28.6(-3.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-32	-10000	-8	-104	9.25	61%	0.13	-39.2	2.45%	0	-1.6	13	0
9	Sep_26_2014	30.57	31.66	30.21	29.84			29.63(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-33	-10000	-4	-118	2.5	67%	0.23	-39.3	2.42%	0	-1.2	12	0
10	Sep_25_2014	30.5	31.79	30.44	29.98			29.67(-1.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-36	-10000	-5	-127	3.38	67%	0.23	-41.2	2.47%	0	-1.3	12	0

11	Sep_24_2014	30.43	31.92	30.72	30.17			30.05(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-10000	-4	-131	2.04	67%	0.2	-43	2.49%	0	-1.2	14	0
12	Sep_23_2014	30.37	32.05	30.99	30.31			29.88(-0.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-37	-10000	-6	-131	5.09	67%	0.2	-44.6	2.51%	0	-1.5	24	0
13	Sep_22_2014	30.31	32.19	31.31	30.54			29.98(-1.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-34	-10000	-3	-127	5.53	67%	0.2	-45.7	2.51%	0	-1.6	22	0
14	Sep_19_2014	30.25	32.32	31.7	30.64			30.32(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-36	-10000	-9	-115	4.95	67%	0.23	-49.6	2.51%	0	-1.6	43	0
15	Sep_18_2014	30.18	32.45	32.1	30.98			30.62(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	-10000	-10	-88	2.55	67%	0.27	-47.9	2.52%	0	-1.6	45	0

16	Sep_17_2014	30.1	32.58	32.46	31.37			30.77(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-23	-10000	-10	-60	3.52	67%	0.23	-43.7	2.52%	0	-1.7	45	0
17	Sep_16_2014	30.03	32.7	32.74	31.78			31.03(1.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-10000	-10	-39	4.95	69%	0.3	-39	2.53%	0	-1.7	44	0
18	Sep_15_2014	29.94	32.81	33.04	32.2			30.48(-4.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-16	-10000	-17	-14	6.71	69%	0.27	-34.3	2.59%	0	-2.6	42	0
19	Sep_12_2014	29.86	32.94	33.25	32.92			32.03(-1.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-5	-10000	-11	14	2.27	74%	0.27	-15.5	2.52%	0	-1.3	49	0
20	Sep_11_2014	29.78	33.01	33.27	33.38			32.57(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-8	30	2.04	74%	0.24	3.8	2.52%	0	-0.6	50	0

21	Sep_10_2014	29.71	33.05	33.25	33.72			32.82(-0.92%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.3	8	-10000	-3	41	1.93	75%	0.24	38.8	2.52%	0	-0.3	49	0
22	Sep_9_2014	29.64	33.09	33.23	33.84			33.13(-2.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	8	-10000	-4	43	2.27	75%	0.24	61.8	2.54%	0	0.1	52	0
23	Sep_8_2014	29.57	33.12	33.15	34.01			34.06(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	9	52	2.06	79%	0.17	77.9	2.52%	0	1.3	60	0
24	Sep_5_2014	29.52	33.06	32.99	33.61			34.35(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	17	-10000	11	34	2.13	79%	0.31	76.1	2.51%	0	1.9	63	0
25	Sep_4_2014	29.43	32.98	32.81	33.15			34.27(2.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	-10000	10	12	4.49	79%		71.3	2.51%	0	2.1	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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